- Oct 25, 2017
I think 20 million is pretty reasonable long term for the Switch in Japan.
2019: 5m (system's peak with pokemon gen 8 and animal crossing and a revision)
2020: 4m (by this point, basically the only system on the market with the ps4 functionally a dead system and ps5 launching in 2021 in japan)
2021: 3m (japan launch of ps5 plus switch is now old)
2022: 1.5m (new switch launches)