They can win November but only if they have enough stock of their 1TB model. Apparently it's already sold out at BestBuy.It's funny seeing some of genuinely surprised the $199 PS4 Slim is killing it on Black Friday week. It was destined to be absolutely huge for Sony and they'll likely "win" November because of it.
#2 is more interesting to me. The X launch + $199 S this week may give that placement to MS, but we'll see. Nintendo has been selling tons of Switch consoles all month long.
On the other hand all main XB1 SKUs are discounted and are still available.