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Mbolibombo

Member
Oct 29, 2017
7,043
If Smash week only managed to tie PLG launch in terms of hardware push, that has to be a bit dissapointing.

But if the 300 hint is actual total hardware and considering that PS4 should have a really good week. That might just be the case then..
 

Adventureracing

The Fallen
Nov 7, 2017
8,027
If Smash week only managed to tie PLG launch in terms of hardware push, that has to be a bit dissapointing.

But if the 300 hint is actual total hardware and considering that PS4 should have a really good week. That might just be the case then..

Pokémon let's go week had the benefit of the smash bundles as well. I agree that 200K wouldn't be super impressive but it would be ok IMO. 300K would be fantastic and I'm still hoping that will happen.

Looking forward to the numbers this week, always exciting when the holidays kick in.
 

Kerotan

Banned
Oct 31, 2018
3,951

KillerMan91

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,354
Don't the fact that Nintendo don't give at all digital only sales for the Switch skew the result? Since we know some software like ACA neo geo are million sellers, minecraft probably sold 1M even before the physical version and other sales not tracked?
These data likely come from surveys.

I mean yeah but still IHS is not some no name information provider so if they share something it should be pretty accurate.

These garphs include everything that is purchased digital, they don't show digital/physical ratio for software releases.

I mean sure it does include digital only games too but you should still get general picture of the situation from it (especially as indies do well also on Switch) .
 

Deleted member 2145

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
29,223
yall are nuts

went from anything over 200k would be good for Switch to anything under 300k would be disappointing lol

275k confirmed
 

lost7

Member
Feb 20, 2018
2,750
I reckon 200k would be good numbers, considering the Smash bundle has been available for a couple of weeks now and its effect will consequently be more spread-out.
 
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sfortunato

Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,739
Italy
I mean yeah but still IHS is not some no name information provider so if they share something it should be pretty accurate.

Famitsu is Enterbrain and their digital estimates are still pretty trash. It all depends on the methodology used and how the sample was representative.

I mean sure it does include digital only games too but you should still get general picture of the situation from it (especially as indies do well also on Switch) .

Does it include other purchases, though, like DLCs and MTXs? Not clear.
 

Zedark

Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,719
The Netherlands
250k would be good in my book but below that is really not performing well. Week 48 did underperform a bit but only by a relatively low number so it was largely forgettable.
You are talking the same discrepancy as I was, though: I suggested 220k, and you called it bad, whereas my calling 120k underwhelming compared to my 150k expectations is apparently 'a low amount'.
 

Deleted member 2791

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
19,054
You are talking the same discrepancy as I was, though: I suggested 220k, and you called it bad, whereas my calling 120k underwhelming compared to my 150k expectations is apparently 'a low amount'.

Not quite. 250k is already revised down prediction from a few weeks back following week 48's slightly lower than expected performance. Meaning that 250k is in line with my revised expectations (initial one was 280k, but coming from a 120k this doesn't seem really the most probable outcome). Going down even further to 220k wouldn't be just a 30k discrepancy.
 

Lelouch0612

Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,200
Top Best Week 49 (Famitsu, excluding launch week) :

Portable :
1/ 350k (3DS 2011)
2/ 317k (GBA 2003)
3/ 310k (DS 2006)

Home consoles :
1/ 264k (Wii 2007)
2/ 194k (PS2 2003)
3/ 184k (PS2 2001)

Last year : 193k (NSW 2017)
 

Kaitos

Tens across the board!
Moderator
Oct 25, 2017
14,706
THE NC GOP IS CHANGING THE LAW THAT THERE HAS TO BE A NEW PRIMARY IF THE BOE CALLS A SPECIAL ELECTION



Shameless.
 

Pancakes R Us

Member
Oct 27, 2017
8,338
Top Best Week 49 (Famitsu, excluding launch week) :

Portable :
1/ 350k (3DS 2011)
2/ 317k (GBA 2003)
3/ 310k (DS 2006)

Home consoles :
1/ 264k (Wii 2007)
2/ 194k (PS2 2003)
3/ 184k (PS2 2001)

Last year : 193k (NSW 2017)
Didn't either the OG DS or DSL break the 500k barrier one week in Japan around Christmas, back in the day? I definitely remember a press release from NoE about it breaking that barrier across Europe in a week, and felt like it happened in Japan, too.
 
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Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Nintendo apparently has Smash sell-through by now by counting how many copies went online but they must wait for tracker reports for more accurate results.
 

Pancakes R Us

Member
Oct 27, 2017
8,338
Week 51 2005 DS sold 598K. It's the biggest non launch week ever. Highest including launches is PS2 launch week in Mar 2000 when it sold 630K. Second is GBA launch in march 2001 when it sold 610K.
Damn. Thanks for this. I wonder if any system will beat PS2's launch week in the coming years. I don't expect a 598k non-launch week like the 2005 DS sales though...ever again. Probably because nothing will be priced like the DS again. That was just nuts.
 

>__

Alt Account
Banned
Oct 28, 2018
474
Good for globally but this MC thread, so, again, I stand by what I said, MHW had a great release but given the lack of legs compared to omother games, i asse the game sold more on the novelty factor: "OMG MH is back on PS and HD, I have to try it!!!!"

There's no basis for your conclusion. Also did you see I said it reached a high LTD really quickly. Legs don't mean as much when you've sold nearly as much as you can within the first month or so.

Also isn't it 4m+? So for all we know it could be 4.4m or 4.5m.

Good call. Yeah, between 4-5 million.
 

>__

Alt Account
Banned
Oct 28, 2018
474
high sales at the start and lack of legs on a series that the past 3-4 installments had legs is not basis to conclude high early sales would been based on the novelty factor?

A more obvious reason would be the other games being on handhelds, allowing for larger LTDs.
Looking at the databases the difference is not even that big: MH3P sold 4 million in 2 months, 90% of its LTD. MH4 sold 3 million in 2 months, 80% of its LTD. MHW sold 2.6 million in 2 months (digital iirc has not been updated) which is slightly over 90% of its LTD.
 

Arynio

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,235
It's less of a comparison to smash and more just looking at the full calendar year and seeing that a ps4 game takes top spot. First and probably last time ever the console will likely achieve this. Hasn't happened since the ps2 days for Sony AFAIK.

Depending on how Smash behaves these weeks, there's a possibility for it to take that #1 spot from MHW (I'd say it's very likely at retail only, with an outside chance at shipments too).
 
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Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Monster Hunter Portable 3 - opening 2m / LTD 5m+
Monster Hunter 4 - opening 2m / LTD 4m+
Monster Hunter World - opening 2m / LTD 3m
 
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Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Smash is unknown territory this December of how high it will go. Being a holiday release has potential for frontloaded but very high initial sales.
 

foxuzamaki

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,550
Sorry for double post.

The leaker blog posted a picture of Saint Germain. In the past he posted a Saint Germain picture to hint that something sold 300k.

This is because in Japanese, Saint Germain sounds like "San Ju Man" (300k).

Don't get too excited yet. Maybe we are reading too much.
220px-Count_of_St_Germain.jpg
Now that's a japanese exclusive meme if I ever saw one