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Media Create Sales: Week 28, 2018 (Jul 09 - Jul 15)

Oct 25, 2017
5,572
0
Splatoon 2, its doing an extraordinary thing in Japan - the main questions are:
- how long it's able to maintain this type of popularity
- when will Nintendo release Splatoon 3
- whether they will continue initiatives to popularize the current game outside of Japan
It’s interesting.
Nintendo originally just promised updates with new content for just 1 year.
But the game’s success made it so they extended the update deadline by half a year or so.
Splatfest continues until mid to late 2019.

Splatoon 1’s final splatfest which lead directly into Splatoon 2 launched almost exactly a year before the sequel.
If they want to continue this pattern Splatoon 3 could come out 2020 or prior.

Splatoon 2 launched 2 years after the first game. 2 years between every entry does also sound pretty good with titles like CoD coming out yearly.
Though Splatoon 2 coming out in 2019 feels too soon. I’m interested in Switch’s year 3 where the dev teams of Switch’s incredible year 1 should have new things out or at least shown.
If they have any plans for Switch pro or something along those lines, that would be a good time for it
 
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Oct 25, 2017
5,572
0
It won't sell better than FFXV.
Eh, I think it’ll do pretty well. I don’t think most are doubting that it’ll be successful, only posts I see about it and PS4’s success is that it’s the next big game for the system and it’s not out this year, which may be what the original poster got confused by.
 
Apr 9, 2018
321
0
Splatoon 3 will come out on whatever the successor of the Switch is. Nintendo doesn't refresh their multiplayer games on the same platform.

I could see them doing a spinoff game in the meantime though if they're not happy just rolling out more DLC
 
Oct 25, 2017
5,572
0
Splatoon 3 will come out on whatever the successor of the Switch is. Nintendo doesn't refresh their multiplayer games on the same platform.

I could see them doing a spinoff game in the meantime though if they're not happy just rolling out more DLC
They usually don’t, but they tend to release multiple versions of entry titles (MK7 and MK8 are different games; out 2 years and a half after each other)
Guess those teams could work on other games, but leaving these games without a new entry in 5 years seems a bit much seeing as MK8D and Splatoon launched on switch’s year 1 and at least Splatoon won’t get updates after December
 
Oct 27, 2017
9,166
0
They usually don’t, but they tend to release multiple versions of entry titles (MK7 and MK8 are different games; out 2 years and a half after each other)
Guess those teams could work on other games, but leaving these games without a new entry in 5 years seems a bit much seeing as MK8D and Splatoon launched on switch’s year 1 and at least Splatoon won’t get updates after December
You're talking about handheld and console entries. Those aren't treated the same way. I agree with that poster, there isn't going to be a Splatoon 3 on the Switch. Much like there probably won't be another Smash after Ultimate and another MK considering they don't seem done with 8 (;_;). These were always once a system games and that model works even better now with DLC allowing them to update them.

I honestly think Splatoon 2 will just get more mode updates and maybe another paid DLC
 
Oct 25, 2017
1,856
0
Do you guys believe we'll see Switch's Animal Crossing in 2019?
We already have Pokemon and potentially Metroid, but this is is it as big as Splatoon, Pokemon and Animal Crossing.
 
Oct 26, 2017
4,859
0
Do you guys believe we'll see Switch's Animal Crossing in 2019?
We already have Pokemon and potentially Metroid, but this is is it as big as Splatoon, Pokemon and Animal Crossing.
Personally, I'm guessing it didn't get started in full development until Splatoon 2 and BotW and Arms were finished so I wouldn't expect it before 2020.

I think Mario Maker 2 and Pokemon Gen 8 will be their two big games next year and they'll have enough midtier releases like:

-Fire Emblem Three Houses
-StarFox Racing
-Bayonetta 3
-Metroid Prime 4/Metroid Fusion Remake
-Yoshi
-Various ports

To have a good year overall.
 
Oct 25, 2017
5,572
0
You're talking about handheld and console entries. Those aren't treated the same way. I agree with that poster, there isn't going to be a Splatoon 3 on the Switch. Much like there probably won't be another Smash after Ultimate and another MK considering they don't seem done with 8 (;_;). These were always once a system games and that model works even better now with DLC allowing them to update them.

I honestly think Splatoon 2 will just get more mode updates and maybe another paid DLC
Updates end in December. This is something that was announced
 
Unofficial but first weekend of August is speculated for Octopath Traveler "big" restock.
That's quite late. Well at least, it's not going to miss the big August weeks with Obon and all. The current high price for used copies and great word of mouth should help alleviate impact of used sales, though we'll see if this was truly too late or not.
 
Oct 27, 2017
2,024
0
Damn, repurchase price in a store (seagull), same price in others stores (highest price i saw before: 5.750 yen):






Otasou Horita



The lowest price i saw today



 
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Geg

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,261
0
They said that Octo Expansion was the first paid DLC for Splatoon 2. More is coming.
My first thought when I heard him say that during the announcement was that it was because it was, in fact, the first paid DLC for Splatoon 2 because everything up to that point in both games had been free, aside from amiibos. I didn't realize people understood it the other way until I read reactions. Even now I'm not really sure exactly what it means. Nogami's line in Japanese doesn't specifically mention "first" dlc like the translation does.

I'd like there to be more though. The recent famitsu interview this week implies they're still thinking about future scenarios but I don't know if they mean for future dlc or future games in the series.
 
Jul 14, 2018
90
0
It seems Octopath Traveller has raised quite some interest among Chinese gamers on social media. There was a petition campaign to both NintendoHK and SE for Chinese localisation.

It's funny to see some education company uses Switch to promote English course, I just wonder when will Nintendo put proper Chinese language support for the system.
 
Oct 28, 2017
581
0
Speaking of China, why exactly foes Switch not include Chinese and Korean for the OS? It's a far smaller translation than some games and yet they don't do it? It's weird
 
Oct 25, 2017
763
0
I'm somewhat skeptical that famitsu is accurate with Switch digital...but it should be really high I would suspect?
Honestly, I'm skeptical of Famitsu digital estimates in general, given their "tracking method" based on surveys. That's why I'm usually very wary on using their estimates as that reliable.

And since this was mentioned earlier in the thread, seeing the KH Collection picking up as much steam as it did past E3 should be a pretty good sign for KHIII once it's released. It's definitely showing that there's interest in what's the first main iteration of the franchise in 13 years. I think it's too soon for more accurate forecasts, but I can't see a scenario where it doesn't sell around 500,000 as the lowest floor, at the current state.
 
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Oct 25, 2017
5,731
0
22
The Netherlands
Honestly, I'm skeptical of Famitsu digital estimates in general, given their "tracking method" based on surveys. That's why I'm usually very wary on using their estimates as that reliable.

And since this was mentioned earlier in the thread, seeing the KH Collection picking up as much steam as it did past E3 should be a pretty good sign for KHIII once it's released. It's definitely showing that there's interest in what's the first main iteration of the franchise in 13 years. I think it's too soon for more accurate forecasts, but I can't see a scenario where it doesn't sell around 500,000 as the lowest ceiling, at the current state.
Lifetime or first week? As a lifetime number that's a very low bar which it will easily cross imo.
 
Oct 27, 2017
1,382
0
Honestly, I'm skeptical of Famitsu digital estimates in general, given their "tracking method" based on surveys. That's why I'm usually very wary on using their estimates as that reliable.

And since this was mentioned earlier in the thread, seeing the KH Collection picking up as much steam as it did past E3 should be a pretty good sign for KHIII once it's released. It's definitely showing that there's interest in what's the first main iteration of the franchise in 13 years. I think it's too soon for more accurate forecasts, but I can't see a scenario where it doesn't sell around 500,000 as the lowest ceiling, at the current state.
Isnt this the general way of estimating sales? Sampling and extrapolating? I figure surveying digital buy percentage is as good a method as surveying in store purchases fron retailers.
 
Oct 25, 2017
763
0
Lifetime or first week? As a lifetime number that's a very low bar which it will easily cross imo.
Apologies, what I meant when I made my original post was "bottom", not "ceiling". Basically, what I intended to say is that, right now, the game should have no problems selling at minimum 500,000 copies. I think it's still too soon to have a clearer idea on the ceiling, we'll see in the next few months. I'll have to edit my post though XD

Isnt this the general way of estimating sales? Sampling and extrapolating? I figure surveying digital buy percentage is as good a method as surveying in store purchases fron retailers.
This is what hiska-kun reported a few years ago, soon after Famitsu started releasing digital numbers monthly.

The Famitsu digital sales are estimates based on surveys, and reseaches. The magazine says they use a website to do it, the poll is about 10.000 people for each system. They extrapolate and calculated the rest.
The champion is certainly big enough, but I have doubts about how representative it is: at least with Nintendo titles, we have several examples of games being underestimated, as well as Zelda: Botw being actually overestimated for its first few months, which might indicate that the core audience is over-represented, lowering the champion's reliability.