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ggx2ac

Sales Heaven or Sales Hell?
Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,504
Past earnings results threads:
https://www.resetera.com/threads/ni...cast-revisions-for-hw-sw.167497/post-28684406
_____
Nintendo have revised their Switch hardware forecast to 19.5M units up from 18M units.

Nintendo have revised their Switch software forecast to 140M units up from 125M units

Nintendo 3DS hardware forecast revised down to 650k units down from 1M units.

Nintendo 3DS software forecast revised down to 4.5M units down from 5M units.

Note: M = Million (or rather 10^6)

3rd Quarter Earnings Release, data as of December 31st 2019: https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2020/200130e.pdf

Code:
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|                 |  This Quarter | FY Cumulative          |  FY Forecast  |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Net Sales       |   ¥578,701M   |  ¥1,022,668M    (~$9.39B)| ¥1,250,000M   |
| Operating Income|    ¥168,708M   |    ¥262,930M    (~$2.41B)|   ¥300,000M   |
| Net Profit      |    ¥134,371M   |    ¥196,389M    (~$1.8B)|   ¥210,000M   |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+


Capital Adequacy Ratio: 78.9%
Current Assets: ¥1,500,427 million
Current Liabilities: ¥365,865 million
Cash and deposits: ¥850,788 million
Shareholder's equity: ¥1,513,180 million
Inventories: ¥100,151 million

Hardware sales units: https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html

Code:
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Switch (units)  |  This Quarter | FY Cumulative |      LTD      |  FY Forecast  |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Switch          |      7.58M    |     12.56M    |     47.3M    |      |
| Switch Lite     |      3.24M    |     5.19M    |     5.19M    |      |
| Hardware Total  |      10.81M    |     17.74M    |     52.48M    |      19.5M    |
| Software Total  |     64.64M    |     123.13M    |    310.65M    |     140.0M    |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(Software sales units include both packaged and downloadable versions of software.)
###
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|       3DS       |  This Quarter | FY Cumulative |      LTD      |  FY Forecast  |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Hardware Total  |      0.25M    |      0.62M    |     75.71M    |       0.65M    |
| Software Total  |      1.5M    |     4.1M    |    382.22M    |      4.5M    |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(Software sales units include both packaged and downloadable versions of software.)
###
+------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|                                       |  This Quarter  | FY Cumulative |
+------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Smart devices, IP related income, etc.|    ¥16,946M    |   ¥36,910M    |
+------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(Includes income from smart-device content and royalty income.)

Supplemental information:

Code:
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|                                          | This Quarter  | FY Cumulative |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Proportion of overseas sales             |     78.6%     |     77.8%     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Proportion of overseas(outside of Japan) sales to total sales)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Proportion of hardware sales             |     57.4%     |     55.6%     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Proportion of hardware(including accessories) sales to total
dedicated videogame platform sales)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Proportion of first party software sales |     87.4%     |     82.0%     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Proportion of first-party software sales to total dedicated video
game software sales)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Digital Sales                            |    ¥53.2B     |    ¥124.9B     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Digital sales include a) downloadable versions of packaged software,
b) download-only software,c) add-on content and d) Nintendo Switch Online, etc.
* "Downloadable versions of packaged software" indicates the
downloadable version of software that is offered both physically and digitally.)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Proportion of Digital Sales              |     22.3%     |     28.6%     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Proportion of digital sales to total dedicated
video game software sales )
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|Proportion of DL Ver. of Packaged SW Sales|     71.7%     |     65.6%     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Proportion of downloadable versions of packaged software sales
to total digital sales as indicated above: a/(a+b+c+d) )

Code:
+---------------------------------------------------+
| NSW Lite Sell-In WW LTD |    Units   | Percentage |
+---------------------------------------------------+
| Japan                   |    1.36M   |     26.2%    |
| The Americas            |   2.09M   |     40.27%    |
| Other                   |    0.46M   |     8.86%    |
| Europe                  |     1.28M   |     24.66%    |
+---------------------------------------------------+
|All NSW HW Sell-In WW LTD |    Units   | Percentage |
+---------------------------------------------------+
| Japan                   |    12.42M   |     23.67%    |
| The Americas            |   20.87M   |     39.77%    |
| Other                   |    5.32M   |     10.14%    |
| Europe                  |     13.88M   |     26.45%    |
+---------------------------------------------------+
###
+---------------------------------------------------+
|Switch SW Sell-In WW LTD |    Units   | Percentage |
+---------------------------------------------------+
| Japan                   |   57.34M   |     18.46%    |
| The Americas            |   138.63M   |     44.63%    |
| Other                   |   20.68M   |      6.66%    |
| Europe                  |   94.01M   |     30.26%    |
+---------------------------------------------------+
###
+----------------------------------------------------------------+
| New Titles (Switch)     | This Quarter  | FY Cumulative|  LTD  |
+----------------------------------------------------------------+
| Japan                   |      96       |      210      |  508  |
| The Americas            |      86       |      244      |  629  |
| Other                   |      84       |      254      |  633  |
+----------------------------------------------------------------+

Million-Seller Titles of Nintendo Products (this fiscal year):

Code:
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Title                                   |  FY Japan   | FY Overseas |  FY Global  | Global LTD  |
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Super Mario Maker 2                     |    1.12M    |    3.92M    |    5.04M    |    5.04M    |
| The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening   |    0.42M    |     3.77M    |    4.19M    |    4.19M    |
| Mario Kart 8 Deluxe                     |    0.68M    |    5.59M    |     6.27M    |   22.96M    |
| The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild |    0.35M    |    3.21M    |    3.0M    |   16.34M    |
| New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe          |    0.26M    |    2.28M    |    2.54M    |   5.85M    |
| Astral Chain                            |    0.16M    |    0.87M    |    1.03M    |    1.03M    |
| Ring Fit Adventure                      |     0.63M    |    1.54M    |    2.17M    |    2.17M    |
| Super Mario Party                       |    0.46M    |    2.26M    |     2.72M    |     9.12M    |
| Pokémon Sword/Shield                    |    4.21M    |    11.85M    |    16.06M    |    16.06M    |
| Super Smash Bros. Ultimate              |    0.69M    |    3.18M    |   3.87M    |   17.68M    |
| Luigi's Mansion 3                       |    0.73M    |    4.65M    |    5.37M    |    5.37M    |
| Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3              |    0.04M    |    0.98M    |    1.02M    |    1.02M    |
| Splatoon 2                              |    0.34M    |     0.76M    |    1.1M    |   9.81M    |
| Fire Emblem: Three Houses               |    0.53M    |     2.04M    |    2.58M    |   2.58M    |
| Pokémon: Let's Go Pikachu/Eevee         |    0.12M    |     1.0M    |    1.13M    |   11.76M    |
| Super Mario Odyssey                     |    0.16M    |     1.99M    |    2.15M    |   16.59M    |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+



Top selling title sales units as of December 31, 2019 in no particular order: (Go to the link to see it in order: https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html )

Code:
+----------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Switch - Top Selling Titles (units)      | This Quarter|     LTD     |
+----------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Mario Kart 8 Deluxe                      |    3.95M    |   22.96M    |
| Super Mario Odyssey                      |    1.21M    |   16.59M    |
| Super Smash Bros. Ultimate               |   1.97M    |   17.68M    |
| The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild  |     1.8M    |   16.34M    |
| Pokémon Let's Go Pikachu/Eevee           |    0.48M    |    11.76M    |
| Splatoon 2                               |     0.53M    |    9.81M    |
| Super Mario Party                        |     1.53M    |     9.12M    |
| New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe           |    1.26M    |    5.85M    |
| Luigi's Mansion 3                        |    5.37M    |    5.37M    |
| Pokémon Sword/Shield                     |    16.06M    |    16.06M    |
+----------------------------------------------------------------------+

Consolidated Operating Results
2. Consolidated Financial Forecast
During the nine months ended December 31, 2019, Nintendo Switch Lite launched in September as a compact, lightweight, and easy-
to-carry system dedicated to handheld gameplay, and Nintendo Switch performed well without losing momentum, resulting in
significant sales growth for the entire Nintendo Switch family that surpassed the same period in the last fiscal year. Software like
Pokémon Sword and Pokémon Shield became huge hits, selling 16.06 million units, alongside Luigi's Mansion 3 and Super Mario
Maker 2, both of which sold over 5 million units. In addition, sales of popular titles released during previous fiscal years and titles from
other software publishers continued to grow steadily, bringing the total number of million-seller titles during this fiscal year to 21,
including the titles of other software publishers. Nintendo Switch also launched in China through Tencent Holdings Limited in
December. As a result, hardware sales reached 17.74 million units (22.5% increase on a year-on-year basis), and software sales reached
123.13 million units (30.1% increase on a year-on-year basis).
For Nintendo 3DS, hardware sales totaled 0.62 million units (73.0% decrease on a year-on-year basis), while software sales totaled
4.10 million units (63.0% decrease on a year-on-year basis).
Turning to our digital business for dedicated video game platforms, the steady growth in sales of downloadable versions of packaged
software and download-only software for Nintendo Switch, as well as the contribution from Nintendo Switch Online throughout the
entire fiscal year, helped to bring overall digital sales to 124.9 billion yen (48.3% increase on a year-on-year basis).
For the mobile business, many consumers continue to enjoy applications released during this fiscal year, such as Mario Kart Tour, as
well as titles that were released in previous fiscal years. Our mobile, IP related income reached 36.9 billion yen (10.6% increase on a
year-on-year basis).
In total, sales reached 1,022.6 billion yen (including overseas sales of 795.7 billion yen, or 77.8% of the total), and operating profit
came to 262.9 billion yen. Ordinary profit was 273.8 billion yen, and net profit attributable to owners of the parent totaled 196.3 billion
yen for this fiscal year.
Regarding Nintendo Switch, we will continue to convey the appeal of both the Nintendo Switch and Nintendo Switch Lite hardware,
and work to expand their installed base. In addition to Nintendo-published titles like Tokyo Mirage Sessions #FE Encore (January),
Pokémon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX (March) and Animal Crossing: New Horizons (March), there are also a robust variety of
appealing titles from other software publishers scheduled to be released. We will work to keep the platform energized by continuously
introducing attractive new titles in addition to the popular titles already released.
For our mobile business, operations will focus on encouraging more consumers to continue to enjoy playing applications released this
fiscal year like Mario Kart Tour, as well as the ones that were released in previous fiscal years.
We have revised the financial forecast originally published on April 25, 2019. For details, please see the Notice of Full-Year
Financial Forecast and Dividend Forecast Modifications issued today (January 30, 2020).
 
Last edited:

aeroslash

Member
Feb 7, 2018
361
I wasn't aware that Switch was selling like that.
It seems good news for them, but lastly they went from a two consoles model to a single one..
 

Le Dude

Member
May 16, 2018
4,709
USA
So they're essentially already at 20 million for the fiscal year. Anything this quarter will be extra.

EDIT: Ignore me, I can't math.
 

H-I-M

Banned
Apr 26, 2018
1,330
Mario Kart at 22 millions and STILL outselling the latest releases every week. UNSTOPPABLE.
 

srtrestre

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
18,970
SwSh and MK8

2Cfq.gif
 

Lelouch0612

Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,200
These numbers are staggering.

Pokemon (!!)

Switch 1st console to sell >20m in a year since the Wii/DS.
 

GasProblem

Prophet of Truth
Member
Nov 18, 2017
3,150
People being nostalgic about playing SwSh are going to make me feel very old in 2040.
 

Herb Alpert

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,033
Paris, France
Lol. I've always been a Nintendo fan.
i didn't know i wasn't allowed to say the truth!

If you take into account switch software sales, licensing fees, mobile revenue, NSO, etc, you'll see that the situation is a little more complex than "they have to sell as much as 2 consoles added"
The results are glowing, far more than during 3ds/wiiu era, and maybe on par with the best wii/DS years
 

Dragoon

Banned
Oct 31, 2017
11,231
Top 5 numbers are fucking insane, wow. Incredible. Splatoon 2 numbers are amazing as it looks to eventually hit the 10 million mark.

Also Nintendo really passed Xbox in under 3 years lol
 

Sadist

One Winged Slayer
The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
5,332
Holland
Mahvel passing one million is good too. And Astral Chain!

I imagine Nintendo will keep looking into those collabs for the next few years.
 

Le Dude

Member
May 16, 2018
4,709
USA
Wonder if this will be peak year or not. Depends on when we see a price drop I suppose. With one this year i think it will peak 2020, but if they hold the price through this year and drop it 2021 I can see it holding pretty much steady.