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Media Create Sales: Week 32, 2019 (Aug 05 - Aug 11)
- Thread starter hiska-kun
- Start date
I'm loving these legs. bring on "The Sequel to The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild"! /s
Mario Maker is doing really well considering there's a big digital share too. I think 2 million isn't out of reach. It also shows how popular 2D Mario still is and that a new entry in 2D still has big potential. I hope they go for a different style next time around
This is definitely a surprise:
06./00. [NSW] Olympic Games Tokyo 2020: The Official Video Game <SPT> (Sega) {2019.07.24} (¥4.990) - 9.425 / NEW <20-40%>
07./06. [NSW] Olympic Games Tokyo 2020: The Official Video Game <SPT> (Sega) {2019.07.24} (¥4.990) - 8.311 / 17.736 <40-60%> (-12%)
10./07. [NSW] Olympic Games Tokyo 2020: The Official Video Game <SPT> (Sega) {2019.07.24} (¥4.990) - 7.632 / 25.368 <40-60%> (-8%)
I wonder whether it is simply pushed by Summer holidays or there's actual some genuine interest in the game given the even will take place in Japan.
No one also considering Skyward Sword sales. Breath of the Wild is a defining moment for the franchise as Final Fantasy VII or Grand Theft Auto 3 were for their respective franchises.
That's a good news because it means there's not much unsold stock left, meaning that Nintendo periodically is shipping the right amount. It is worrying when a new game has a high sell-through because it might lead to stock issues.
06./00. [NSW] Olympic Games Tokyo 2020: The Official Video Game <SPT> (Sega) {2019.07.24} (¥4.990) - 9.425 / NEW <20-40%>
07./06. [NSW] Olympic Games Tokyo 2020: The Official Video Game <SPT> (Sega) {2019.07.24} (¥4.990) - 8.311 / 17.736 <40-60%> (-12%)
10./07. [NSW] Olympic Games Tokyo 2020: The Official Video Game <SPT> (Sega) {2019.07.24} (¥4.990) - 7.632 / 25.368 <40-60%> (-8%)
I wonder whether it is simply pushed by Summer holidays or there's actual some genuine interest in the game given the even will take place in Japan.
No one also considering Skyward Sword sales. Breath of the Wild is a defining moment for the franchise as Final Fantasy VII or Grand Theft Auto 3 were for their respective franchises.
That's a good news because it means there's not much unsold stock left, meaning that Nintendo periodically is shipping the right amount. It is worrying when a new game has a high sell-through because it might lead to stock issues.
That's a lot of leggy software. Nice!
Is this the lowest sellthrough for a first party game?
21./00. [NSW] Tetris 99 <PZL> (Nintendo) {2019.08.09} (¥3.418) - 2.528 / NEW <0-20%
Is this the lowest sellthrough for a first party game?
21./00. [NSW] Tetris 99 <PZL> (Nintendo) {2019.08.09} (¥3.418) - 2.528 / NEW <0-20%
20./00. [NSW] Snipperclips Plus: Cut it Out, Together! <PZL> (Nintendo) {2017.11.10} (¥3.280) - 3.068 / NEW <0-20%>
14./00. [WIU] The Wonderful 101 <ACT> (Nintendo) {2013.08.24} (¥6.830) - 5.258 / NEW
Media Create Sales: Week 45, 2017 (Nov 06 - Nov 12)
21./00. [NSW] Snipperclips Plus: Cut it Out, Together! <PZL> (Nintendo) {2017.11.10} (¥3.280) - 2.994 / NEW <6,95%>
Super Mario Maker 2 week 7:
01./01. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.06.28} (¥5.980) - 35.846 / 490.415 <80-100%> (-2%)
Super Mario Maker 1 week 7:
04./03. [WIU] Super Mario Maker # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2015.09.10} (¥6.156) - 15.817 / 337.039 (-26%)
SMM2 > 2×SMM1, although the summer holidays help in that regard. Soon the comparison will go somewhat in favour of SMM1 because it goes into the end of year holidays, but we should continue to expect SMM2 to vastly outsell SMM1 in comparable weeks. As I said before, 2M at retail is not entirely out of the question yet - though by no means a guarantee.
01./01. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.06.28} (¥5.980) - 35.846 / 490.415 <80-100%> (-2%)
Super Mario Maker 1 week 7:
04./03. [WIU] Super Mario Maker # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2015.09.10} (¥6.156) - 15.817 / 337.039 (-26%)
SMM2 > 2×SMM1, although the summer holidays help in that regard. Soon the comparison will go somewhat in favour of SMM1 because it goes into the end of year holidays, but we should continue to expect SMM2 to vastly outsell SMM1 in comparable weeks. As I said before, 2M at retail is not entirely out of the question yet - though by no means a guarantee.
Thanks.
2.994 / NEW <6,95%>
eeek
Sell-through only matters during the first couple of weeks. After that, unless a game has utterly bombed, it will pretty much be 80-100% all the time. Retailers are getting new shipments on regular basis, no game in the Top 30 is anywhere near sold out.
Third week drop for FE:
Fates = -56%
Awakening = -38%
Three Houses = -45%
Right in the middle of the other two.
As always, final determination on FETH cannot happen until we get shipment numbers in October. We know that sell-through is high, so shipped should not be far removed from sold through. The reason why we wait is because FETH is showing an overperformance on the eshop, ranking about SMM2 for many weeks and doing better in general on the eshop. SMM2, in turn, had a high digital number as well, as determined from the recent earnings release (roughly 30%). As a result, it is plausible that FETH digital share goes 40% or higher, which would add a huge amount of sales that Fates and Awakening didn't have to nearly the same degree.
Fates = -56%
Awakening = -38%
Three Houses = -45%
Right in the middle of the other two.
As always, final determination on FETH cannot happen until we get shipment numbers in October. We know that sell-through is high, so shipped should not be far removed from sold through. The reason why we wait is because FETH is showing an overperformance on the eshop, ranking about SMM2 for many weeks and doing better in general on the eshop. SMM2, in turn, had a high digital number as well, as determined from the recent earnings release (roughly 30%). As a result, it is plausible that FETH digital share goes 40% or higher, which would add a huge amount of sales that Fates and Awakening didn't have to nearly the same degree.
Games that already are out digitally sell differently once they get a retail release, because there is no first week anticipation like there is for new releases:
Code:
SWI Snipperclips Plus - Cut it out, together! 3.068 91.391 Nintendo
Are we expecting this to have significant impact on video game sales?
Yes, should be. The few weeks just before it goes into effect should see a noticeable increase as people will want to buy their stuff before the prices go up, then they will drop back down once it's gone into effect (and it won't be too pretty). That's what happened with the latest VAT increase, from what I remember. But it's not like sales will explode or anything, but should be a noticeable impact.
As for any long-term impact, it's impossible to say at the moment. But games and consoles being even more pricey certainly won't help, that's for sure.
Dengeki data is out:
PS4 15,156 - 24.6％ / 292,505 - 25.0％
Vita 94 - 0.2％ / 5,217 - 0.4％
Switch 43,753 - 71.0％ / 810,564 - 69.3％
3DS 2,568 - 4.2％ / 58,792 - 5.0％
ETC 34 - 0.1％ / 2,713 - 0.2％
Total 61,605 - 100.0％ / 1,169,791 - 100.0％
This week - Market share / FIscal Year - Market share
PS4 15,156 - 24.6％ / 292,505 - 25.0％
Vita 94 - 0.2％ / 5,217 - 0.4％
Switch 43,753 - 71.0％ / 810,564 - 69.3％
3DS 2,568 - 4.2％ / 58,792 - 5.0％
ETC 34 - 0.1％ / 2,713 - 0.2％
Total 61,605 - 100.0％ / 1,169,791 - 100.0％
This week - Market share / FIscal Year - Market share
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It's having a strange trajectory, for sure.
The only thing I can possibly attribute this spike to is either the Sword/Shield info release last week, or maybe the Go-Fest?
I lost Let's go overall performance
How is it doing in japan and ww compared to previous similar games (not exactly mainline?)
It's doing worse in Japan than any comparable games, better in the West, and broadly similar overall.
Tracking to be the best selling remake WW.
Tracking significantly down in Japan (but is still above 2m). At least the legs are good.
Thank you
If I remember correctly, aldo GO mobile performance in Japan haven't been as spectacular as in the west
Could be that in Japan the brand has always been so strong that now is just seeing a little bit of fatigue?
With western sales rising in the otjer hand, everything seems fine (at least)
If I remember correctly, aldo GO mobile performance in Japan haven't been as spectacular as in the west
Could be that in Japan the brand has always been so strong that now is just seeing a little bit of fatigue?
With western sales rising in the otjer hand, everything seems fine (at least)
It doesn't matter, both are budget (re)releases that are there to sell for months/years mostly outside the chart, Tetris 99 is free for any NSO subscriber and Puyo Puyo Tetris is a 5y old game that was also a launch title on Switch and was discounted to super low price on eshop already.
Bomberman made a comeback on Dengeki (the lack of "R" in the title is Dengeki's typo, not mine :p)
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We can determine that when Sword and Shield come out. Let's Go is such a different type of game that you can't reliably determine franchise decline from it. The next gen Pokémon should give us a good idea, though.
Mario Maker finally outselling NSMB U in the comparison chart makes me happy. 1.5 million+ will be amazing and a lock at this point.
Zelda's legs are crazy good. Must be very strong word of mouth with that one. There's still a massive Switch audience in Japan not buying the game though... I wonder if BOTW2 can break into that audience a little more, and with a stronger start if the sequel can outsell it at least in Japan.
I understand the Tetris games are not supposed to sell on the first week in particular but still... Two Tetris re-releases in the same week, really?
Super Mario Party off the charts for good it seems. Why Nintendo? Why is this the only first party game with no follow up free/paid content? It's very saddening because there is so much potential for it to actually be a series great. Edit: I'm blind. Come on Nintendo, stop work on the sequel give us a little bit of content :(
The amount of content in Taiko is insane. I wish it sold more. Maybe digital is big on this one? I wish they add back in 3-4 player compatibility for the main mode that the later Wii games had.
Smash Bros. Ultimate has sold quite a bit more than Mario Kart 8 Deluxe. This is different to the Wii U where Kart has sold more, and 3DS where they were more even. My guess is that there are some Wii U owners who have not double dipped on Switch. Perhaps Nintendo should release some new Mario Kart content to address this? It's Not Nintendo but Pokken has Deluxe in the title and still got DLC.
Zelda's legs are crazy good. Must be very strong word of mouth with that one. There's still a massive Switch audience in Japan not buying the game though... I wonder if BOTW2 can break into that audience a little more, and with a stronger start if the sequel can outsell it at least in Japan.
I understand the Tetris games are not supposed to sell on the first week in particular but still... Two Tetris re-releases in the same week, really?
Super Mario Party off the charts for good it seems. Why Nintendo? Why is this the only first party game with no follow up free/paid content? It's very saddening because there is so much potential for it to actually be a series great. Edit: I'm blind. Come on Nintendo, stop work on the sequel give us a little bit of content :(
The amount of content in Taiko is insane. I wish it sold more. Maybe digital is big on this one? I wish they add back in 3-4 player compatibility for the main mode that the later Wii games had.
Smash Bros. Ultimate has sold quite a bit more than Mario Kart 8 Deluxe. This is different to the Wii U where Kart has sold more, and 3DS where they were more even. My guess is that there are some Wii U owners who have not double dipped on Switch. Perhaps Nintendo should release some new Mario Kart content to address this? It's Not Nintendo but Pokken has Deluxe in the title and still got DLC.
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05./00. [NSW] Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet - Complete Edition for Nintendo Switch <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games) {2019.08.08} (¥6.800) - 11.770 / NEW <40-60%>
Day 1 sell-through was 40% with Media Create, so I take it final sell-through is closer to 60%. Dengeki has it at 55% too.
Outsold PS4 re-release (8k), but of course, it's way behind original (81k FW).
Can't wait to see how Alicization, a brand new game, is going to do on Swit......... oh.
No. Well, yes, but this release includes both paid DLC (well, second one isn't out yet :P). But yeah, low sales were expected, legs is where this one will shine (or not).
Tbh, I consider Tetris 99 at retail nothing more than a NSO sub packed with a game :P
Day 1 sell-through was 40% with Media Create, so I take it final sell-through is closer to 60%. Dengeki has it at 55% too.
Outsold PS4 re-release (8k), but of course, it's way behind original (81k FW).
Can't wait to see how Alicization, a brand new game, is going to do on Swit......... oh.
No. Well, yes, but this release includes both paid DLC (well, second one isn't out yet :P). But yeah, low sales were expected, legs is where this one will shine (or not).
Tbh, I consider Tetris 99 at retail nothing more than a NSO sub packed with a game :P
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Obligatory nice.
The lesson Bamco will take away is that Switch owners don't want the games, rather than they don't want them 18 months late.
I think part of the reason is the aging of Japan. Population is shrinking half a million a year (and the rate is just increasing) so extremely popular series like Pokemon will take a hit (especially as kids demographics take the biggest hit with low birth rate). It's harder and harder to sell those old Pokemon numbers when the amount of customers shrinks every year.
09./19. [NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2018.11.16} (¥5.980) - 8.019 / 1.598.153 <80-100%> (+111%)
I just noticed the increase, and yeah, this doesn't look normal. My guess is it's due to the HW bundle, since increase (+4k) is more or less the same as the Switch increase this week.
I just noticed the increase, and yeah, this doesn't look normal. My guess is it's due to the HW bundle, since increase (+4k) is more or less the same as the Switch increase this week.
I dived into the earnings release reports a bit, and I found this Mario Party statistic for Japan impressive:
31-3-2008: Mario party 8 - 1.26M shipped
31-3-2019: Super Mario Party - 1.22M shipped
Despite most expectations, SMP is incredibly close to the numbers that MP8 did in Japan (and keep in mind that the MP8 numbers start at July 26 2007, not October 5 like for SMP). SMP is selling faster than MP8 even in Japan (my exposé on worldwide numbers makes clear that it is by far the fastest selling game worldwide), which is impressive since MP8 and MPDS were previously assumed to be untouchable (before SMP released). This game is an amazing success story in many markets.
What's more, SMP shipped 170k in Japan in the first quarter of the calendar year, while MP8 shipped 80k between January 1st 2008 and March 31st 2008. Sales pace is remarkable for sure, although the fact that MP8 released a quarter earlier helps to understand this disparity somewhat.
31-3-2008: Mario party 8 - 1.26M shipped
31-3-2019: Super Mario Party - 1.22M shipped
Despite most expectations, SMP is incredibly close to the numbers that MP8 did in Japan (and keep in mind that the MP8 numbers start at July 26 2007, not October 5 like for SMP). SMP is selling faster than MP8 even in Japan (my exposé on worldwide numbers makes clear that it is by far the fastest selling game worldwide), which is impressive since MP8 and MPDS were previously assumed to be untouchable (before SMP released). This game is an amazing success story in many markets.
What's more, SMP shipped 170k in Japan in the first quarter of the calendar year, while MP8 shipped 80k between January 1st 2008 and March 31st 2008. Sales pace is remarkable for sure, although the fact that MP8 released a quarter earlier helps to understand this disparity somewhat.
Yeah fantastic sales for the baseball game and it doesn't even include digital.
You know why I'm here
Takashi Tezuka
Would you look at that! The KING is 10k away from hitting half a million units, did we somehow skipped over to the next century already?
Anyone who wishes to participate in the prediction league is welcome to do so!
Predict when will Super Mario Maker 2 reach 1 million units (purely Japan retail, no digital). Bonus points if you predict exact numbers (the closest one will win)
So far we have these predictions:
1. WestEgg: Week 49, 2019 --> 1,020,000
2. Zedark: Week 1, 2020 --> 1,050,000
3. Limabean01: Week 10, 2020 --> 1,003,000
4. Zakatana: Week 5, 2020 --> 1,026,000
5. Lelouch0612: Week 46, 2019 --> 1,020,000
6. Slarvac: Week 49, 2019 --> 1,021,987
7. pld: Week 48, 2019 --> 1,000,321
8. Adventureracing: Week 46, 2019 --> 1,000,050
The grand prize is immunity for one MC week where you will be able to give a hot take for any console/game you want without anyone criticizing you! (No immunity guaranteed)
P.S. パワーファイアフラワー
P.S.S. Thanks to hiska-kun for making the thread! Also thanks to Chris for past threads :)
wait i'm pretty sure i made i'm prediction as well >:(
25./29. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 1.990 / 1.991.932 <80-100%> (+15%)
Ooh 2 million is close
Ooh 2 million is close
He said he's loving those legs and to bring on iceborne. What is there not to understand?
Lol this guy cracks me up. He had to go pretty far down the list this week to spin some positive news
Tbh someone paying 3000 yen now for vanilla MHW isn't going to drop 7000 yen in 4 weeks for Iceborne
True.
However, a sizable portion will purchase the expansion (4000Y).
Not a problem. These are the kinds of posts I've come to expect from that poster. Just makes me laugh.
Oh you're right, sorry!! You're added now. Do you want to also make a units prediction?