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Hero

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,783
Decided first post on the new forum should be a sales thread.

Good to have discussion again!

This will probably be the last week that PS4 outsells the Switch until Monster Hunter World.

Feeling like Switch sales will be 100-125k next week for Mario. 150-200k software copies.
 

Zedark

Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,719
The Netherlands
I'm not sure if we'll see a "permanent" upward tick after the release of SMO. Next week will be big, but I think Switch numbers after that probably will depend on the availability of the SMO bundle, like the Splatoon bundle increased the so called baseline for many weeks.

Switch: 100k
SMO: 300k
We are headed into the holiday months, though. Therefore, I think we should see the number stay at least at 80k or above. If not, then Nintendo must have failed to ramp up its production for the holiday months, and Japan will be a bloodbath...

I didn't know I had so many fans before this transition, I was going from fight to fight to GAF when I was in the mood.
You joking? Everyone loves you! You bring brilliant insight and hard truths to the mix, and your MC threads are always on time and very well-structured. What's not to love?
 

Shibi

Member
Oct 25, 2017
383
Good to see the forum up. Next week will definitely be interesting even if this week was not. GTS at least still has some life.
 

Zedark

Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,719
The Netherlands
2M next week should be doable. The big question will we whether Switch will be able to touch the 3DS's graph in two weeks. I think the shipment will be bigger than with Splatoon 2 in July. Not because Super Mario Odyssey is a bigger game in Japan, but simply because there's more supply available. The holidays will be interesting.
Definitely. Nintendo mentioned before the Splatoon 2 launch that they had increased production for the fall, so I expect the numbers to remain high in the weeks after SMO and into the holiday period. Hoping it can get to 3.5 million by the end of December at the very least, 4 million if they really decide to treat Japan!
 

Nocturnal

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
1,321
I wonder if NPD and M-C annual predictions will carry over to the new forum ?


My prediction from GAF for next week:
Switch -150k
SMO - 450k
Splatoon 2 - 90k
MK8D - 35k
BOTW - 20k
 

Nocturnal

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
1,321
Did Donny come over? He used his info to create the competition, so he's quite a prequisite for it.

Not sure but the one on M-C was ran by Bruno MB


In anycase my last months prediction was awful lol at FEW at nearly 100K

noshten said:
PREDICTION LEAGUE OCTOBER 2017

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Sep 25 to Oct 29):

[NSW + 3DS] Fire Emblem Warriors (32 days) - 95000
[PS4] Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen (25 days) - 70000
[3DS] Mario & Luigi: RPG1 DX (25 days) - 60000
[PS4] Gran Turismo Sport (11 days) - 130000
[PS4 + PSV] Itadaki Street: Dragon Quest & Final Fantasy 30th Anniversary (11 days) - 60000
[NSW] Super Mario Odyssey (3 days) - 430000
 
Oct 25, 2017
126
Canada
I am very interested in seeing how Odyssey does in Japan. There seems to be a lot of advertising for it so I'm thinking it will have a decent opening, but more importantly, I think it will have some pretty great legs. I'm thinking it will debut around 325K, with the Switch feeling 125K next week.

It is going to be a really interesting November/December in Japan.
 

skullwaker

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,267
Pokken over 100k! And Zelda still being in the top 10 is impressive.

This week was alright, but next week is gonna be insane. Odyssey will be huge, and the Switch should see a nice uptick.
 

WestEgg

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,047
6 months ago, who would have thought that by now McV: I would be off the charts, and Animal Crossing: New Leaf would still be chugging along? That game is immortal.
 

Fularu

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,609
Pokken and Arms are both still going on. I'm fully expecting Pokken to beat the WiiU version in Japan and for Arms to go beyond 400k now
 

Lyrick

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
2,818
Are there any locals? What's the probability of extended line photos for the SMO and Switch bundle launch?
 

Irminsul

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,039
If I remember correctly, 3D Marios didn't do all that well in Japan in comparison to 2D ones; even less so than in other parts of the world. I'll go with 280k Marios.
 

Parshias

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,600
A little odd to see the Switch drop this week, I thought it was going to hold at 40k/week for a while. Maybe they're conserving a bit of the stock from this week for Odyssey's launch.

Anyway, I think we need to break the forum in with a good old 10-page Media Create argument. I'll start us off: CAPCOM
 

Yunyo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,824
Ain't an MC thread without Chris. Looking forward to lurking more threads.

Let's see how powerful 3D Mario is.
 

Umibozu

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
414
Good to see all the familiar faces, and thanks vena for the hard work.

Looking forward to next week's results.
 

Abicus

Member
Oct 25, 2017
489
Australia
Great to see the Sales community land together. I didn't contribute much at all to the previous ones, but will have a go this time around.

How will Mario influence the Switch baseline in the run to the Holiday period, will there be any significant uptick from the 30/40k its been doing for a while?
 

Lelouch0612

Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,200
What a pleasure to be here ! The last couple of days were pretty rough.

So I guess that Pokken has juste become the 8th Switch game to have sold more than 100K copies in retail ? ( with Zelda, 1-2 Switch, Bomberman, MK8D, ARMS, Splatoon and MHXX ).

What titles have the potential to cross the 100K mark by year's end ?
 

Nocturnal

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
1,321
Famitsu Digital Estimates September:

Pokémon Gold/Silver – 78,834
Destiny 2 – 26,242
Everybody's Golf – 20,563
Dragon Quest X – 19,959
Splatoon 2 – 18,652
Pro Evolution Soccer 2018 – 11,652
Minecraft: PlayStation 4 Edition – 10,763
Pokkén Tournament DX – 10,182
Dragon Quest X – PS4 – 6,348
Dragon Quest XI – PS4 – 5,685

July to September:
DQX11 - 226k
Splatoon 2 - 125k

Famitsu going with 10% digital for Splatoon 2, I think we will soon find out that share is higher
 

ggx2ac

Sales Heaven or Sales Hell?
Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,504
I guess I still continue posting my usual mobile stuff here like last time.

David Gibson tweeted that Animal Crossing Pocket Camp is 2nd on download ranks in iOS for Australia and has a 4.9/5.0 rating.

The Google play page also shows a 4.9/5.0 rating for ACPC
 

Benji

Self Requested Ban
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
8,114
Evil Within continues to under-perform in markets we can track. That's a bummer
 
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