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NPD May 2018: State of Decay 2 #1 software, PS4 tops hardware charts

Oct 27, 2017
6,034
0
Michigan
Just so you can see how SoD 2 did.

Year to Date
  1. Far Cry 5
  2. God of War 2018
  3. Monster Hunter: World
  4. Call of Duty: WWII
  5. Dragon Ball: Fighterz
  6. Grand Theft Auto V
  7. NBA 2K18
  8. MLB 18: The Show
  9. Mario Kart 8*
  10. Playerunknown's Battlegrounds^
Is it normal for games to chart on the YTD list the very first month they release? Especially for a game that's considered a budget title?
 
Oct 28, 2017
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And I didn’t say it didn’t do good for launch month, just showing the massive difference between it and GoW in terms of overall performance.
It's a wildly misleading comparison. Obviously GoW is the bigger game but you're taking 2 months of $60 revenue vs 1 month of $30 revenue. The result to that is going to be super obvious.
 

MatPiscatella

The NPD Group - Video Game Industry Analyst
Verified
Oct 25, 2017
1,862
0
Carlsbad, CA
www.npd.com
Of course. That doesn't answer my question though.
Well I don't get the question then. The top 10 YTD is by its nature an exclusive list. Add to that a game would have to do exceptionally well to crack that list in one month when others have multiple. Was your question rhetorical or were you asking it for demonstrative purposes?
 

Benji

US Sales Insider
Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,088
0
SD2 has 0 chance of making the YTD chart

This still just feels like a really random and strange spin off convo. I dont think anyone including MS ever thought the game would
 

MatPiscatella

The NPD Group - Video Game Industry Analyst
Verified
Oct 25, 2017
1,862
0
Carlsbad, CA
www.npd.com
MatPiscatella, do you see GoW beating Far Cry 5 now in July on the YTD or it's not going to happen?
Don't see it happening this year, but would be happy to be wrong. FC5 is open world, multiplatform, has more content drops coming and Ubisoft are masters of timing promotional pricing. I still see GoW making the annual top 10. Guess we shall see.

MatPiscatella do games bundled with hardware affect game sales a lot in general? Like for example would PUBG have charted in the YTD if bundles weren't included? Or are bundle sales not included in the software chart?
Bundle sales are excluded from the SW charts. People buy bundles for the hardware, not the game. The game in a bundle is more a GWP.
 
Oct 31, 2017
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God of War holding at number freaking 2 blows my mind. Exclusives really dominated the top 3, even if SoD2 is aided by PC (but whatever there).

What legs. Uncharted, Horizon, they didn't hold like this.
 

Cinemikel

Banned
Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,433
0
SD2 has 0 chance of making the YTD chart

This still just feels like a really random and strange spin off convo. I dont think anyone including MS ever thought the game would
I'd in fact say it's a good thing people are now seeing this game in such a positive light
 
Oct 30, 2017
182
0
The most impactful game of May was probably Fortnite, and that itself has far bigger and more reaching long term potential impact on the industry than either GoW or SoD2 but we don't talk about it because it's f2p and therefore not on the chart.
If that ps4 bundle comes to the US, it might dethrone the red+blue switch as highest hardware sku. I think it'll be interesting to watch the performance of a f2p game bundle (with some not-free items) of a game as big as fortnite. I wonder if sony can make enough of those to satisfy demand at the end of the day.
 
Oct 27, 2017
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If that ps4 bundle comes to the US, it might dethrone the red+blue switch as highest hardware sku. I think it'll be interesting to watch the performance of a f2p game bundle (with some not-free items) of a game as big as fortnite. I wonder if sony can make enough of those to satisfy demand at the end of the day.
Yeah I think that Fortnite bundle is an answer to Fortnite coming to Switch.
 
Oct 28, 2017
1,580
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Don't see it happening this year, but would be happy to be wrong. FC5 is open world, multiplatform, has more content drops coming and Ubisoft are masters of timing promotional pricing. I still see GoW making the annual top 10. Guess we shall see.
Just for fun: which big PS4 exclusive game do you predict will chart higher YTD at year's end - God of War or Spider-Man?
 
Oct 25, 2017
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Not exactly NPD topic, but MatPiscatella, one of your prediction for 2018 was EA access coming to PS4 (More like Sony allowing it to come to PS4). Do you still think there's a chance for that to happen this year (or ever :p)? Especially that we've heard nothing about it in E3.
 
Oct 28, 2017
1,580
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Just for fun? Itsatrap.jpg
Haha not sure what you mean? Was really just curious what you think, as you do seem to make predictions from time time. And I enjoy reading your take on things.

I'll say this. Spidey has a better shot of topping GoW than I thought a month or so ago.

Still not sure if it does it or not though
Interesting. Thanks for your perspective. I agree and still predict that God of War will come out on top, but Spidey does seem to be building some pretty huge momentum and hype. It could be quite close, which is super awesome considering how well God of War has sold.
 
Oct 27, 2017
574
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I guess people have had enough Dark Souls.
Possibly, but I think this particular remaster has a lot of issues. It was not advertised heavily, impressions were also mixed and PC players saw little reason to pay for a version that offered little over the community mod based patched original version.
 

Benji

US Sales Insider
Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,088
0
What are you basing this on? There is no way that Spider-Man will do over 1.9 million launch month.
Pre-order / reserve data.

But I agree that it probably wont. It's still more likely than it was a month ago, because yeah....its tracking real good
 
Oct 27, 2017
2,347
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Could also be that Dark Souls players are waiting for Code Vein to get their Souls fix this year. I am also not sure how remasters typically do in sales either. Afterall, it's an 8 year old game with minimal changes. If I had all the DLC from the PS3 version, I would have probably passed as well. At least now I can play 4 Souls games on 1 console.
 

Benji

US Sales Insider
Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,088
0
Not surprising but good to hear.
Main thing is God of War is one of the highest reviewed games of the generation and got an enormous last minute surge. It always tracked well but reviews sent it to a different level.

But....yeah I mean Spidey is tracking favorably against GoW in the same time frame from launch

If I had to bet on it though I still see GoW ahead in the end. Probably not by a small margin either.
 
Oct 25, 2017
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I'll say this. Spidey has a better shot of topping GoW than I thought a month or so ago.

Still not sure if it does it or not though
Guess pre orders are getting up there .
Going to be interesting to see what happens when marketing really kicks in .
I expect Sony and marvel to really push it .
 
Oct 28, 2017
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I thought EA Access would come to PS4 at E3. Oops. Maybe next year, or maybe they just go Apple with it and try to lock everyone in forever. Who knows.
I got an interesting survey from EA. Asking me what I thought of EA Access, Gamepass and some other subscription services.

I assume they must be thinking about further changes to the program of some kind.
 
Mar 4, 2018
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Main thing is God of War is one of the highest reviewed games of the generation and got an enormous last minute surge. It always tracked well but reviews sent it to a different level.

But....yeah I mean Spidey is tracking favorably against GoW in the same time frame from launch

If I had to bet on it though I still see GoW ahead in the end. Probably not by a small margin either.
If Spider-Man reviews 92 or north I expect it to be bigger or at the very least move more consoles among those who never considered a PlayStation before. It will be advertised by Marvel as well as Sony.
 
Oct 25, 2017
2,761
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Yep it benefits all parties greatly.
I'm also curious to see if Sony will capitalize on the launch of Spider-Verse in December for a 2nd round of marketing for the game.
Still got a while to go.

As for launch month, I think people have underestimated Spidey (and Insomniac) since day one.
The game is going to sell gangbuster imo, doing as good if not better than GoW.