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Media Create Sales: Week 34, 2018 (Aug 20 - Aug 26)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
Q3 FY ? so October to December ?
They sold around 7m last year, 14m would be impossible. ~50% growth I can get behind.
Yeah, I was wondering how much further this would push the release back. Not that I expect them to be close to release or anything lmao.
I mean't Japan, also WW sales can be like 12M shipments too.
Also how much was shipped to Japan in Q3 last year? I know they sold like 1.3M through but idk about shipments.
Nothing. At best it releases late 2019, but I'm starting to think it will release in 2020 and has no way of selling much.
Apparently developpement is now going well and a trailer is expected at TGS. 2019 si the safest best imo.
Depending on the exclusive content, the game could sell well. It is still a mainline Dragon Quest after all, even if it is a port.
By "selling much" I mean Dragon Quest standards. I think it will perform similar to MHXX. 250k~300k-ish.
Probably more considering the digital figure is only counting July.
Yeah it could obviously. However I feel like DQXI is a tricky situation.
DQXI on Switch will feel more like a remake than a port for 3DS exclusive owners. So maybe it could sell like a remake for this population and more like a port for people that played the PS4 version ? Remakes both sold 900k+ on 3DS, hmm... Regardless I can still see some potential left for DQXI.
It will be the first "late version" for a mainline DQ game.
SQEX can do a lot to make the product desirable. Also, portability of the PS4 version is already a selling point. Switch software is selling great and next year installed base will be huge.
SQEX can do a lot to make the product desirable. Also, portability of the PS4 version is already a selling point. Switch software is selling great and next year installed base will be huge.
Probably means Japan only.
MC has CY17 Q4 at 1,528,435, so 3 million in Oct - Dec this year would be double.
Switch exclusive content is gonna make for some amazing meltdowns.
In the future please specify the context you mean for the quarters. Q3 would be July to September for the calendar year.
Last year in Q4 (CY), the Switch sold ~1.6 million according to Famitsu. It would be a stretch to reach ~3.2 million in Q4 this year.
You are setting yourself for disappointment with predictions like that. 3 million would be higher than peak DS holiday sales.
Yep, and 3M is doable stock wise for Q3 because they are shipping 5M this fiscal year. Q1+Q2+Q4 = will probably be 2M.
The problem with DQXI is that I don't think "late ports" do as well in Japan as they do in the west. People who want DQXI will have second hand cheap DQXI for PS4 for the HD experience and 3DS for the portable one (which is good enough for most consumers).
Yeah, we don't know what features they may add, but it's a long single player RPG -- I don't think people will double dip much.
Yeah, we don't know what features they may add, but it's a long single player RPG -- I don't think people will double dip much.
I had to check that, DS came close in 2006, but was at 2840k for Q4 2006.
Only when specified and usually only in financial threads. This is a sales thread and we typically talk in terms of the calendar year unless otherwise noted.
Peak DS shipped more than 3 millions over oct-dec. it shipped over 1.9 million in december 2006 alone
This Q3 fiscal is way better than last year software wise.
Just realised Switch was down YoY this week. Before remembering MHXX came out during that week, last year.
I think KillerMan91 is right, Switch price is still too high to reach this kind of market penetration.
2m+ is a lock tho.
I guess you are right, I am too hopeful lol. It was just that last year did 1.5M on only SMO. This year has pokemon, smash, DQB2 and potential Yokai 4
Yes I agree - I was just clarifying the "doubling" figures the other poster was referencing.
Octopath almost done. Wish it could leg out to 200k physical at least.
What a great run. A classic JRPG like that sticking around in the charts for over a month now.
Also, is this the first time a multiplatform title debuted higher on Switch than PS4?
What a great run. A classic JRPG like that sticking around in the charts for over a month now.
Also, is this the first time a multiplatform title debuted higher on Switch than PS4?
How did you catch it before my edit
I always meant shipped sonce we were talking about Nintendo's shipment plans :/
Even if we talk about shipped you are wrong. DS shipped 2.92 million units to Japan in Q3 2006.
Software sales are going to be the real star. It will be insane and more interesting than hardware ;)
It really has to be a big addition to get people's attention. My personal wish is for monster taming or something along those lines, maybe even with a multiplayer component. Don't know if it would be big with people or not tho.
It will be for sure, but will it be enough to make software 2018 > 2017?
Imagine how well it would have done if SE hadn't kept colossally fucking up the supply
Haven't played the game, but are there any NPC characters that might get the Morrie/Red treatment from DQ VIII for the Switch release / general re-release?
Even going down, the grip is real.
Edit: should've read the next batch of replies.
Not sure if this is the first anime game that outsells a PS4 release. Always found it weird that Nintendo consoles missed out on a lot of anime games so I'm guessing switch will probably start bucking the trend after the one piece and jump force.
I don't disagree that it should handily outsell last year. Just that going to 3 million for one quarter is pretty damn tall order especially as the base weekly sales of Switch are not even close to record holder DS.
Oh. Sorry. I misread the word double in your post as doable lol.
Nintendo shipped 1.77M in oct to dec period last year. Media create is ~1.528M sales. Since all other quarters will probably do the same as last year and that nintendo will ship 25% to Japan for this fiscal year, add 1.2M more shipments to this holiday.
Last fiscal year:
Q1: 520k
Q2: 830k
Q3: 1770k
Q4: 660k
total: 3.78M of 15M shipments( 25.2%)
This fiscal year:
Q1: 500k
Q2: 700k shipments if 50k average for next 5 weeks.
Q3: 3150k shipments so if DEMAND is there, nintendo will have the supply for their 20 M forecast.
Q4: 650k
total: 5M of 20M shipments (25%)
Last fiscal year:
Q1: 520k
Q2: 830k
Q3: 1770k
Q4: 660k
total: 3.78M of 15M shipments( 25.2%)
This fiscal year:
Q1: 500k
Q2: 700k shipments if 50k average for next 5 weeks.
Q3: 3150k shipments so if DEMAND is there, nintendo will have the supply for their 20 M forecast.
Q4: 650k
total: 5M of 20M shipments (25%)
Switch software is doing amazing. Here's hope Yokai 4 is the return to form the franchise needs and ends up selling over 1M
Neat. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe just passed 6x its first week. Breath of the Wild should hit that mark in four weeks, maybe three (depending on whether it tracks like this week or manages to do a little better). I like tracking my games based on FW multipliers, and I'm rooting for BotW to overtake MK8DX. That's still a tough underdog fight, as it would need to get consistently at least two-thirds the weekly sales, and the end-of-year holidays are probably going to work against it.
If BOTW passes Odyssey... which probably means >2M sales, BOTW is the true GOTY of 2017