I do not think Switch can do like PS4 as we can already see Switch barely sold around 300k even with good stock and big title in Oct. Also there are no discounts for Switch for black Friday and no big 3rd party titles, where PS4 is available at $199 with big 3rd party push and greater library.
I am curious to see Switch numbers for November, and if it can sell above 800k then I can see it has some good demand and big success in future, otherwise (anything less or close to 500k) I would guess that it selling only to Nintendo enthusiasts mostly.
I'm expecting this honestly. The real impact of Mario Odyssey on Switch is gonna show in November as that's when the game really started to be everywhere the eye could see, with big pushes for it like Dunkey's video that has like 3 million views now. Launch attention was actually pretty weak compared to the massive wave of attention it got starting a few days later.
Expect Switch to not only be #1 but also thoroughly far beyond current numbers.
I was joking with the 1.5 million part lol, it's just a deja vu of what happen with PS4 though.
It had a terrible October in 2015 compared to people expectation (pretty much like Switch btw, mostly thought 400K was super likely, and in the end it sold under 300K) and then an explosive November.
I think Switch will definitively sell over 1 million this month anyway. Maybe 1.1-1.2 million depend on the stock.