1. TongPoo

    TongPoo
    Member

    I guess retailers are playing safe by ordering a small amount of copies and the first shipment is not enough. I totally understand them playing safe because I honestly can't believe this game crosses 50k in two weeks. (And I believe there is not much marketing for this game in Japan?) I guess Japanese PS4 owners really are more open to western games nowadays.
     
  2. silpheed-mcd

    silpheed-mcd
    Member

    No, 70%, i'm the Pac-man guard

    [​IMG]
     
  3. delete12345

    delete12345
    Member

    So are we correct in predicting a 5 million units sold in 1~2 weeks?
     
  4. Chris1964

    Chris1964
    SalesEra Genius Member OP

    We saw this coming for PS4 before summer and western titles won't help. Next 4 months will be hard but Sony will have some kind of promotion for holidays again most likely.
     
  5. Marukoban

    Marukoban
    Member

    Will it start earlier this year?
    Week 43 last year was Odyssey's launch week.
    Super Mario Party is launching in around 4 weeks.
     
  6. Adamska

    Adamska
    Member

    Nice for Conan, is this some sort of viral success?

    Also, I don't see the Switch selling over 7 million units this year, regardless of the releases it gets.
     
  7. The continued success of Minecraft makes me think that DQB2 could do amazing.
     
  8. Fularu

    Fularu
    Member

    We live in a world where A mainline 3D Mario game leaves the top 20 before a Zelda game

    I’m kind of surprised at Odyssey’s lack of staying power tbh, I was hoping it would stay at the top for longer (but still almost a full year of top 20 is still prety great for a 3D mario)
     
  9. Chris1964

    Chris1964
    SalesEra Genius Member OP

  10. MukuMuku

    MukuMuku
    Member

    the PS4 was mainly for the west right?

    but i think sony aint worried with those numbers. How does it compare globally?
     
  11. m051293

    m051293
    Member

    BOTW is up 27% Q2 to-date vs 2017 and trending up. New console attach rate for Q2 FY18 is up at 15.5% from 10.9% in FY17. Total drop from FY17 to FY18 is going to be really minimal through 3/31/19. Launch month was FY16.

    MK8D is up 6.9% same frame. New console attach rate for Q2 FY18 is up at 29.8% from 22.9% in FY17.
     
  12. hiska-kun

    hiska-kun
    Member

    Hardware Sales YTD vs Last Year YTD (Until October 22nd)

    [​IMG]

    Code:
    +-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+
    
    |System |  This Week |     YTD    |  Last Year |  Last YTD  |
    
    +-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+
    
    |  NSW  |     42.151 |  1.657.730 |     50.074 |  1.578.036 |
    
    | PS4 # |     16.591 |  1.170.547 |     26.384 |  1.176.186 |
    
    +-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+

    Switch vs Wii

    Weekly

    [​IMG]

    Accumulated

    [​IMG]

    Code:
    -------------------------------------------------------------
    
    |    |    Nintendo Wii   |   Nintendo Switch |  Difference  |
    
    |    |    (2006/12/02)   |    (2017/03/03)   |              |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
    
    |Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |   NSW - Wii  |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
    
    | 77 |   41.572|6.035.952|   54.647|4.881.939|    -1.154.013|
    
    | 78 |   49.047|6.084.999|   46.259|4.928.198|    -1.156.801|
    
    | 79 |   50.851|6.135.850|   42.151|4.970.349|    -1.165.501|
    
    | 80 |   44.639|6.180.489|         |         |              |
    
    | 81 |   45.564|6.226.053|         |         |              |
    
    | 82 |   41.037|6.267.090|         |         |              |
    
    | 83 |   48.480|6.311.614|         |         |              |
    
    | 84 |   44.525|6.360.094|         |         |              |
    
    | 85 |   41.768|6.401.862|         |         |              |
    
    | 86 |   40.803|6.442.665|         |         |              |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|

    PS4 vs PS3

    [​IMG]

    Code:
    -------------------------------------------------------------
    
    |    |   PlayStation 3   |   PlayStation 4   |  Difference  |
    
    |    |    (2006/11/11)   |    (2014/02/22)   |              |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
    
    |Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |   PS4 - PS3  |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
    
    | 235|   20.883|6.578.680|   25.843|7.023.521|       444.841|
    
    | 236|   13.789|6.592.469|   22.838|7.046.359|       453.890|
    
    | 237|   12.935|6.605.404|   16.591|7.062.950|       457.546|
    
    | 238|   15.987|6.621.391|         |         |              |
    
    | 239|   16.510|6.637.901|         |         |              |
    
    | 240|   17.104|6.655.005|         |         |              |
    
    | 241|   16.081|6.671.086|         |         |              |
    
    | 242|   16.993|6.688.079|         |         |              |
    
    | 243|   26.441|6.714.520|         |         |              |
    
    | 244|   22.900|6.737.420|         |         |              |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|

    Minecraft Switch vs Minecraft Vita Edition

    [​IMG]

    Code:
    -------------------------------------------------------------
    
    |    | Minecraft Vita    | Minecraft Switch  |  Difference  |
    
    |    | [PSV] (2015/03/19)| [NSW] (2018/06/21)|              |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
    
    |Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   | Switch – Vita|
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
    
    | 9  |   11.303|  155.278|   25.948|  212.170|        56.892|
    
    | 10 |   11.898|  167.176|   18.234|  230.404|        63.228|
    
    | 11 |   12.449|  179.625|   19.110|  249.514|        69.889|
    
    | 12 |   10.708|  190.332|         |         |              |
    
    | 13 |    9.657|  199.989|         |         |              |
    
    | 14 |    9.703|  209.693|         |         |              |
    
    | 15 |   10.896|  220.589|         |         |              |
    
    | 16 |   11.941|  232.530|         |         |              |
    
    | 17 |   10.898|  243.428|         |         |              |
    
    | 18 |    9.878|  253.306|         |         |              |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|

    Kirby Star Allies vs Kirby Triple Deluxe

    [​IMG]

    Code:
    -------------------------------------------------------------
    
    |    |Kirby Triple Deluxe| Kirby Star Allies |  Difference  |
    
    |    | [3DS] (2014/01/11)| [NSW] (2018/03/16)|              |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
    
    |Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |   KSA – KTD  |
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
    
    | 16 |    6.326|  559.903|    6.379|  546.771|       -13.132|
    
    | 17 |   10.046|  569.949|    6.833|  553.604|       -16.345|
    
    | 18 |   10.056|  580.005|    6.160|  559.764|       -20.241|
    
    | 19 |    4.504|  584.509|    6.407|  566.171|       -18.338|
    
    | 20 |    4.055|  588.563|    6.620|  572.791|       -15.772|
    
    | 21 |    3.858|  592.422|    7.048|  579.839|       -12.583|
    
    | 22 |    3.709|  596.131|    7.657|  587.496|        -8.635|
    
    | 23 |    3.379|  599.510|    8.707|  596.203|        -3.307|
    
    | 24 |    3.051|  602.562|    5.372|  601.576|          -986|
    
    | 25 |    2.809|  605.371|    5.203|  606.779|         1.408|
    
    |----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
    The end for Kirby’s graph, since TripleDeluxe left the Top 20.

    Extra

    Taiko no Tatsujin comparison

    [​IMG]
     
  13. Marukoban

    Marukoban
    Member

    LTD or only this year?
    If it's the former then it's almost inevitable that will happen.
    Switch sold 1.3m between November and December last year.
    The latter is pretty much impossible yeah.
     
  14. DarkDetective

    DarkDetective
    Member

    Next week.
     
  15. Lelouch0612

    Lelouch0612
    Member

    2 millions in 4 months ?

    They sold 1.8m last year between September and end of the year, despite supply issues and with only Odyssey as a big game.

    They are going to crush this figure easily.
     
  16. SE did their best to ensure it couldn't sell well in Japan. If it weren't for Nintendo publishing outside of Japan who knows how badly overall it would have done
     
  17. hiska-kun

    hiska-kun
    Member

    [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 1.099.210
    [WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 159.401
    Total: 1.258.611

    [NSW+WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 1.258.611
    [N64] The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time <ADV> (Nintendo) {1998.11.21} (¥6.800) - 1.257.205
    [NDS] The Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass <ADV> (Nintendo) {2006.06.23} (¥4.800) - 908.434
    [N64] The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask <ADV> (Nintendo) {2000.04.27} (¥6.800) - 876.575
    [GCN] The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker <ADV> (Nintendo) {2002.12.13} (¥6.800) - 837.391
    [NDS] The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks <ADV> (Nintendo) {2009.12.23} - 700.373
    [WII+GCN] The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess <ADV> (Nintendo) {2006.12.02} (¥6.476) - 642.607
    [3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 3D <ADV> (Nintendo) {2011.06.16} (¥4.800) - 613.328
    [3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask 3D # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2015.02.14} (¥5.076) - 464.196
    [3DS] The Legend of Zelda: A Link Between Worlds # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2013.12.26} (¥4.800) - 443.630
    [WII] The Legend: Skyward Sword <ADV> (Nintendo) {2011.11.23} (¥6.476) - 358.601
     
  18. DarkDetective

    DarkDetective
    Member

    Thanks for the graphs, hiska-kun ! Really appreciate the extra Taiko graph! :D

    Also cool to see that Star Allies has overtaken Triple Deluxe now.
     
  19. I guess LDC sales bodes well for Bokujou on Switch? But sad for the PS4 numbers.
     
  20. Xita

    Xita
    Member

    Odyssey :(

    But Splatoon though :)
     
  21. cw_sasuke

    cw_sasuke
    Member

    I really wonder how the dev team feels about the way SE handled that release in Japan.

    Politics I guess.
     
  22. Heart_Attack

    Heart_Attack
    Banned Member

    Why is Conan selling in Japan? That’s shocking to me
     
  23. silpheed-mcd

    silpheed-mcd
    Member

  24. Platy

    Platy
    Member

    Which is specially weird since the first and second game ARE ps4 games
     
  25. Chris1964

    Chris1964
    SalesEra Genius Member OP

  26. Lyrick

    Lyrick
    Member

    They don't really seem like the kind of titles for an additional audience (non-PS4 owners).

    There's 7M units on the market, and no earth moving software on the horizon. The overlap between people that don't have a PS4 and those that would buy one for the new releases coming out through the end of the year has to be a pretty narrow band.
     
  27. fiendcode

    fiendcode
    Member

    Nintendo can throw them Momotaru Switch to keep the lights on.
     
  28. silpheed-mcd

    silpheed-mcd
    Member

    Era with Chris1964!

    [​IMG]
     
  29. fiendcode

    fiendcode
    Member

    I just realized Marvelous is publishing this in Japan. Seems like Xseed is missing out on all their Switch games except those SK spinoffs.
     
  30. Minsc

    Minsc
    Member

    Regarding Octopath and not being in the top 20, it's also in part because the cutoff is higher.

    Last week Octopath sold 4.611 at spot 16, with 20 being 2.345. This week 20 is 4.830, so even if Octopath had an increase in sales, it still might not have charted, despite selling more than last week.

    That said I don't expect it to hold near 4.611, or increase.
     
  31. hiska-kun

    hiska-kun
    Member

    Too much drama for Mario Odyssey.
    The game could be back in the Top 20 already next week (depending on new releases performance).
     
  32. BlackJace

    BlackJace
    Member

    Naruto to Bargain Bin whew
     
  33. Tbf to this one, the main reason is happening like that in the US is apparently because Wada is friends with the CEO of Aksys.

     
  34. Numberfox

    Numberfox
    Member

    PS4 owners are STARVED for content! /s
     
  35. silpheed-mcd

    silpheed-mcd
    Member

    Yeah and famitsu sales are better

    03./12. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 6.235 / 1.788.228 <80-100%> (-9%)

    https://www.resetera.com/threads/me...018-aug-20-aug-26.65079/page-10#post-12262153
     
  36. Chris1964

    Chris1964
    SalesEra Genius Member OP

    Another direct nobody saw coming because Nintendo doesn't follow patterns. Q4 releases will close tomorrow and there will be something for first months of 2019.
     
  37. Adamska

    Adamska
    Member

    Yeah, I don't think it's going to cross that mark that easily. The LTD one, I mean. It's going to be close, though.
     
  38. casiopao

    casiopao
    Member

    Octopath doom in japan is truly one of an achievement by SE lol.

    When even they had hits. They still managed to F it up. Gratz SE. U are the opposite of bamco now.
     
  39. LET'S GO CHRIS! :p
     
  40. silpheed-mcd

    silpheed-mcd
    Member

  41. cw_sasuke

    cw_sasuke
    Member

    This Naruto project never made any sense. Must have been cheap as hell.
     
  42. sfortunato

    sfortunato
    Member

    3D Land, which sold 2m+, launch aligned, was already selling less than Odyssey. Splatoon, Kart and Zelda are selling like DS evergreens—Odyssey is selling like fine. Also, there’s more competition in the platform department with Kirby and Donkey Kong.
     
  43. silpheed-mcd

    silpheed-mcd
    Member

    SWITCH GAMES, Ranking Sales, Japan, 2018 (Aug 27 - Sep 02)

    [​IMG]


    Media-Create: 79 games (+1)
    [​IMG]

    01 - Splatoon 2 (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} - 2.589.842
    02 - Super Mario Odyssey (Nintendo) (2017.10.27) - 1.800.721
    03 - Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) (2017.04.28) - 1.735.297
    04 - The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) (2017.03.03) - 1.099.210
    05 - Kirby Star Allies (Nintendo) {2018.03.16} - 606.779
    05 - 1-2-Switch (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} – 445.228
    07 - ARMS (Nintendo) (2017.06.16) – 406.645
    08 - Mario Tennis Aces (Nintendo) {2018.06.22} - 332.211
    09 - Pokken Tournament DX (Pokemon Co.) (2017.09.22) - 262.871
    10 - Minecraft (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} - 249.514
    11 - Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 01: Variety Kit (Nintendo) {2018.04.20} - 222.514
    12 - Monster Hunter Double Cross: Nintendo Switch Ver. (Capcom) (2017.08.25) - 214.492
    13 - Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze (Nintendo) {2018.05.03} - 193.708
    14 - Octopath Traveler (Square Enix) {2018.07.13} - 188.238
    15 - Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco Games) {2018.07.19} - 182.614 (+1)
    16 - Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (Nintendo) (2017.12.01) - 181.254
    17 - Mario + Rabbids: Kingdom Battle (Nintendo) {2018.01.18} - 167.333
    18 - Super Bomberman R (Konami) (2017.03.03) – 145.029
    19 - Dragon Ball: Xenoverse 2 for Nintendo Switch (Bandai Namco Games) (2017.09.07) – 141.100
    20 - Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker (Nintendo) {2018.07.13} - 114.445 (+1)


    SWITCH GAMES, Ranking Sales, Japan, 2018 (Aug 20 - Aug 26)
    https://www.resetera.com/threads/me...2018-aug-20-aug-26.65079/page-7#post-12125060
     
  44. Vena

    Vena
    Community Resettler Member

    Totally forgot today was release day due to Labor Day.

    Slow week.
     
  45. CeroMiedo

    CeroMiedo
    Member

    Pacman is 83%
     
  46. Braaier

    Braaier
    Member

    Nothing will save it now. Maybe dqb2, but doubtful since it's releasing on switch too
     
  47. Braaier

    Braaier
    Member

    Octopath out of the top 20? Yikes! Kind of soon, even for a jrpg, isn't it?
     
  48. Mory Dunz

    Mory Dunz
    Member

    First time Odyssey out of top 20 I'd guess
     
  49. Joseki

    Joseki
    Member

    It lasted more than many other JRPG.
     
  50. CeroMiedo

    CeroMiedo
    Member