- Oct 25, 2017
Apologies, what I meant when I made my original post was "bottom", not "ceiling". Basically, what I intended to say is that, right now, the game should have no problems selling at minimum 500,000 copies. I think it's still too soon to have a clearer idea on the ceiling, we'll see in the next few months. I'll have to edit my post though XD
This is what hiska-kun reported a few years ago, soon after Famitsu started releasing digital numbers monthly.
The champion is certainly big enough, but I have doubts about how representative it is: at least with Nintendo titles, we have several examples of games being underestimated, as well as Zelda: Botw being actually overestimated for its first few months, which might indicate that the core audience is over-represented, lowering the champion's reliability.