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Nintendo software and hardware sales data from 1983 to present

Nov 2, 2017
2,062
Italy
Fire Emblem Awakening was at 1.79 million in December 2014, and the game was 2 years old.

It sold another 450K since that? Wow, strong legs! And good to have Fates numbers finally. Not bad, wonder if there is a chance for sells another 150K and break the 3 million mark?
 

Momo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
883
So Pikmin 3 finally climbed over a million. I have a question for you Celine...is it possible to get data for Xenoblade Chronicles X if it ever crosses over a million? I’m not expecting to see it, but seeing Pikmin 3 gives me a little bit of hope.
 
OP
OP
Celine
Oct 26, 2017
1,965
So Pikmin 3 finally climbed over a million. I have a question for you Celine...is it possible to get data for Xenoblade Chronicles X if it ever crosses over a million? I’m not expecting to see it, but seeing Pikmin 3 gives me a little bit of hope.
I’ve updated the data with the FY 2019 first half results.
The WiiU chart should be considered close to definitive (BotW and the strongest selling games will sell slightly more but that’s it).
.
 
Dec 12, 2017
384
I expect triple digits growth (or close to) in the digital sales department for the current fiscal year which will be very important for Nintendo profitability going forward.



Amazing really. Looks like they’re going to hit 100 Billion in digital sales.

Thank you for putting all this interesting info together!
 

Momo

Member
Oct 25, 2017
883
That’s unfortunate. So it will forever be stuck in the less-than-a-million club. I’m thinking Xenoblade X is somewhere between 500k to 800k. The game deserves so much more. :(

Anyway, thank you Celine. This is a very useful thread.
 
Oct 25, 2017
14,229
That’s unfortunate. So it will forever be stuck in the less-than-a-million club. I’m thinking Xenoblade X is somewhere between 500k to 800k. The game deserves so much more. :(

Anyway, thank you Celine. This is a very useful thread.
Switch port will save it! The Great One wills it into existence! but only if you believe!
 
Nov 2, 2017
824
There is always a lot of discussion on how Nintendo franchises fare against each other regarding sales. I've compiled the data from the OP and hope this will be useful information moving forward.

Updated as of October 2018.


Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Wii Sporsts had to be split in half since it was skewing the graph too much.


Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

2D MARIO SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console

3D MARIO SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console

2D & 3D MARIO SALES

Blue = 2D Mario ; Yellow = 3D Mario

ANIMAL CROSSING SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console

DONKEY KONG SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

FIRE EMBLEM SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers
Only includes Western released titles

F-ZERO SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

KIRBY SALES

Blue = Handheld Console; Yellow = Home Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

MARIO KART SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console

MARIO PARTY SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers
*Super Mario Party also lacks official sales numbers

MARIO RPG SALES

Blue = Paper Mario ; Yellow = Mario & Luigi
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

MARIO TENNIS SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

METROID SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

PIKMIN SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

POKEMON SALES

Blue = Original Version ; Yellow = Third Version / Remake

SMASH BROS SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console

SPLATOON & ARMS SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
*ARMS should be Green

STAR FOX SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

WARIO SALES

Blue = Wario Land ; Yellow = Wario Ware
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

YOSHI SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

ZELDA SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

NINTENDO HARDWARE SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console

All graphs based on Celine's OP.
 
Last edited:
Oct 25, 2017
12,891
There is always a lot of discussion on how Nintendo franchises fare against each other regarding sales. I've compiled the data from the OP and hope this will be useful information moving forward.


Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console


Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

2D MARIO SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console

3D MARIO SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console

2D & 3D MARIO SALES

Blue = 2D Mario ; Yellow = 3D Mario

ANIMAL CROSSING SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console

DONKEY KONG SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

FIRE EMBLEM SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers
Only includes Western released titles

F-ZERO SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

KIRBY SALES

Blue = Handheld Console; Yellow = Home Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

MARIO KART SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

MARIO PARTY SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers
*Super Mario Party also lacks official sales numbers

MARIO RPG SALES

Blue = Paper Mario ; Yellow = Mario & Luigi
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

MARIO TENNIS SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

METROID SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

PIKMIN SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

POKEMON SALES

Blue = Original Version ; Yellow = Third Version / Remake

SMASH BROS SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console

SPLATOON & ARMS SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
*ARMS should be Green

STAR FOX SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

WARIO SALES

Blue = Wario Land ; Yellow = Wario Ware
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

YOSHI SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers

ZELDA SALES

Blue = Home Console ; Yellow = Handheld Console ; Green = Hybrid Console
Titles marked with * lack official sales numbers
Missing Zelda Breath of the Wild WiiU Data

All graphs based on Celine's OP.
This is a fantastic post and very informative graphic. Thank you for this!

I'd also be interested to see a chart ranking Nintendo's franchises by average sales per entry at some point. A lot of discussions on this forum boil down to where all of the franchises rank in terms of selling power.
 

Reki

Member
Oct 25, 2017
439
That graphic is a nice way to get an idea of the relative importance of Nintendo's franchises' sales. Thanks for the work!

It's sad to see Pikmin compared to the others though, the series deserves more than that despite its kind of niche genre.
 
Last edited:
Oct 25, 2017
552
That’s unfortunate. So it will forever be stuck in the less-than-a-million club. I’m thinking Xenoblade X is somewhere between 500k to 800k. The game deserves so much more. :(

Anyway, thank you Celine. This is a very useful thread.
Probably closer to 500k
 
Dec 5, 2017
1,444
That graphic is a nice way to get an idea of the relative importance of Nintendo's franchises' sales. Thanks for the work!

It's sad to see Pikmin compared to the others though, the series deserves more than that despite it's kind of niche genre.
Pikmin has yet to get a fair shake really, I would be interested if a AAA Switch release would put up better numbers. The series has always released on flop consoles aside the spin off on 3DS, but that wasn't exactly a series rep.
 
OP
OP
Celine
Oct 26, 2017
1,965
Pikmin has yet to get a fair shake really, I would be interested if a AAA Switch release would put up better numbers. The series has always released on flop consoles aside the spin off on 3DS, but that wasn't exactly a series rep.
Nintendo is either porting or releasing sequel of the best seller on WiiU so there is a good chance of a Pikmin 3 DX for Switch (it's one of the very last WiiU million seller that have yet to receive the "Switch treatment").
 
Oct 29, 2017
123
Hi Celine! Just wondering if you had a source for the BOTW 1.61 as of Dec 31, 2017 figure. I don't question you (that figure makes sense), just curious when they mentioned it and what else they may have mentioned.

The only note I have ever found was when they mentioned 7.5 million units (pg. 4) sold-through in US/EUR/JP (with 6.0 million from the Switch version) as of Dec 31, 2017, from which we deduce 1.5 million sell through for the Wii U version for US/EUR/JP as of Dec 31, 2017. Given that figure, 1.61 for all regions (or shipped) would be logical.
 
OP
OP
Celine
Oct 26, 2017
1,965
Hi Celine! Just wondering if you had a source for the BOTW 1.61 as of Dec 31, 2017 figure. I don't question you (that figure makes sense), just curious when they mentioned it and what else they may have mentioned.

The only note I have ever found was when they mentioned 7.5 million units (pg. 4) sold-through in US/EUR/JP (with 6.0 million from the Switch version) as of Dec 31, 2017, from which we deduce 1.5 million sell through for the Wii U version for US/EUR/JP as of Dec 31, 2017. Given that figure, 1.61 for all regions (or shipped) would be logical.
There is no link on Internet.
All the interesting Nintendo shipment data is in the OP (games with data updated as December 2017 in the WiiU and 3DS charts).
 
Oct 29, 2017
123
There is no link on Internet.
All the interesting Nintendo shipment data is in the OP (games with data updated as December 2017 in the WiiU and 3DS charts).
Thanks Celine!

Unrelated - I had a few notes for US SW Sales data prior to any PR/Q3 IR data. There isn't any real centralized sales thread (aside from monthly NPD prediction threads, but those focus on HW) so I thought I'd post here for now.

Some software deductions based on a few pieces of PR.

NSW US HW Sales for CY 2017 - indicated as >4.8M. Based on NPD estimates I believe the figure is 4.88M but someone can correct me if that sounds high.

Attach rates for MK8D/BOTW/SMO for CY2017 in US - Indicated as greater than 50%/55%/60% respectively.

US LTD sell-through for MK8D/BOTW/SMO as of Dec 17, 2018 - Indicated as >5.0M/>4.0M/4.7M respectively. Its also possible that the Dec 17 date is only for Smash and sell-through figures for the others are from an earlier date.

Based on the above:

CY 2017 US Sell-Through

BOTW (NSW) - >2.68M
MK8D (NSW) - >2.44M
SMO (NSW) - >2.93M

CY 2018 US Sell-Through (as of Dec 17, 2018)

BOTW (NSW) - >1.31M
MK8D (NSW) - >2.56M
SMO (NSW) - >1.77M

So as of Dec 17 2018, MK8D had already passed up 2017's figures. With at least 14 days of December still pending (maybe more if this data is from earlier), decent chance for BOTW to approach 2M, SMO to pass 2M and MK8D to go past 3.0M.

Bodes strongly for upcoming Q3 data from Nintendo - MK8D was also up for the CY in the UK. The discounted bundle was available in all of Europe I believe (but in limited quantity). Good chance shipments for MK8D are up YoY for Q3.
 
Nov 20, 2017
2,422
Nice hold for SMO this year. Looking at Q1 numbers earlier in the year, I was under the impression its tail might not be as impressive as Zelda's. Didn't turn out to be the case.
 
OP
OP
Celine
Oct 26, 2017
1,965
Let's hope ARMS somehow survive in the top 10 best selling Switch games after this quarter.
It's unlikely but still...
 
OP
OP
Celine
Oct 26, 2017
1,965
as time goes on it will be less and less likely. there are two games this year that will push Arms lower that we know about
Three (Smash Ultimate, Pokemon LG, Super Mario Party) and maybe Kirby too (let's hope somehow ARMS sold better than Kirby in the last quarter though it's pretty unlikely).
Kirby (but also Donkey Kong) will all appear in the yearly million seller list so they are fine until March 2019).
 
Oct 25, 2017
14,229
Three (Smash Ultimate, Pokemon LG, Super Mario Party) and maybe Kirby too (let's hope somehow ARMS sold better than Kirby in the last quarter though it's pretty unlikely).
Kirby (but also Donkey Kong) will all appear in the yearly million seller list so they are fine until March 2019).
I'm talking this year (2019): Animal Crossing and Pokemon 2019
 
Nov 2, 2017
824
Let's hope ARMS somehow survive in the top 10 best selling Switch games after this quarter.
It's unlikely but still...
I think Kirby and Mario Tennis are impossible for ARMS to reach at this point. High chance even Donkey Kong has surpassed it by now considering it sometimes would pop up in PAL charts. I'm especially curious to learn more about the following:

-How much Smash has sold (I predict 11m).
-How much Let's Go has done (My guess is around 7m)
-How close to 10m Splatoon is (Prob still 1,5m to go)
-Confirm if Mario Kart 8 has indeed surpassed Odyssey (And if either has surpassed 15m)
-Updated numbers for Mario Tennis (Should be the best selling in the franchise by now).
-Where Super Mario Party stands in the top 10 (My guess is 7th with around 4m)

Celine Do you have any way of keeping track of the titles once they fall out of the Nintendo IR page?
 

Gartooth

Self-Requested Ban
Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,080
Three (Smash Ultimate, Pokemon LG, Super Mario Party) and maybe Kirby too (let's hope somehow ARMS sold better than Kirby in the last quarter though it's pretty unlikely).
Kirby (but also Donkey Kong) will all appear in the yearly million seller list so they are fine until March 2019).
I've only noticed the IR page that has the top 10 best sellers. Is this yearly million seller list something we will see this quarter, or will we not see it until March?
 
Oct 25, 2017
6,125
I think Kirby and Mario Tennis are impossible for ARMS to reach at this point. High chance even Donkey Kong has surpassed it by now considering it sometimes would pop up in PAL charts. I'm especially curious to learn more about the following:

-How much Smash has sold (I predict 11m).
-How much Let's Go has done (My guess is around 7m)
-How close to 10m Splatoon is (Prob still 1,5m to go)
-Confirm if Mario Kart 8 has indeed surpassed Odyssey (And if either has surpassed 15m)
-Updated numbers for Mario Tennis (Should be the best selling in the franchise by now).
-Where Super Mario Party stands in the top 10 (My guess is 7th with around 4m)

Celine Do you have any way of keeping track of the titles once they fall out of the Nintendo IR page?
All your numbers are too low imo.

Nintendo 1st party attach rates are insane and since we are expecting 10m+ Switch sold during this quarter...

- MK8D will sell 5m+ this quarter. Best selling Switch game
- Smash 13m
- Pokemon 10m
- Super Mario Party 6m
- Splatoon 10m (no way it sells 1m in Q3)
 
Nov 2, 2017
824
All your numbers are too low imo.

Nintendo 1st party attach rates are insane and since we are expecting 10m+ Switch sold during this quarter...

- MK8D will sell 5m+ this quarter. Best selling Switch game
- Smash 13m
- Pokemon 10m
- Super Mario Party 6m
- Splatoon 10m (no way it sells 1m in Q3)
I do think you are overrating some of the legs on these games. Excluding digital, Splatoon 2 has sold 190k during Q3 in Japan. Americas and Rest of the World would need to sell 2,3m to reach your numbers, which is more than 10 times what it sold in Japan.

Looking at the current LTD of 7,5m for Splatoon 2, Japan accounts for roughly 33% of the game sales. Keeping that ratio in mind and including digital I think Splatoon will sell around 700k in the period.
 
Oct 25, 2017
6,125
I do think you are overrating some of the legs on these games. Excluding digital, Splatoon 2 has sold 190k during Q3 in Japan. Americas and Rest of the World would need to sell 2,3m to reach your numbers, which is more than 10 times what it sold in Japan.

Looking at the current LTD of 7,5m for Splatoon 2, Japan accounts for roughly 33% of the game sales. Keeping that ratio in mind and including digital I think Splatoon will sell around 700k in the period.
Splatoon 2 already sold 1.45m this FY (for a little bit under 5m of HW sold).

2m+ might be high but it is more reasonable than 700k imo. Western sales are going to be more important than usual.
 
Oct 29, 2017
1,532
WA, australia
I do think you are overrating some of the legs on these games. Excluding digital, Splatoon 2 has sold 190k during Q3 in Japan. Americas and Rest of the World would need to sell 2,3m to reach your numbers, which is more than 10 times what it sold in Japan.

Looking at the current LTD of 7,5m for Splatoon 2, Japan accounts for roughly 33% of the game sales. Keeping that ratio in mind and including digital I think Splatoon will sell around 700k in the period.
Other than splatoon 2, what games do you think LeLouch is overestimating? I think 10m+ for Pokémon and 13 ish million for smash are very safe/realistic. Super Mario Party could do even more than 6 million. 5 million mk8 this quarter maybe?
 
Jun 9, 2018
252
Other than splatoon 2, what games do you think LeLouch is overestimating? I think 10m+ for Pokémon and 13 ish million for smash are very safe/realistic. Super Mario Party could do even more than 6 million. 5 million mk8 this quarter maybe?
Splatoon 2 is the only one out of the games listed that i doubt, 9-9.5M is my prediction.
 
Nov 2, 2017
824
Other than splatoon 2, what games do you think LeLouch is overestimating? I think 10m+ for Pokémon and 13 ish million for smash are very safe/realistic. Super Mario Party could do even more than 6 million. 5 million mk8 this quarter maybe?
Besides Splatoon 2 I would say only Mario Kart 8 is a bit overestimated. Even though the game is having a fantastic second year, 5m is too much for this quarter. I think it will be closer to 2,5m.

During the last investors meeting, Nintendo published a graph showcasing the monthly sales of the evergreens (Odyssey, BotW, MK8 and Splatoon) in Japan/US/EU. Mario Kart was selling roughly 350k per month. Taking into consideration the overperformance during holidays and sales provenient from rest of the world, it should be closer to 2-3m.

Just for reference, in the sams graph Splatoon 2 was selling in the range of 150-200k.

Regarding the new releases, I think his numbers are all reasonable. Could see Smash doing anything between 11-15m, Pokemon between 7-11m and Mario Party within 5-7m. It's obviously much harder to predict them since there are fewer points of comparison.
 
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