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Deleted member 2791

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Oct 25, 2017
19,054
See, it didn't underperform. They simply lumped it with other titles that underperformed. I'd like you to note that Mario & Sonic was amongst those underperformers. Once again the Switch is holding back publishers, and the industry, from greatness.
 

Deleted member 51691

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Jan 6, 2019
17,834
Again Sega never said Persona 5 Royal underperformed. The only comment they made in their financial report was in regard to total packaged units for all software combined. It's really not that complicated.
Yeah it's possible that the underperformance of Sakura Wars (should have been on Switch) and Mario and Sonic 2020 (should have been a better game) offset the solid performance of P5R. Didn't we all agree that P5R did well for what it is from the public data?
 

Oregano

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
22,878
Yeah it's possible that the underperformance of Sakura Wars (should have been on Switch) and Mario and Sonic 2020 (should have been a better game) offset the solid performance of P5R. Didn't we all agree that P5R did well for what it is from the public data?

Shin Sakura Wars didn't underperform if you compare it to the game that killed the franchise.
 

MysticGon

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 31, 2017
7,285
Sega has been firing all of it's big guns in Japan and, weirdly, they are not release the Platinum bundle there.

If they are singing the same tune about underperforming software there might be some changes.

They were still happy to crow about P5's 3.2 million though and I'm sure they are happy with all the attention Sonic is getting.
 
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Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Dreamcast chart data is a year earlier. You know, 97 corresponds to 98, and so on until 2002.
Master System {1983/07/15} (¥15.000) - 1.000.000

Mega Drive {1988/10/29} (¥21.000) - 3.580.000
Mega CD {1991/12/12} (¥49.800) - 400.000
32X {1994/12/03} (¥16.800) - 50.000

Game Gear {1990/10/06} (¥19.800) - 1.780.000

Saturn {1994/11/22} (¥44.800) - 5.750.000

Dreamcast {1998/11/22} (¥29.800) - 2.490.000
graph.png


graph.png
 
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Chris1964

Chris1964

SalesEra Genius
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Third generation home consoles

Famicom {1983/07/15} (¥14.800) - 19.350.000
Master System {1983/07/15} (¥15.000) - 1.000.000
Super Cassette Vision {1984/07/17} (¥14.800) - 300.000
graph.png

The legend, 21 years of shipments
 
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fiendcode

Member
Oct 26, 2017
24,911
The three games that Sega highlighted were Persona 5 Royal, Mario & Sonic and Sakura Wars. Yakuza 7 was not released in FY Q3

I see that he made a mistake earlier and posted about Sega talking about Yakuza 7 instead of Persona 5. Hadn't read that post.
Oh, that makes more sense then. Although yeah, that might indicate Sega had extra high expectations for P5R, it's actual sales seemed pretty okay. I'd say the same for Mario & Sonic 2020, these two games sold well but perhaps just not as well as Sega wanted.
 

Fisico

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,106
Paris
Since the Sega numbers are being brought once again, here is exactly what they said in their presentation (slide 18)

2020/3 3Q results
Launched several new titles but sales went below expectation.
"PERSONA 5 ROYAL"
"Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games Tokyo 2020™"
"New Sakura Wars"
Repeat sales of existing titles performed solidly exceeding forecast.
Operating income decreased YoY due to increased expenses associated with the launch of new titles


Sales being below expectation is explicitely refering to new titles while repeat sales are mentioned as being good
The biggest new titles are the 3 mentioned there, Persona 5 Royal, Mario & Sonic, New Sakura Wars

Sega didn't release many others titles besides these ones, I only found 13 Sentinels (which had a dissapointing start) and Yakuza 4 Remaster (a very low seller) Super Monkey Ball Banana Blitz HD (probably low expectations but mega bombed regardless) and Football Manager 2020 that we can see in slide 19

From there we can infer that overall they had dissapointing sales in Q3 because there probably was not a single title exceeding expectations while we know many had dissapointing results (Shin Sakura Taisen, 13 Sentinels, Banana Blitz HD, Yakuza 4 Remaster)

The three others one, Persona 5 Royal, Mario & Sonic and Football Manager either didn't pick up the slack from the dissapointing sales above or were dissapointing as well.

But considering the total sales being mentionned at the bottom of slide 18, I find it hard to believe that Q3 titles played such a big part in the overall results, with an initial forecast for the FY at 10.69M sales for the new titles in packaged sales revised to 9.84M, japanese sales of 400k for Persona 5 Royal, 250k for SST, ~300k for M&S surely aren't the main culprit for the 850k missing sales worldwide for the full fiscal year.
 
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Chris1964

Chris1964

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Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Sales of P5R look strong for just Japan but everything depends on Atlus expectations and how Japan could offset a possibly bigger decline at west by going full price. If they expected 450k and ended with 400k that's still a miss.
 

Celine

Member
Oct 26, 2017
5,030
Third generation home consoles

Famicom {1983/07/15} (¥14.800) - 17.170.000
Master System {1983/07/15} (¥15.000) - 1.000.000
Super Cassette Vision {1984/07/17} (¥14.800) - 300.000
graph.png

The legend, 21 years of shipments
There is a typo there, Famicom LTD is 19.35M (17.17M is Sufami LTD).
And of course the label "Master System" include all the Sega 8 bit line (SG1000, Mark III, Master System).
 

Fularu

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,609
Third generation home consoles

Famicom {1983/07/15} (¥14.800) - 19.350.000
Master System {1983/07/15} (¥15.000) - 1.000.000
Super Cassette Vision {1984/07/17} (¥14.800) - 300.000
graph.png

The legend, 21 years of shipments
The SG-1000 came out in 1983, the SG-2000 in 1984, the Mark-III in 1985 and the Master System in 1986.

They're not the same hardware
 
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Chris1964

Chris1964

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Oct 25, 2017
11,155
If revisions for Game Boy, DS and and 3DS with much bigger differences belong to same family, the 3 iterations of SG-1000 are too.
 

KtSlime

Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,910
Tokyo
Again Sega never said Persona 5 Royal underperformed. The only comment they made in their financial report was in regard to total packaged units for all software combined. It's really not that complicated.

If I said I didn't like most deserts, and then immediately after listed cake, pie, tarts, etc, it's pretty safe to assume I am especially talking about cake, pie, and tarts as deserts I don't like. How is this controversial?
 
Oct 25, 2017
15,171
Oh, that makes more sense then. Although yeah, that might indicate Sega had extra high expectations for P5R, it's actual sales seemed pretty okay. I'd say the same for Mario & Sonic 2020, these two games sold well but perhaps just not as well as Sega wanted.
I can believe Sega having higher expectations of catalogue sales remained fine.
 

Avada Kedavra

Banned
Jan 23, 2019
756
They said only new releases underperformed, then immediately listed 3 new releases. It's not exactly a reaching inference there.
The point is that for example Super Monkey Ball HD could have heavily underperformed and that could be enough for their total packaged expectations to be missed. There's just nothing to take away from what they said in their financial report other than total unit sales of packaged games were below expectations.
 

DarkDetective

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
4,906
The Netherlands
If overall sales underperformed, than Persona 5 Royal was part of that equation. May as well say it did not perform well enough to raise the base line to such a level that it could prevent the general software output from underperforming. Therefore the game underperformed.
 

schuelma

Member
Oct 24, 2017
5,901
The point is that for example Super Monkey Ball HD could have heavily underperformed and that could be enough for their total packaged expectations to be missed. There's just nothing to take away from what they said in their financial report other than total unit sales of packaged games were below expectations.

Lol at the idea that Super Monkey Ball HD would have had a target where underperforming could in any way impact their bottom line.
 

fiendcode

Member
Oct 26, 2017
24,911
The point is that for example Super Monkey Ball HD could have heavily underperformed and that could be enough for their total packaged expectations to be missed. There's just nothing to take away from what they said in their financial report other than total unit sales of packaged games were below expectations.
Total packaged software was under but only due to new releases. Catalog sales were expressly above targets.

Then immediately after saying only new releases underperformed, they listed 3 new releases. It's not a leap to guess those 3 underperformed and it makes more sense than scapegoating titles they didn't mention at all.
 

IronTed

One Winged Slayer
Member
Jun 6, 2019
1,435
Third generation home consoles

Famicom {1983/07/15} (¥14.800) - 19.350.000
Master System {1983/07/15} (¥15.000) - 1.000.000
Super Cassette Vision {1984/07/17} (¥14.800) - 300.000
graph.png

The legend, 21 years of shipments

Indeed. IIRC the Famicom was shipped longer than the Super Famicom and the N64 as well.
 
Oct 25, 2017
15,171
In all seriousness I'm in the camp that they would've said if P5R and the rest of their major releases met expectations even if the other releases did not instead of sum lumping them together to make it look overall disappointing.

No real reason not to highlight that said major releases met their expectations in a fiscal release unless they actually didn't.
 

Lite_Agent

Member
Oct 26, 2017
4,572
Somewhere. I think.
Red Coral Nintendo Switch Lite out on March 20th in Japan. Pre-orders go live on March 7th.

photo01.jpg



Oh, and pre-orders for the AC bundle and the carrying case is also March 7th.

www.nintendo.co.jp

「Nintendo Switch あつまれ どうぶつの森セット」予約開始日延期のお知らせ(お詫び)|サポート情報|Nintendo

「Nintendo Switch あつまれ どうぶつの森セット」予約開始日延期のお知らせ(お詫び)。
 
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Sandfox

Member
Oct 25, 2017
24,743
Red Nintendo Switch Lite out on March 20th in Japan. Pre-orders go live on March 7th.

photo01.jpg



Oh, and pre-orders for the AC bundle and the carrying case is also March 7th.

www.nintendo.co.jp

「Nintendo Switch あつまれ どうぶつの森セット」予約開始日延期のお知らせ(お詫び)|サポート情報|Nintendo

「Nintendo Switch あつまれ どうぶつの森セット」予約開始日延期のお知らせ(お詫び)。
Coral, not red.
 

Zedark

Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,719
The Netherlands
Looks like they probably have a decent stock of Lite units in the back what with this Coral Lite Switch preorder launching on March 20th as well. I guess we don't need to worry too much about stock during ACNH launch. Lites should be plentiful, and OG has a special SKU and probably some regular stock that was saved up for AC launch.
 

Lite_Agent

Member
Oct 26, 2017
4,572
Somewhere. I think.
Oh, missed an interesting tidbit in the notice:

「Nintendo Switch Liteコーラル」は1月中に3月末出荷予定分までの生産を終えております。なお、発売済みの3色(ターコイズ、グレー、イエロー)につきましても、1月中に3月末出荷予定分までの生産を終えております。

Looks like production run of Coral and other colours for the Lite for January is meant to cover shipments to the end of March. So if production doesn't restart soon, April will be a bloodbath.

...

And here I was thinking recently that maybe this year, Golden Week wouldn't be Golden Weak for once, what with AC and FF7R. It's all my fault isn't it.
 

MysticGon

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 31, 2017
7,285
In all seriousness I'm in the camp that they would've said if P5R and the rest of their major releases met expectations even if the other releases did not instead of sum lumping them together to make it look overall disappointing.

No real reason not to highlight that said major releases met their expectations in a fiscal release unless they actually didn't.

The PR team were happy, the accountants weren't.

Probably because they spent a lot of money promoting it.

Domestic sales like that would make most publishers happy but Sega and Atlus are odd.

They are the last of the big publishers still doing delayed localizations. Capcom, Squeenix and Bamco put that all behind them. Companies like From Software that can't do that get help so they can.

They are learning the hard way you can't support the company that size with Japan alone.
 
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Chris1964

Chris1964

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Oct 25, 2017
11,155
Apparently Nintendo achieved a production window for new OG and Lite models but it isn't very big since it covers only 2 weeks until the end March. After then it depends on how things will turn in China.
 

Deleted member 38706

User requested account closure
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Jan 19, 2018
924
The Coral Lite looks good. I wish the OG Switch got these colors too.

Btw, anyone saw the news about Dissidia NT being done for? It's funny how Ichiro Hazama said that they wanted to "make sure that the relationship with Sony Interactive Entertainment is honored." TFW you would rather kill the future of a series just to have it stay exclusive out of volition. I love Japanese devs.
 

DarkDetective

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
4,906
The Netherlands
The Coral Lite looks good. I wish the OG Switch got these colors too.

Btw, anyone saw the news about Dissidia NT being done for? It's funny how Ichiro Hazama said that they wanted to "make sure that the relationship with Sony Interactive Entertainment is honored." TFW you would rather kill the future of a series just to have it stay exclusive out of volition. I love Japanese devs.
Also a shame that they won't develop a sequel that actually implements player feedback. I think the "Dissidia" name still holds value. Even if that sequel is Sony exclusive. NT is a missed opportunity on many fronts.
 
Oct 29, 2017
4,721
The SG-1000 came out in 1983, the SG-2000 in 1984, the Mark-III in 1985 and the Master System in 1986.

They're not the same hardware

They basically are the same hardware. The Mark III/Master System is to the SG1000, what the GBC was to the original GB.

Btw, anyone saw the news about Dissidia NT being done for? It's funny how Ichiro Hazama said that they wanted to "make sure that the relationship with Sony Interactive Entertainment is honored." TFW you would rather kill the future of a series just to have it stay exclusive out of volition. I love Japanese devs.

A Japanese third party development studio being run by a blind Sony fanboy? Par for the course really :p

Let them crash and burn if that's their attitude. They'll get what they deserve.

Apparently Nintendo achieved a production window for new OG and Lite models but it isn't very big since it covers only 2 weeks until the end March. After then it depends on how things will turn in China.

Nintendo were really lucky that they opened up production in Vietnam when they did... Hopefully that should mitigate some of the impact that the coronavirus is having on Chinese production (though of course that's not gonna be enough on its own; I expect mass shortages from April onwards to be only partially mitigated).

Speaking of which... I wonder how much this is gonna end up impacting on PS5/Xbox Series X production as well...
 
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