Media Create Sales: Week 29, 2018 (Jul 16 - Jul 22)

LordByron28 · Jul 30, 2018

Boiled Goose said:
Nintendo has yet to release a mobile game that's the same as a mainline version.

I was thinking more along the lines of the small spinoff 3ds eshop only releases they have worked on. I'm not saying they would be mainline or offer the same experience. I personally think that Switch will be fine with just one of each of those titles as both will have long legs. It can receive smaller spinoff entries as eshop/mobile only titles. Pokemon Quest did the same thing last month.

Gotdatmoney · Jul 30, 2018

Scrawnton said:
Are we seeing a return of the tactic where they underhsip a game to drive digital? Isn't that what they did with Fire Wmblem Awakening in the West?

No one would purposely undership their game to push digital. Digital is half the market. The other half isn't just full on going to suddenly flip for one game.

Lelouch0612 · Jul 30, 2018

Gotdatmoney said:
No one would purposely undership their game to push digital. Digital is half the market. The other half isn't just full on going to suddenly flip for one game.

Especially when on 3DS, it was more like 5% of the market lol

Zedark · Jul 30, 2018

OfficerRaichu15 said:
So what Im getting at is Captain Toad got legs? Saw it's been steadily in the high teens in the UK the last couple weeks so it seems like it'll be a great success and make some good money for Nintendo.

Well, yeah

Sales for Toad are strong, it seems. Japan especially has a big increase, and more generally I expect it to have great legs going forward. The original game had a x5.5 FW multiplier, for instance.

Mpl90 · Jul 30, 2018

DarkDetective said:
The Battride War games did very well at first on the PS3, but since the generational leap, it's all been declining. However, the Kamen Rider games on Wii and DS also didn't do more than little over 100k.

Maybe the Switch audience overlaps more with the Kamen Rider audience than the PS4 audience (I don't know whether Kamen Rider is still hot among kids), but I doubt a Switch exclusive Kamen Rider game would get above 100k.

It should be noticed that most of the Wii games weren't just Wii exclusives, but Wii / PSP multi-platform releases, with the following sales pattern (Famitsu, via GameDataLibrary)

WII Kamen Rider: Climax Heroes Fourze 21.736 109.116 Bandai Namco 01/12/2011
WII Kamen Rider: Climax Heroes OOO 28.933 108.225 Bandai Namco 02/12/2010
WII Kamen Rider: Climax Heroes W 22.832 101.630 Bandai Namco 03/12/2009
PS2 Kamen Rider: Climax Heroes 52.763 99.756 Bandai Namco 06/08/2009
PSP Kamen Rider: Climax Heroes OOO 46.702 81.514 Bandai Namco 02/12/2010
PSP Kamen Rider: Climax Heroes Fourze 19.929 60.719 Bandai Namco 01/12/2011
PS4 Kamen Rider: Climax Fighters 22.685 32.220 Bandai Namco 07/12/2017

Gotdatmoney · Jul 30, 2018

Lelouch0612 said:
Especially when on 3DS, it was more like 5% of the market lol

Also true lol. Undershipping to push digital is such a weird concept. Like why would anyone think that makes sense.

ILikeFeet · Jul 30, 2018

Gotdatmoney said:
Also true lol. Undershipping to push digital is such a weird concept. Like why would anyone think that makes sense.

Convoluted ideas are the most fun ideas to talk about

silpheed-mcd · Jul 30, 2018

Octopath Traveler, very rare restocks today, an example:

ComG! nakajyou

I saw a new record :p , octopath traveler repurchase price: 6.050 yen

ILikeFeet · Jul 30, 2018

◇ Tressa found a copy of Octopath Traveler left by an unfortunate soul

DarkDetective · Jul 30, 2018

Mpl90 said:
It should be noticed that most of the Wii games weren't just Wii exclusives, but Wii / PSP multi-platform releases, with the following sales pattern (Famitsu, via GameDataLibrary)

Yeah true, you're right. And the PSP has indeed the handheld advantage.

But taking general decline of the console market in mind, I still think my stance on the potential on Switch still stands.

Zedark · Jul 30, 2018

ILikeFeet said:
◇ Tressa found a copy of Octopath Traveler left by an unfortunate soul

LMAO

------

Amazon Japan still offers Octopath with an August 4th shipping date. I guess then is when we can expect a really big restock, which may relieve the current pent-up demand.

Lelouch0612 · Jul 30, 2018

Zedark said:
LMAO

------

Amazon Japan still offers Octopath with an August 4th shipping date. I guess then is when we can expect a really big restock, which may relieve the current pent-up demand.

Keep in mind that even though August 4th seems to be when the big shipment will arrive, it will probably not big enough to absorb the demand.

Indeed, Amazon has removed their usual 14% off on Octopath to slow down the orders.

Zedark · Jul 30, 2018

Lelouch0612 said:
Keep in mind that even though August 4th seems to be when the big shipment will arrive, it will probably not big enough to absorb the demand.

Indeed, Amazon has removed their usual 14% off on Octopath to slow down the orders.

True, but the August 4th date has held for weeks now (even went down from August 6th), so I think it will be very substantive and will relieve a good deal of the demand at the very least.

Chris1964 · Jul 30, 2018

Octopath Traveler won't be without stock at Obon. If the big restock isn't for this weekend as speculated then deadline is the next one.

Gotdatmoney · Jul 30, 2018

ILikeFeet said:
Convoluted ideas are the most fun ideas to talk about

You're not wrong haha

Reality is boring.

duckroll · Jul 30, 2018

Hmmmm. Octopath got knocked off the #1 spot on the JP eShop because Mario Kart 8 Deluxe is on sale.

Mory Dunz · Jul 30, 2018

Chris1964 said:
Captain Toad Switch faced big supply problems last week in Japan.

wonder if it had supply problems elsewhere too.
If Zelda is decent barometer, it may have been almost flat in the UK. Well not flat, but a soft drop.

Gotdatmoney said:
The West is a big place. You have to define where you are speaking of. In Canada I never have had an issue finding a copy of a first party game.

canadian huh

Gotdatmoney · Jul 30, 2018

Mory Dunz said:
canadian huh

That real maple syrup be a blessing fam

Ryng™ · Jul 30, 2018

alright so, anyone wanna predict Switch shipments this quarter since we have a few hours left before the Nintendo quarter report?

...Anyone? Only me? Don't do this to me pls lol

I'm going with 2.3 million

Mory Dunz · Jul 30, 2018

Ryng Manuel Tolu said:
alright so, anyone wanna predict Switch shipments this quarter since we have a few hours left before the Nintendo quarter report?

...Anyone? Only me? Don't do this to me pls lol

I'm going with 2.3 million

what was 2017s again?

Vylder · Jul 30, 2018

Are we getting numbers from Nintendo tonight?

aSqueakyLime · Jul 30, 2018

Zedark said:

Beautiful

OfficerRaichu15 · Jul 30, 2018

Vylder said:
Are we getting numbers from Nintendo tonight?

Yup. 3 hours I think.

DevilMayGuy · Jul 30, 2018

It's great to see OT doing so well. Love this game

Sire Yoshi · Jul 30, 2018

Ryng Manuel Tolu said:
alright so, anyone wanna predict Switch shipments this quarter since we have a few hours left before the Nintendo quarter report?

...Anyone? Only me? Don't do this to me pls lol

I'm going with 2.3 million

I'm going with 1.8 million but software will be considerably up, I'd say around 12M

P-Switch · Jul 30, 2018

delete12345 said:
I haven't been able to find a post in this thread, so I'll go ahead:

I hereby claim that:

50% of Japanese Switch Owners have Splatoon 2.

I know for a fact that 100% of Splatoon 2 owners have a Switch.

delete12345 · Jul 30, 2018

P-Switch said:
I know for a fact that 100% of Splatoon 2 owners have a Switch.

You're not wrong...

KratosEnergyDrink · Jul 30, 2018

cw_sasuke said:
It looks quite good - weird statement especially after Splatoons success.

Copying the style of a successful game don't automatically makes a game a hit, on the contrary. Most of the times the customer seem to think such games are just cheap ripp offs, mostly for a good reason.

If this game had a more unique art style it would probably sell better, at the moment it seems to fall in the same category as the cheap animation movie rippoffs that appear after every new Disney movie.

_Dog · Jul 30, 2018

Ryng Manuel Tolu said:
alright so, anyone wanna predict Switch shipments this quarter since we have a few hours left before the Nintendo quarter report?

...Anyone? Only me? Don't do this to me pls lol

I'm going with 2.3 million

Based on Media Create alone, we can estimate the Switch's sales from January to June to be about 1.2 million in Japan. The number shipped may be higher than that. How do you think the Switch has fared in the west so far this year?

silpheed-mcd · Jul 30, 2018

Pablo Mesa · Jul 30, 2018

Mory Dunz said:
what was 2017s again?

1.9 M iirc

Ryng™ · Jul 30, 2018

_Dog said:
Based on Media Create alone, we can estimate the Switch's sales from January to June to be about 1.2 million in Japan. The number shipped may be higher than that. How do you think the Switch has fared in the west so far this year?

We are talking about April to June. According to Media Create Switch sold 530,000 those 3 months.

Mory Dunz said:
what was 2017s again?

1.97 million.

Mory Dunz · Jul 30, 2018

Ryng Manuel Tolu said:
1.97 million.

400k. no switch legs

;)

Wander_ · Jul 30, 2018

let's predict software sales instead

SMO: 11.5M
MK8D: 11.2M
Zelda: 9.8M
MTA: 1.2Mp
XC2: 1.5M
DKTF: 1.01M

edit: Lol forgot the goat

Splatoon 2: 7.3M

OfficerRaichu15 · Jul 30, 2018

What time do numbers come out.

Mory Dunz · Jul 30, 2018

Wander_ said:
let's predict software sales instead

SMO: 11.5M
MK8D: 11.2M
Zelda: 9.8M
MTA: 1.2Mp
XC2: 1.5M
DKTF: 1.01M

edit: Lol forgot the goat

Splatoon 2: 7.3M

will Kirby pass ARMS tho.

Lelouch0612 · Jul 30, 2018

Wander_ said:
let's predict software sales instead

SMO: 11.5M
MK8D: 11.2M
Zelda: 9.8M
MTA: 1.2Mp
XC2: 1.5M
DKTF: 1.01M

edit: Lol forgot the goat

Splatoon 2: 7.3M

Too low for DK:TF imo.

Like, at least 400k too low.

Guaraná · Jul 30, 2018

Predicting 20mi Switch.

foxuzamaki · Jul 30, 2018

Wander_ said:
let's predict software sales instead

SMO: 11.5M
MK8D: 11.2M
Zelda: 9.8M
MTA: 1.2Mp
XC2: 1.5M
DKTF: 1.01M

edit: Lol forgot the goat

Splatoon 2: 7.3M

I shutter at the thought of how much splatoon 2's potential would have been if it was say year 4 or 5 of the switch, how much faster it would have gotten to the sales it will get tonight

skullwaker · Jul 30, 2018

Predictions:

Switch: 2.21m (just want it to hit 20m this quarter tbh but it might fall short)
Mario Odyssey: 11.1m
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe: 10.1m
Breath of the Wild: 9m
Splatoon 2: 6.7m
1-2 Switch: 2.5m
ARMS: 1.95m
Xenoblade 2: 1.5m
Kirby Star Allies: 2m
Mario Tennis Aces: 1m
Donkey Kong Country TF: 1.5m

OfficerRaichu15 · Jul 30, 2018

When it released?

Grads · Jul 30, 2018

In about 3 hours and 25 minutes I believe

Wander_ · Jul 30, 2018

skullwaker said:
Predictions:

Switch: 2.21m (just want it to hit 20m this quarter tbh but it might fall short)
Mario Odyssey: 11.1m
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe: 10.1m
Breath of the Wild: 9m
Splatoon 2: 6.7m
1-2 Switch: 2.5m
ARMS: 1.95m
Xenoblade 2: 1.5m
Kirby Star Allies: 2m
Mario Tennis Aces: 1m
Donkey Kong Country TF: 1.5m

you are too low with MK and Zelda

Deleted member 3700 · Jul 31, 2018

It seems that Octopath are restocked again. At Sofamp Ikebukoro. Did not see it 3 hours before, and now it is on the shelves again.

cw_sasuke · Jul 31, 2018

KratosEnergyDrink said:
Copying the style of a successful game don't automatically makes a game a hit, on the contrary. Most of the times the customer seem to think such games are just cheap ripp offs, mostly for a good reason.

If this game had a more unique art style it would probably sell better, at the moment it seems to fall in the same category as the cheap animation movie rippoffs that appear after every new Disney movie.

When did I say that the game would become a hit ?
We haven't seen nearly enough of this game make a call yet everyone here is already calling shots on it's performance.

There are many levels between Bomba and Hit.

Zedark · Jul 31, 2018

Aren't the financial earnings for Nintendo supposed to have been released already?

Soul Lab · Jul 31, 2018

Zedark said:
Aren't the financial earnings for Nintendo supposed to have been released already?

in 50 mins I guess (if the post from Grads on this page is correct)

Deleted member 31092 · Jul 31, 2018

Zedark said:
Aren't the financial earnings for Nintendo supposed to have been released already?

47 minutes left I think.

Zedark · Jul 31, 2018

Ah I see, my Resetera time stamp is on CEST time while I am currently in CEST +1, so Grads' post mapped out to 9 AM CEST instead of 9 AM CEST +1.

See y'all in 44 minutes then!

Jawbreaker · Jul 31, 2018

Sony's financials are out. 3.2m PS4s in Q1, forecast increased from 16m to 17m PS4s. 82.2m shipped by June, 2018,

Media Create Sales: Week 29, 2018 (Jul 16 - Jul 22)

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