Nintendo Direct Speculation |OT|

Oct 27, 2017
3,319
I think the frame is going to be "over the first half of 2019."

I'm not going to do the whole prediction laundry-list thing, but one thing I will say is that I expect Animal Crossing to come out a lot sooner than many people seem to be predicting. A lot of people seem to be assuming that because it and Pokémon are the two 2019 heavy hitters we already know about, that means those are going to be the holiday games, but I don't think AC is going to be a holiday or even fall title. June 28 seems like a good release date for it (and the Switch mini in NA/EU, though that won't be announced in this Direct).

In Japan I'm thinking AC will be sandwiched between DQXI S on, say, June 15 (with the Switch mini launching on that day in Japan), and Yo-kai Watch 4 on July 11, as sort of a one-two-three punch for the Switch and younger/casual audiences.
Personally, regardless of release date, I think AC will be massively marketed and also get its own Direct (like Smash got).
 
Oct 27, 2017
25,123
I think the frame is going to be "over the first half of 2019."

I'm not going to do the whole prediction laundry-list thing, but one thing I will say is that I expect Animal Crossing to come out a lot sooner than many people seem to be predicting. A lot of people seem to be assuming that because it and Pokémon are the two 2019 heavy hitters we already know about, that means those are going to be the holiday games, but I don't think AC is going to be a holiday or even fall title. June 28 seems like a good release date for it (and the Switch mini in NA/EU, though that won't be announced in this Direct).

In Japan I'm thinking AC will be sandwiched between DQXI S on, say, June 15 (with the Switch mini launching on that day in Japan), and Yo-kai Watch 4 on July 11, as sort of a one-two-three punch for the Switch and younger/casual audiences.
I’ve said I think AC will be July. There’s a big holiday in July for Japan
 
Oct 30, 2017
379
Personally, regardless of release date, I think AC will be massively marketed and also get its own Direct (like Smash got).
Of course.

SSBU's Direct was around a month before launch. There would definitely still be time for an "Animal Crossing Direct" in the latter half of May or so.
 
Jan 6, 2019
676
“The stars certainly seem to be aligning for next week”.

There’s a possible hint in there for a game that will be in the Direct. He likes to do that a lot.
Yep. That just makes it a bit more humiliating when something he's heard turns out to be fake, though, like when he spent two weeks elaborately spelling out "Metroid Premiere" with the first letter of each tweet, only for MPT to be a no-show at the Game Awards.
 

GSR

Member
Oct 25, 2017
525
I was wondering about this just last night. It feels like, to me, AA is in an awkward position, with sales regressing. You'd know better than anyone if that's true, though.

I was thinking that they're going to try and move away from Nintendo, and also focus more on the west, with this next title. I figured the multiplat trilogy was an indication of these future plans, a part of a larger move to shooter wider with the series. If that's the case, they might not want to tie themselves so closely to Nintendo's marketing initiatives.

I think pretty much all AA games, at least on the 3DS, have primarily been revealed through TGS? Sometimes they reveal the game prior (AA5, DGS), but then they withhold any gameplay until TGS. If a game were to be revealed/details withheld until TGS, that'd be a four year gap in release from AA6 to AA7 (and three from DGS2), which definitely seems a bit long. If I'm right and they want to push the series more in the west, then maybe this time around we won't see such a dependence on TGS.
So, I'm playing around with a piece on the series either for a personal blog or to pitch, so I won't go into too much detail about how the series got here, but AA is definitely in an awkward spot. AA5 and AA6 both found themselves in the position of trying to please all the branches of the fandom - to the point that the writers specifically ended AA6 in such a way they'd have a ton of room to write the next game - but AA6 sold less than AA5, and the DGS games had some of the worst sales in the series.

I think the series goes multiplat, but I don't know if it goes day and date multiplat. That depends on how much of a relationship Nintendo and Capcom have over the series. I could easily see a Switch exclusive launch with ports down the line, or a Switch + Mobile with other consoles/PC later.

And yeah, TGS is the primary showcase for the series. AAI1, PLvsPW, AA5, and DGS1 were announced outside of TGS, but didn't get actual gameplay reveals/details until a following TGS. AAI2/AA6/DGS2 were announced at or around TGS. But I was expecting AA7 to show up at TGS last year and all we got was AA123, so maybe they're breaking away from that.
 
Mar 23, 2018
1,308
“The stars certainly seem to be aligning for next week”.

There’s a possible hint in there for a game that will be in the Direct. He likes to do that a lot.
Yep. That just makes it a bit more humiliating when something he's heard turns out to be fake, though, like when he spent two weeks elaborately spelling out "Metroid Premiere" with the first letter of each tweet, only for MPT to be a no-show at the Game Awards.

Stars huh... aligning huh...

Xenosaga Trilogy confirmed
 
Oct 27, 2017
25,123
Dawg (dog?) you said it.

Yep. That just makes it a bit more humiliating when something he's heard turns out to be fake, though, like when he spent two weeks elaborately spelling out "Metroid Premiere" with the first letter of each tweet, only for MPT to be a no-show at the Game Awards.
That was hilarious how he spelled it out and it was wrong lol. But yeah he loves to do these hints and say his sentences in a certain way. There’s a possible hint her. “Stars” hmmm
Funny I fully expect Devil May Cry in the Direct. I’m not sure if he’s hinting at that, but I’m expecting it to show up.
 
Oct 30, 2017
379
Obon is in July in the Kanto region, August everywhere else.

I’ve said I think AC will be July. There’s a big holiday in July for Japan
I could more easily see YW4 taking the mid-July slot, though — like YW1, YW2, and YW3 before it.

Late July or later is a possibility, but my hunch is that we won't have to wait that long. June is the end of the fiscal quarter, and Nintendo's late-April/early-May earnings briefing would provide a good opportunity to announce the Switch mini (just as they announced the New 2DS XL at that quarter's briefing in 2017). I think they'll both want to launch the Switch mini alongside AC and also have it available for the release of DQ XI S and YW4, hence, June.
 
Oct 25, 2017
3,488
I think expecting Pokémon in the Direct is kinda ask to be disappointed, Pokémon is usually announced in it's own direct. However I think it's possible for a Pokémon Direct reveal date.
 
Oct 24, 2017
2,276
Mother 3 AFAIK is a dead end

It was full steam ahead for a while but upon re-evaluation there were aspects of the game that weren't going to go without controversy
 
Oct 27, 2017
1,022
“The stars certainly seem to be aligning for next week”.

There’s a possible hint in there for a game that will be in the Direct. He likes to do that a lot.
It's definitely a hint - people keep saying "Pokemon Stars" but I'm thinking something to do with Space. Probably Captain Falcon's Space Adventure.
 
Nov 6, 2018
28
So, I'm playing around with a piece on the series either for a personal blog or to pitch, so I won't go into too much detail about how the series got here, but AA is definitely in an awkward spot. AA5 and AA6 both found themselves in the position of trying to please all the branches of the fandom - to the point that the writers specifically ended AA6 in such a way they'd have a ton of room to write the next game - but AA6 sold less than AA5, and the DGS games had some of the worst sales in the series.

I think the series goes multiplat, but I don't know if it goes day and date multiplat. That depends on how much of a relationship Nintendo and Capcom have over the series. I could easily see a Switch exclusive launch with ports down the line, or a Switch + Mobile with other consoles/PC later.

And yeah, TGS is the primary showcase for the series. AAI1, PLvsPW, AA5, and DGS1 were announced outside of TGS, but didn't get actual gameplay reveals/details until a following TGS. AAI2/AA6/DGS2 were announced at or around TGS. But I was expecting AA7 to show up at TGS last year and all we got was AA123, so maybe they're breaking away from that.
I feel like the games have exhausted their audience at this point. There's only so much ace attorney non-hardcore fans can take.
 
Jan 6, 2019
676
Mother 3 AFAIK is a dead end

It was full steam ahead for a while but upon re-evaluation there were aspects of the game that weren't going to go without controversy
That's a shame. Hopefully we reach a point eventually where Nintendo isn't scared of the controversy, or society moves forward so that there is no controversy at all.
 
Oct 27, 2017
25,123
Mother 3 AFAIK is a dead end

It was full steam ahead for a while but upon re-evaluation there were aspects of the game that weren't going to go without controversy
Yep it makes total sense. The way society is today it just wouldn’t fly and the game isn’t worth the bad rep Nintendo will get.

That sucks so much. We’ll never see Mother 3 unless Nintendo really decides to remake the game.
 
Jan 6, 2019
676
Yep it makes total sense. The way society is today it just wouldn’t fly and the game isn’t worth the bad rep Nintendo will get.

That sucks so much. We’ll never see Mother 3 unless Nintendo really decides to remake the game.
I think a Mother 3 localization isn't worth doing if Nintendo has to water the product down so nobody makes a big stink about it.