So I know this isn't partaking to Japan, but what do you guys think Mario Tennis Aces sold in the US now we got it shipped 1.4 Million in a week? I'm thinking 400k in my opinion.
Well since this covers two weeks it should be pretty large no?
NPD June period covers June 3 to July 7
So it's 3 weeks of tracking, launch week was a Thursday and digital should be pretty good due to Gold Coins bonus. Nintendo doesn't share digital with NPD, but its safe to say that even with good digital sales Mario Tennis Aces is unlikely to sell 400K digitally, so we are talking physical shipment of over
1M until the June 30th WW. The initial shipment in Japan was at most
200K, that would probably lead to a shipment for NA of around
400K, so it pretty much depends on the sell-through. In Japan the first shipment sold out by the second week but we don't know if MTA had such strong sales in the US.
Last year Splatoon 2 launched in July and sold
332K physical. If Mario Tennis Aces does
400K physical even with three weeks of sales it would be a the best opening for a Switch game this year in the US and the
4th biggest opening on the platform since launch.
The other thing I'm seeing is extremely strong sales for DKTF we know that in Japan it didn't have more than
200K shipment for this quarter so that means that
1.2M were sold in other territories/digital. I don't think DKTF will sell more than
300K in Japan this year but it should still pass
2M based on strong sales else where.
Both games are games that Nintendo will drop the price on later in the year on the eShop. I'd expect we see 33% off for both on several occasions in different territories. I'd expect discounts to start driving strong digital growth YoY especially once the Paid Online rolls-out and there is additional discounts for those that subscribe. Which owner wouldn't buy Nintendo's first party titles for Christmas if they can get
50% off. Personally that's the type of thing that makes me think that Nintendo will greatly surpass their software target for the year and one of the reasons people would be subbed to their
$20 per year paid online.