"More useful than a republican" Manchin votes for Anti Trans amendment to Covid Bill.

Surfinn

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Oct 25, 2017
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How do you pressure someone who's state voted for Trump by 42?

I agree that's what you might try with Sinema or someone else but Manchin is in a unique position where we need him far more than he needs us. In fact, putting Democratic Pressure on him might backfire on us.
What difference does it make to his constituents if he's going to vote for the damn bill either way..?

If he's always going to vote with the democrats, then he'll just.. vote with the democrats, he has no actual leverage and it doesn't impact anything lol

I'm having a very hard time understanding your reasoning
 
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Addie

One Winged Slayer
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Oct 25, 2017
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To be fair, Biden ran on 1.9 trillion stimulus and he passed that with pretty much everything intact.

That is crazy. Obama never got to do that and we had 60 senators.
This is true. My main point was rooted in hatred of that stupid Manchin Cycle image and the fact that focusing only on counted votes means we tend to dismiss the negotiation involved before things reach the floor.

I genuinely thought Manchin was a pragmatist who could just be bought off with loads of WV pork, which I considered a valid trade. But in this particular situation, Dem leadership should call him out on a terrible view.

There is value in doing the right thing and not normalizing bigotry against the most marginalized of us. I'm also a pragmatist, and if Manchin's one too, then calling him out won't matter -- he'll understand -- and it'll even boost his (transphobic) Moderate Darling cred in WV.
 

TheHunter

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Oct 25, 2017
16,447
This is true. My main point was rooted in hatred of that stupid Manchin Cycle image and the fact that focusing only on counted votes means we tend to dismiss the negotiation involved before things reach the floor.

I genuinely thought Manchin was a pragmatist who could just be bought off with loads of WV pork, which I considered a valid trade. But in this particular situation, Dem leadership should call him out on a terrible view.

There is value in doing the right thing and not normalizing bigotry against the most marginalized of us. I'm also a pragmatist, and if Manchin's one too, then calling him out won't matter -- he'll understand -- and it'll even boost his (transphobic) Moderate Darling cred in WV.
Agreed on all counts, but I do still think he plays games.

After all, his vote for this bill (not the Trans shit that can fuck off) with his other demands means he might vote for better stuff like HR1 or whatnot.
 

TheHunter

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
16,447
What difference does it make to his constituents if he's going to vote for the damn bill either way..?

If he's always going to vote with the democrats, then he'll just.. vote with the democrats, he has no actual leverage and it doesn't impact anything lol

I'm having a very hard time understanding your reasoning

Because he won't when it can help him with his "Bipartisan/Moderate" game. Susan Collins does the same exact shit(only her state is not as polarized).
 

bruhaha

Member
Jun 13, 2018
1,079
The fallacy of Joe Manchin as a team player is that they have to take their starting position and negotiate with him, and the end result is worse than what they started with.
You’re right, the only things “team player“ about Manchin are him voting Schumer for leader and him willing to negotiate with Dems. But the default/alternative is Senator Capito from WV who will do neither and vote against almost all Dem bills regardless of negotiation. Heck, Murkowski even submitted an amendment that she worked with Manchin on and got it passed into the bill yet still voted against the final bill.
 

TheHunter

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Oct 25, 2017
16,447
You’re right, the only things “team player“ about Manchin are him voting Schumer for leader and him willing to negotiate with Dems. But the default/alternative is Senator Capito from WV who will do neither and vote against almost all Dem bills regardless of negotiation. Heck, Murkowski even submitted an amendment that she worked with Manchin on and got it passed into the bill yet still voted against the final bill.
The worst Democrat is still better than the best Republican.

This doesn't make them immune from criticism and call outs however. Like in this instance.
 

Trey

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Oct 25, 2017
8,976
that "joe manchin can call me a nigger to my face" post got me rolling. god speed, my guy.
 

Deleted member 64002

User requested account closure
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As I said, after enduring Trump I don't care about morals only results. Joe Manhchin could personally call me a nigger to my face and I'd still be unphased if he voted with Dems for progressive legislation when it counts. I don't care for the man. He's not my friend. He votes transphobic. He's misogonystic. He's probably a racist. I don't care as long as his dumbass casts his votes with the rest of the democratic party when it counts. Because unless there is some progressive in WV that can primary his dumbass, an even shittier Republican is waiting in the shadows.

I only care about realpolitik. I only care about results now. Everything else is a luxury.
so y'all are gonna give leeway to a dude who was being a transphobic piece of shit and dropped the mother of all n bombs in a thread about transphobia. we don't need this Transphobic piece of shit on our forum. Please reconsider I beg of you staff. This doesn't look good at all boss attack has been given many chances on this site and has been banned many times this is not the right choice going forward and hurts the future of the forum. I genuinely worry about the future of era and almost invalidates all of the fightings I had to do for change. I apologize for criticizing this decision but this is a line that should have never crossed where the use of such a vile and hateful word has been used. Please do not do another black chamber this is all I will say on the matter staff please direct message me should you wish to speak to me my dms are always open. This should be a permanent ban.
edit: i was informed he was black however I find the use of the n word in a public space to be abhorrent the way he used it to discount many trans people.
 
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Surfinn

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Oct 25, 2017
28,590
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Because he won't when it can help him with his "Bipartisan/Moderate" game. Susan Collins does the same exact shit(only her state is not as polarized).
So, wait, you think there's a real possibility that the first time he sinks a bill is going to be the COVID stimulus/assistance bill that provides millions of Americans with overwhelmingly supported $1400 checks and tons of social safety nets? The one with, what, a 70% approval rating nationwide (checks have 72% approval in WV)? Lol fuck no that is political suicide.

And again, it's complete bullshit to claim he's a "team player". Full stop. Otherwise we never would have been in this mess.
He can point to it later. Just like Bernie can point to himself fighting to get the $15 back into the bill via amendment, but in the 180° opposite bad way.
But Manchin can do the exact same thing and still vote for the bill. He can still have the clout of saying he fought for a compromise, even if he didn't get it. But I also don't see how this even helps him in WV. I don't think his constituents are going to give a shit how they got their 1400 dollar checks when it's at (from what I can see) almost 3/4ths approval in WV. How it was done is going to be the last thing on their minds, sounds like they'll just be happy they're getting checks.

Even the GOP Gov of WV said "go big or go home" in regards to the stimulus bill
As I said, after enduring Trump I don't care about morals only results. Joe Manhchin could personally call me a nigger to my face and I'd still be unphased if he voted with Dems for progressive legislation when it counts. I don't care for the man. He's not my friend. He votes transphobic. He's misogonystic. He's probably a racist. I don't care as long as his dumbass casts his votes with the rest of the democratic party when it counts. Because unless there is some progressive in WV that can primary his dumbass, an even shittier Republican is waiting in the shadows.

I only care about realpolitik. I only care about results now. Everything else is a luxury.
This got only got 1 month and had the racism and transphobia tags removed? What is going on..?
 
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mbpm

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,116
I gotta say, federal politics sure is a Gordian knot sometimes.

It's too bad there's no way to take an Alexandrian solution.
 

Valkrai

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,240
BossAttack absolutely should have been perma'd, dude literally excused transphobia and dropped a slur defending fucking Manchin of all people.

Its even more infuriating that Dems seem to be ok caving to pieces of shit like Manchin and Sinema. Maybe if they had supported popular positions and gave a shit, they wouldn't be in this position.
 

Surfinn

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Oct 25, 2017
28,590
USA
Yes.

Because that's how this has always worked with good faith negotiations.
Caving for literally no fucking reason with no upside and every downside is good faith negotiations? When it's clear as day this clown is going to crawl back and vote for a bill that anyone in their right mind needs to?

How does forcing Manchin to a vote hurt anything? Why would they ever give him power to make any significant demands here?
 

Surfinn

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
28,590
USA
HR1.

Equality bill.

Infrastructure.

George Floyd Bill.

There's lots we're looking to work on.
? If you're confident he will be a team player and vote with dems, caving to him on covid doesn't help here. He's not going to magically cave back because, oh yeah, the dems gave me a bunch of power last time
 

TheHunter

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
16,447
Caving for literally no fucking reason with no upside and every downside is good faith negotiations? When it's clear as day this clown is going to crawl back and vote for a bill that anyone in their right mind needs to?

How does forcing Manchin to a vote hurt anything? Why would they ever give him power to make any significant demands here?
He could have voted with the GOP on other amendments to make a point, or been less complaint on future votes.
 

TheHunter

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
16,447
? If you're confident he will be a team player and vote with dems, caving to him on covid doesn't help here. He's not going to magically cave back because, oh yeah, the dems gave me a bunch of power last time
I feel like you would rather shoot the hostage than try and negotiate their release.
 

Addie

One Winged Slayer
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Oct 25, 2017
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D.C.
HR1.

Equality bill.

Infrastructure.

George Floyd Bill.

There's lots we're looking to work on.
Thanks for the article, btw. All we can do is hope, though. And if Manchin fucks us, then we have a large helping of crow while the country disintegrates. Let me say that I fully understand folks' cynicism -- what has Joe Manchin done to earn the benefit of the doubt?

Maybe there's cross-tabs of data showing how Manchin always votes, but I'll leave that to the Harry Entens of the world. We're just sitting here, witnessing blatant (not even diet) transphobia and vocally arguing for cuts.

I don't want to doompost. But if Manchin or Sinema block HR1, I don't even want to imagine the steps after that. Because there aren't any.

Basically, Manchin holding us hostage makes me feel very uncomfortable... which, I guess, is the point of leverage and why I'm angry at Cal Cunningham's libido.
 

mbpm

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,116
If only there was a database and tracker to see how much the compromises on one thing gave us with bills and measures passed afterwards.

If this is a game, I'm tryna see the analyst desk lol
 

Valkrai

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,240
Manchin isn't going to just back down because of this. He knows he has leverage and it won't change. Dems backing down here just helps continue to hold bills hostage.
 

TheHunter

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
16,447
Thanks for the article, btw. All we can do is hope, though. And if Manchin fucks us, then we have a large helping of crow while the country disintegrates. Let me say that I fully understand folks' cynicism -- what has Joe Manchin done to earn the benefit of the doubt?

Maybe there's cross-tabs of data showing how Manchin always votes, but I'll leave that to the Harry Entens of the world. We're just sitting here, witnessing blatant (not even diet) transphobia and vocally arguing for cuts.

I don't want to doompost. But if Manchin or Sinema block HR1, I don't even want to imagine the steps after that. Because there aren't any.

Basically, Manchin holding us hostage makes me feel very uncomfortable... which, I guess, is the point of leverage and why I'm angry at Cal Cunningham's libido.
I'm not going to tell you not to be upset or angry.

Just look at those bills and see what happens. I personally think he will play ball but...I am wrong. I am not a Joe Manchin Soothsayer. I too can only hope to be right because we desperately need HR1 and those other bills.

At least Biden, Pelosi and Schumer understand that much.
 

gogosox82

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Oct 25, 2017
4,246
Because they weren't with Republicans.
that is not a sufficient explanation as it doesn't explain in what way these negotiations are good faith. you cant assume every dem operates in good faith unless you think what Manchin voting for an anti trans bill was in good faith. so please explain why these negotiations are in good faith.
 

Surfinn

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Oct 25, 2017
28,590
USA
He could have voted with the GOP on other amendments to make a point, or been less complaint on future votes.
Which amendment could he have voted for that would have made a difference? You keep talking out of both sides of your mouth. You can't claim he's a team player and simultaneously claim he might suddenly not vote with dems on a major bill.
I feel like you would rather shoot the hostage than try and negotiate their release.
The fact that you think an apt comparison is a hostage situation says everything.
 

TheHunter

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
16,447
that is not a sufficient explanation as it doesn't explain in what way these negotiations are good faith. you cant assume every dem operates in good faith unless you think what Manchin voting for an anti trans bill was in good faith. so please explain why these negotiations are in good faith.
His voting history, the article I linked and his comments and party talks with him point towards that.

As I'll add to Addie 's post, He has yet to fuck the dems over. That can change but so far he hasn't fucked them over royally.
 

Addie

One Winged Slayer
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Oct 25, 2017
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D.C.
If only there was a database and tracker to see how much the compromises on one thing gave us with bills and measures passed afterwards.

If this is a game, I'm tryna see the analyst desk lol
I'm not even joking when I say that Harry Enten is probably writing that piece as we speak, and I will definitely read it closely.

I'm not going to tell you not to be upset or angry.

Just look at those bills and see what happens. I personally think he will play ball but...I am wrong. I am not a Joe Manchin Soothsayer. I too can only hope to be right because we desperately need HR1 and those other bills.

At least Biden, Pelosi and Schumer understand that much.
I totally get that. I'd promise WV a brand new military base, and I'd personally drive down and salute Fort Manchin if it meant HR1 passed. I think it's arguable that Manchin plays games, and his character sheet literally says: "Level 20 Politician."

Sinema is the one that worries me. She's totally bought into her own persona. I do not understand her at all.
 

TheHunter

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Oct 25, 2017
16,447
Which amendment could he have voted for that would have made a difference? You keep talking out of both sides of your mouth. You can't claim he's a team player and simultaneously claim he might suddenly not vote with dems on a major bill.

The fact that you think an apt comparison is a hostage situation says everything.
Look this is how the sausage is made.

2009/10 would have absolutely made you frothing mad.
 

TheHunter

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
16,447
I'm not even joking when I say that Harry Enten is probably writing that piece as we speak, and I will definitely read it closely.


I totally get that. I'd promise WV a brand new military base, and I'd personally drive down and salute Fort Manchin if it meant HR1 passed. I think it's arguable that Manchin plays games, and his character sheet literally says: "Level 20 Politician."

Sinema is the one that worries me. She's totally bought into her own persona. I do not understand her at all.
Yes, Sinema is the one I am genuinely unsure of.

That she was a green party member is worrying, not soothing.
 

mbpm

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,116
Tbh I hadn't thought of how being a Dem in a Red state, because of the perceived necessity of their position, gives them a free card to exercise all sorts of behavior that wouldn't otherwise be tolerated. Must be fun.

We assume he's acting for a good reason here, but even if he was acting on the *worst* reasons we can't do anything lol

He could support any sort of rightwing stuff as a writeoff to boost credibility.
 

Surfinn

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
28,590
USA
Tbh I hadn't thought of how being a Dem in a Red state, because of the perceived necessity of their position, gives them a free card to exercise all sorts of behavior that wouldn't otherwise be tolerated.

We assume he's acting for a good reason here, but even if he was acting on the *worst* reasons we can't do anything lol

He could support any sort of rightwing stuff as a writeoff to boost credibility
If people are genuinely afraid of him swinging right and voting for a bunch of republican shit, at least say that. I keep being told he's a reliable team player, a democrat for a reason, though. When that is clearly bullshit
 

TheHunter

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
16,447
You just ignored my entire post. I guess this is pointless..
This is negotiating surfinn. The democratic party is a good faith based group who tries to build a consensus. They all understand that senators have different views and needs. We are not a narrow minded cult of personality. We are a big tent.

For better or worse, that means you do little things like Joe doing the 400 UI - 300 UI but tax free so maybe you get something better down the road.

This discussion has reach an endpoint.
 

TheHunter

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Oct 25, 2017
16,447
Just read the article to at least understand where I'm coming from.


At to end, he shouldn't have voted for this transphobic amendment. Case closed.
 

Surfinn

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
28,590
USA
This is negotiating surfinn. The democratic party is a good faith based group who tries to build a consensus. They all understand that senators have different views and needs. We are not a narrow minded cult of personality. We are a big tent.

For better or worse, that means you do little things like Joe doing the 400 UI - 300 UI but tax free so maybe you get something better down the road.

This discussion has reach an endpoint.
You still haven't addressed your contradiction of claiming he's a reliable dem vote, a "dem for a reason", yet are worried he'll fuck dems over down the line on major bills. At least just be honest instead of trying to have it both ways, which is nonsense. Manchin is the fucking opposite of good faith, and if you're relying on him returning goodwill down the line, you're a fool
 

TheHunter

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
16,447
You still haven't addressed your contradiction of claiming he's a reliable dem vote, a "dem for a reason", yet are worried he'll fuck dems over down the line on major bills. At least just be honest instead of trying to have it both ways, which is nonsense. Manchin is the fucking opposite of good faith, and if you're relying on him returning goodwill down the line, you're a fool
You can be a team player because your side respects you and helps you out.

That doesn't mean blind party loyalty. Which is what I was getting at with us not being the Republicans. Who literally got threatened with death and still bow to the man trying to kill them.
 

mbpm

Member
Oct 25, 2017
10,116
Tbh sometimes I think if we want to get our stuff across we should be more cultlike. Get converts, not constituents.
 

Addie

One Winged Slayer
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Oct 25, 2017
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You still haven't addressed your contradiction of claiming he's a reliable dem vote, a "dem for a reason", yet are worried he'll fuck dems over down the line on major bills. At least just be honest instead of trying to have it both ways, which is nonsense. Manchin is the fucking opposite of good faith, and if you're relying on him returning goodwill down the line, you're a fool
Let me try to restate what I think TheHunter is saying.

The argument is that Manchin is a reliable Dem vote because he engages in negotiations and horse-trading and, afterwards, votes in support of the Democratic majority. The argument is NOT that Manchin will take a proposed bill and immediately approve it.

In other words, the "team player" argument has 3 prongs: (1) Manchin engages in good faith negotiations based upon trust built upon previous interactions; (2) the end result isn't too far from the proposed starting point; and (3) if Manchin doesn't support something, it wasn't consequential.

I do not have enough data to assess whether this is true, but this appears to be the argument.