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NPD May 2018: State of Decay 2 #1 software, PS4 tops hardware charts
- Thread starter ZhugeEX
- Start date
I got an interesting survey from EA. Asking me what I thought of EA Access, Gamepass and some other subscription services.
I assume they must be thinking about further changes to the program of some kind.
If Spider-Man reviews 92 or north I expect it to be bigger or at the very least move more consoles among those who never considered a PlayStation before. It will be advertised by Marvel as well as Sony.
I'm also curious to see if Sony will capitalize on the launch of Spider-Verse in December for a 2nd round of marketing for the game.
Still got a while to go.
As for launch month, I think people have underestimated Spidey (and Insomniac) since day one.
The game is going to sell gangbuster imo, doing as good if not better than GoW.
It would need enormously positive reviews to have a shot, yeah. I was always adamant it wouldn't pass GoW, and I still dont think it will. But recent things have made me slightly less on my stance on it
Do you think that Sony strategy about one week GOW realese made a good role in sales?
Releasing reviews early you mean?
If so yes 100%. Review scores, and them hitting early had a very large impact. Buzz went from high for it pre launch, to through the stratosphere
Thx for the answer. Spider-man indeed have a great chance after those previews, but I not seeing so much PR in the same way GoW have, but still Spider-Man its god gamn popular. September It's going to be a hard month for scale all those sales.
Possibly. If it has a low meta score but sells a ton, then perhaps not. State of Decay 2 wasn't as high on the meta scale as many would have liked, but the sales were amazing and you can guarantee a 3rd game is coming.
Perfect.
I'm starting to believe that Spider-Man can outdo God Of War.
That seems like a safe prediction! Do you think Pokemon is releasing too late to creep into the top 10 this year?
That is a great interpretation. People are still open to ''zombie" games it seems!
is this with Pokemon being 2 SKUs?
I would've had Smash higher but it's releasing in December instead of earlier as we thought.
then again, Brawl did over 3m in its release month in March, right?
So I'll put Smash above Spider man personally.
yeah double checking.
Late, sales split between two games, not the full featured RPG, no digital sales included.
They're technically two different games, yeah.
How much do you think a game has to sell in order to be in the top 10 ?
I have to believe that Spider-Man will get a God of War-like burst of success, but even greater, due to the pre-established IP associated with it that comes from outside of gaming.
That looks good, I'd swap RDR2 and Black Ops 4, maybe Fallout 76 above Madden. No GTAV this year?
That market hasn't even been served well this gen. You can count the amount of decent to high quality, AAA zombie games on one hand.
Now we getting some good looking ones with Days Gone, Resident Evil 2 and Dying Light 2
Heh, I was coming in this thread to ask Mat why no Pokémon. Forgot it was 2 SKUs. Yeah, that'll probably hold it back.
oh wow, I'm surprised you think this'll hold it back. Don't see the Pokémon Go tie in/increased accessibility doing much?
I think this version will work at what it's supposed to do in growing the installed base with kids/family. But right now, Switch owners lean older and more core. I think both do very well, but making the top 10 in 2018 isn't like a normal year.
Will the 100$ bundles (game + accessory) be counted in the overall revenue figure ?
Yeah that makes sense. I'm definitely curious to see how the whole situation with Let's Go plays out.
And Smash is after Black Friday and too late I'm guessing?
Dec 7th is real late in the year to make it onto an annual top 10. Who knows. Maybe it gets there, but in 2018 it'd take something miraculous imo.
Don't you think Smash Ultimate will make into TOP 10? I know it's december only and digital revenue won't count, but the game is still gonna be insane in term of sales, and both Brawl and Smash 4 charted really high in 2008 and 2014.
Nah man, a "miracle" seem something almost impossible, i can assure you that Smash has a good chance. Smash in USA is the Nintendo IP with the biggest launch, Nintendo marketing for the game is already big and this fall will be crazy, and a lot of series had a record launch on Switch. It will be an insane launch month, one of the best in general and probabily the best for an exclusive in term of units sales, and revenue.
No way, the end of the year is packed. God of War came out with really no competition.
I mean I agree?
I've already said its likely not happening. Probably not even close
But it's more of a discussion point than it was at least
For something like the Switch, once Smash and Pokemon are out, that top 10 ain't budging much for a year lol.
Mat,
curious what are the chances if any, that we get top 20s for the individual Consoles as well?
I think it'd be pretty interesting.
10-20 would be more interesting for that system in particular.
only notable thing is Skyrim being #10 ahead of Pokken and Arms still.
Mat,
curious what are the chances if any, that we get top 20s for the individual Consoles as well?
I think it'd be pretty interesting.
10-20 would be more interesting for that system in particular.
only notable thing is Skyrim being #10 ahead of Pokken and Arms still.
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Very interesting! Thanks for posting. Looks like a really good prediction.
Yet another example that Game Pass as a model seems to work. Even better than expected, maybe. I hope this will make other publishers to follow suit and publish their new games on Game Pass. It's a wonderful service.
MatPiscatella So in regards to Detroit, how would you gauge it so far? Above expectations, around expectations?
It gives MS good "ammunition" to convince other publishers yeah.
I think that the first big third party game is coming this month. That will be the gauge
Think a game like Ashen will do nicely also i think. Now its day one at Gamepass also. Not like crazy stuff. But the Gamepass visibility is gonna help for the xbox version.
If a 3D Mario game on a smaller install base can do the insane numbers it did in such a short time, Smash definitely has a shot, even with the later launch.
This year there is more competition too. Gow and Spidey will sell more than Horizon for example ( i think ). BF V , Cod , RDR , Fallout 76 ... Lot of big titles in 2018. Anyway Smash will be huge.