Honestly. If Nintendo has the supply they can hit 5m in the US this year.
Nintendo are already planning to airship consoles again this holiday to meet demand. Production ramp up was only very recent and so Nintendo don't want to miss this opportunity during the holiday season. Will cost more for them, but hopefully it means we see plentiful supply.
Well they apparently reported they had 4 million Switches in their inventory at the end of September, so we can guess that global supply for Oct-Dec. will probably be around 7 million or more, assuming they can produce and ship 1m more per month. That production number might also be higher during the holidays.
But if we go by the regional breakdowns the Americas get about 41% of global shipments, and I'd assume the bulk of that is the US, so that would give them about 2.5m or more units to sell through those 3 months. October sold somewhere between 300-700k (going by the number being "more than 2 million" as of the September NPD), so using this napkin math we can expect 1.8-2.2m units to be sold during November and December, for a total of 4.4-4.8m.
Obviously those are all 100% guesstimations (outside of the reported numbers used) but 5m would probably be a fantastic result that exceeds their current forecast. Definitely doable, depending solely on production of course.
I bet nobody would care if It was called Nintendo Bwitch
I understood that reference.
