Y'all got stop counting your chickens before they hatch with these unannounced games
Cryptic..
Y'all got stop counting your chickens before they hatch with these unannounced games
Wait until they find that list of unannounced random games I posted later.lmao some nintendo fan blogs are citing Chris's release schedule as source that Labo 04 is coming this year
Week 32 2012
3DS HW - 102.646(-17%)
3DS SW - 239.458(-22%)
New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 143K(-33%)
Tousouchuu: Shijou Saikyou no Hunter-Tachi Kara Nigekire! - 26K(re)
Tohoku Daigaku Karei Igaku Kenkyuusho - 23K(-27%)
Taiko no Tatsujin: Chibi Dragon to Fushigi na Orb - 15K (+12%)
Kobitodzukan: Kobito Kansatsu Set - 12K(-16%)
Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D - 9K(-12%)
Rune Factory 4: A Fantasy Harvest Moon -8K(-25%)
Week 32 2017
Switch HW - 87.798(+42%)
Switch SW - 123.323(+25%)
Splatoon 2 - 87K(+19%)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 17K(+25%)
Arms - 7K(+44%)
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 6K(+25%)
Week 31 2018
Switch HW - 50.799(+5%)
Switch SW - 187.869(+10%)
Week 32 2018
Switch HW - 50.143(-1%)
Switch SW - 177.606(-5%)
Splatoon 2 - 21K(+3%)
Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! - 21K(-3%)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 17K(+13%)
Minecraft - 17K(+13%)
Mario Tennis Aces - 16K(+6%)
Pro Baseball Famista Evolution - 15K(-63%)
Okami HD - 14K(NEW)
Octopath Traveler - 11K(-38%)
Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker - 10K(+38%)
Layton's Mystery Journey - 9K(NEW)
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 8K(+5%)
Kirby Star Allies - 7K(+9%)
Super Mario Odyssey - 6K(+16%)
I finally got a chance to look at Nintendo's financials for the quarter and it looks 3DS is collapsing faster than I thought. From 20% share last year it fell to 7% and it will go even lower when FY ends. With how almost everything software related underperforms lately Luigi's Mansion will be in very tough position if it follows the general trend. Pokemon and catalog titles keep it still kinda alive at charts.
SWITCH GAMES, Ranking Sales, Japan, 2018 (Aug 06 - Aug 12)
SWITCH GAMES, Ranking Sales, Japan, 2018 (Jul 30 - Aug 05)
https://www.resetera.com/threads/me...2018-jul-30-aug-05.60717/page-9#post-11365230
A big part of western 3DS software sales comes from bundles and Nintendo Select line. With the exception of Pokemon, that saw a resurrection after Pokemon Go, the market it covers anymore is that of cheap gifts for kids. Very few full priced releases last year found an audience and things are even worse in 2018. Japan is saturated since it's maybe the only big market in the planet 3DS was a real player and it's expected to go down faster but even then since it's not seen as the cheap alternative console the situation for new games remains better. Don't be surprised that for many releases since late last year Japanese sales are a very big percentage of worldwide.The 3DS software market seems to have dropped much faster in Japan than elsewhere.
Y'all got stop counting your chickens before they hatch with these unannounced games
Chocobo Racing simulator incoming!
makes me wonder what's gonna happen for Mario and Luigi 3. Luigi's Mansion is probably too late (though it's a 3D game so an "hd version" shouldn't be too hard outside of texture resolution). with a 2019 date, M&L3 could be in a good position for a portA big part of western 3DS software sales comes from bundles and Nintendo Select line. With the exception of Pokemon, that saw a resurrection after Pokemon Go effect, the market it covers anymore is that of cheap gifts for kids. Very few full priced releases last year found an audience and things are even worse in 2018. Japan is saturated since it's maybe the only big market in the planet 3DS was a real player and it's expected to go down faster but even then since it's not seen as the cheap alternative console the situation for new games remains better. Don't be surprised that for many releases since late last year Japanese sales are a very big percentage of worldwide.
Nintendo going for dual releases with Switch wherever possible lately has improved things but for the remaining games that will be 3DS exclusives they already know what is coming. If you think WarioWare Gold underperformed in Japan you don't want to know its sales overseas.
I think those are all fairly safe predictions. I'm curious to see how Tales of Vesperia will perform on Switch. It will be releasing on PS4 and Xbox as well so I'm not expecting massive sales. Especially since the Tales fanbase is historically stronger on Playstation. However, I could see it at 50-100k first week with a 100k+ sold by the end of the year.Code:Week 32 2012 3DS HW - 102.646(-17%) 3DS SW - 239.458(-22%) New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 143K(-33%) Tousouchuu: Shijou Saikyou no Hunter-Tachi Kara Nigekire! - 26K(re) Tohoku Daigaku Karei Igaku Kenkyuusho - 23K(-27%) Taiko no Tatsujin: Chibi Dragon to Fushigi na Orb - 15K (+12%) Kobitodzukan: Kobito Kansatsu Set - 12K(-16%) Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D - 9K(-12%) Rune Factory 4: A Fantasy Harvest Moon -8K(-25%)
Code:Week 32 2017 Switch HW - 87.798(+42%) Switch SW - 123.323(+25%) Splatoon 2 - 87K(+19%) Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 17K(+25%) Arms - 7K(+44%) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 6K(+25%)
Code:Week 31 2018 Switch HW - 50.799(+5%) Switch SW - 187.869(+10%) Week 32 2018 Switch HW - 50.143(-1%) Switch SW - 177.606(-5%) Splatoon 2 - 21K(+3%) Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! - 21K(-3%) Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 17K(+13%) Minecraft - 17K(+13%) Mario Tennis Aces - 16K(+6%) Pro Baseball Famista Evolution - 15K(-63%) Okami HD - 14K(NEW) Octopath Traveler - 11K(-38%) Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker - 10K(+38%) Layton's Mystery Journey - 9K(NEW) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 8K(+5%) Kirby Star Allies - 7K(+9%) Super Mario Odyssey - 6K(+16%)
Next week should be the first of many weeks where Switch software starts to conisderably outperform 2012 software sales. My Hero Academia is pretty much going to be the only new game launched this month on the Switch that could end up with over >75K sales but evergreen software performance continues to be the main driver behind Switch's ability to keep up with 3DS.
September looks potentially much stronger for the Switch compared to the 3DS in 2012, back than the 3DS didn't have a single game launching with over 100K sales. In 2012 during September the biggest game launch was Style Savvy: Trendsetters which ended up with 250K for 2012. The other games to break 100K in 2012 were Devil Summoner: Soul Hackers & Medarot 7.
This September Labo Drive Kit I expect to open with over 150K and have much stronger legs than Variety Kit. Dragon Ball FighterZ, FIFA 19, Valkyria Chronicles 4 & XC2 Torna: The Golden Country are all games which could potentially sell over 100K in 2018 - FIFA 19 in particular should see strong growth for it's launch.
In 2012 New Super Mario Bros. 2 had a pretty strong September but outside of that the only other title which was released prior to September that continued to chart the entire month was Taiko no Tatsujin: Chibi Dragon to Fushigi na Orb. Switch should have a bunch of evergreens continuing to make waves
While October had just one major title in the form of Bravely Default: Flying Fairy - this year Switch will have a ton more titles launch that could do very well. Super Mario Party should very easily finish the year with over >750K sales. I'd expect the game to sell over >300K in it's launch month alone. I have a feeling a lot of the October titles that will be launched aren't announced yet, but out of the titles we know I still feel that Dark Souls is going to sell over >100K on the Switch despite the huge delay.
There aren't many things that can be done for Luigi's Mansion and Mario & Luigi 3. The engine for a Luigi's Mansion remaster doesn't exist and the other is built with 3DS touch screen in mind. Nintendo pretended 3DS doesn't exist at E3, they will date the first for holidays and the second for as soon as possible in 2019 and wait for the best.
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September looks potentially much stronger for the Switch compared to the 3DS in 2012, back than the 3DS didn't have a single game launching with over 100K sales. In 2012 during September the biggest game launch was Style Savvy: Trendsetters which ended up with 250K for 2012. The other games to break 100K in 2012 were Devil Summoner: Soul Hackers & Medarot 7.
This September Labo Drive Kit I expect to open with over 150K and have much stronger legs than Variety Kit. Dragon Ball FighterZ, FIFA 19, Valkyria Chronicles 4 & XC2 Torna: The Golden Country are all games which could potentially sell over 100K in 2018 - FIFA 19 in particular should see strong growth for it's launch.
In 2012 New Super Mario Bros. 2 had a pretty strong September but outside of that the only other title which was released prior to September that continued to chart the entire month was Taiko no Tatsujin: Chibi Dragon to Fushigi na Orb. Switch should have a bunch of evergreens continuing to make waves
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It doesn't matter from the moment Switch covers the loses. If Switch wasn't exceeding expectations the missing 3DS forecast would matter a lot.Does it really matter? The development costs on both of these should be relatively low and still open the door for future ports at some point way down in the future.
I feel like you're being way too optimistic with those September games. VC 4 especially (which didn't break 100K 5 months ago on PS4)
Literally always too optimistic. Fifa and Dragon Ball FighterZ should both break 100k with legs. No way in hell does the Drive Kit get more than 100k OW, let alone 150k.
I doubt VC4 or Xenoblade DLC break 100k.
Are digitally sales counted on those graphs? Because those are always growing.2018 software has good chances to end over 2016 and 2017 or very close to them but everything depends on Switch and basically Pokemon performance.
They don't but rising digital can't cover at best more than a 5-10% drop YOY with PS4 and Switch as the main consoles.Are digitally sales counted on those graphs? Because those are always growing.
I was sorting my Famtisu data against yours, I must have missed the first half of 2018 chart. The only thing I found wrong in yours was the Joy Con Variety set is a little out of date by a few weeks.
Literally always too optimistic. Fifa and Dragon Ball FighterZ should both break 100k with legs. No way in hell does the Drive Kit get more than 100k OW, let alone 150k.
I doubt VC4 or Xenoblade DLC break 100k.
Yes. The Variety Kit has the broadest appeal of any Labo, and it didn't hit 100k and this Drive Kit will not have that new game appeal. It will only sell to those that really enjoyed the first round of Labo.
Sad sight. There haven't been many heavy hitters from third-party publishers this year. I hope that will change next year (hopefully we'll get some announcements in the Road to TGS).
chris already talked about it but LM is using the engine made for 3ds.makes me wonder what's gonna happen for Mario and Luigi 3. Luigi's Mansion is probably too late (though it's a 3D game so an "hd version" shouldn't be too hard outside of texture resolution). with a 2019 date, M&L3 could be in a good position for a port
Sad sight. There haven't been many heavy hitters from third-party publishers this year. I hope that will change next year (hopefully we'll get some announcements in the Road to TGS).
2018 also has been a transitional year from PS4+PSV to PS4-only or PS4+NSW. In combination with a stronger third-party line-up, hopefully that will positively influence the results next year. I doubt we'll get a recovery on the software front for 2018.
Aside from Nintendo's first-party games, which games do we expect to be significant sellers?It is true, however 2018 is heavily biased toward Q4. Things could go really go crazy this Q4 so I wouldnt dismiss it just yet.
There was a time when tales of was stronger on nintendo systems, when they switched to mostly PlayStation the Nintendo consoles never got thr chance to really prove this except for ToS2 which idk how that did originallyI think those are all fairly safe predictions. I'm curious to see how Tales of Vesperia will perform on Switch. It will be releasing on PS4 and Xbox as well so I'm not expecting massive sales. Especially since the Tales fanbase is historically stronger on Playstation. However, I could see it at 50-100k first week with a 100k+ sold by the end of the year.
This also isnt counting if any potential rumored games pan out. An NSMBU port would be a massive seller. Also I could see a 4th Labo project in November that would likely sell 150k+ depending on the concept. With each labo release, I think it's likely that it will also boost the sales of the other packs. I'm curious to see how 2018 evergreen software will perform during the holidays such as Kirby, DK, Captain Toad, Mario Tennis, Taiko, Octopath Traveller, and the Labo projects.
There was a time when tales of was stronger on nintendo systems, when they switched to mostly PlayStation the Nintendo consoles never got thr chance to really prove this except for ToS2 which idk how that did originally
I was referring to WW cause i kinda forgot which thread I was in thanks to the switch 3rd party threadIn Japan? When? Unless you're counting Tales of Phantasia on Snes... (and no, Symphonia was not stronger on Nintendo systems in Japan).
I was referring to WW cause i kinda forgot which thread I was in thanks to the switch 3rd party thread
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| Model | This Week | Week(%) | FY 2018 | FY(%) |
--------------------------------------------------------
| Switch| 219,987 | 48.6% | 3,222,999 | 46.8% |
| PS4 | 131,406 | 29.0% | 2,310,704 | 33.5% |
| 3DS | 77,036 | 17.0% | 841,298 | 12.2% |
| Vita | 22,766 | 5.0% | 477,162 | 6.9% |
| ETC | 1,703 | 0.4% | 38,408 | 0.6% |
--------------------------------------------------------
| Total | 452,898 | 100.0% | 6,890,571 | 100.0% |
--------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------
| Model | This Week | Week(%) | FY 2018 | FY(%) |
--------------------------------------------------------
| Switch| 53,716 | 60.7% | 818,204 | 58.6% |
| PS4 | 20,891 | 23.6% | 360,241 | 25.8% |
| 3DS | 11,115 | 12.6% | 163,222 | 11.7% |
| Vita | 2,675 | 3.0% | 51,577 | 3.7% |
| ETC | 93 | 0.1% | 3,146 | 0.2% |
--------------------------------------------------------
| Total | 88,490 | 100.0% | 1,396,390 | 100.0% |
--------------------------------------------------------
I was referring to WW cause i kinda forgot which thread I was in thanks to the switch 3rd party thread
Tracker said:35./24. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 + II.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts \ Kingdom Hearts Re:Chain of Memories> \ Kingdom Hearts HD II.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts II \ Kingdom Hearts II: Final Mix+ \ Kingdom Hearts: Birth by Sleep>> <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.03.09} (¥6.800)
Superior Tracker said:35./21. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 + II.5 ReMIX (Square Enix) {2017.03.09} - 2,256 / 192,428
is it possible that SE is prioritizing their USA OT production over the Japanese one, since the game is also selling well in MURICA (the best selling game in july according to NPD leaks)?
Maybe they know that people will buy OT in Japan even if it takes a little longer, but in the west they are afraid that, after the initial hype, the demand will be much lower, since jrpgs are no longer mainstream.
i dont know. the lack of SE's capacity to supply the demand for this game is so absurd that I think anything is possible.Wouldn't they be separate? Like NoA, NoE and Japan. Unless all the carts are produced in one place.
Nintendo is publishing the game outside of Japan, not SE.i dont know. the lack of SE's capacity to supply the demand for this game is so absurd that I think anything is possible.
is it possible that SE is prioritizing their USA OT production over the Japanese one, since the game is also selling well in MURICA (the best selling game in july according to NPD leaks)?
Maybe they know that people will buy OT in Japan even if it takes a little longer, but in the west they are afraid that, after the initial hype, the demand will be much lower, since jrpgs are no longer mainstream.
Really? Because in Europe they write imported from Kyoto and in the states they writte made in Japan.The western copies are not being produced in Japan and shipped elsewhere. NA carts are produced in a factory in the US. Probably the biggest cause of delay here is due to obon and people taking their summer vacations.
Isnt that referring to the game itself(the code) rather than the cardrige ?Really? Because in Europe they write imported from Kyoto and in the states they writte made in Japan.
Isnt that referring to the game itself(the code) rather than the cardrige ?