User requested ban
- Oct 26, 2017
Natural Born Leader effect there, brehs.
Our society really enjoys being followers, minority groups aren’t immune to that. I’ve had a discussion before on the other site how I felt it was important for minority groups to have strong leaders instead of nebulous groups like BLM. This is partly why I felt that way and why it could become problematic. People and groups always look to strong, outspoken leaders to get behind. Doesn’t matter if they are qualified or right just as long as they have a clear message people can get behind. Kanye is taking advantage and filling that void for the black community.
Elections are based on two things. Your margins with particular groups, and the propensity for the groups your candidate has a positive margin with to turn out. Hillary was a terrible candidate because she is not exciting and does not turn out voters. Trump was just exciting enough to overcome his deficits.
I honestly think Trump will not only get more votes next time, but that less voters will turn out to vote against him due to apathy or a general feeling he’ll win anyway.Elections are based on two things. Your margins with particular groups, and the propensity for the groups your candidate has a positive margin with to turn out. Hillary was a terrible candidate because she is not exciting and does not turn out voters. Trump was just exciting enough to overcome his deficits.
Government failed them on so many levels, can’t expect someone to keep coming back when they’re getting nothing but worse treatment.
I can't speak for anybody else, but it's not that I think there's anything wrong with the sample size, just that there's absolutely no way you can make an inference like "Trump's black male support has doubled" from it.200 people as a subset of panelists isn't out of the norm, y'all. That's pretty much in-line with other leading polls (e.g. Pew, based on their average totals) would have too, and Reuters is amongst them.
Obviously, don't freak out, and obviously, larger sample-size = greater statistical power, but this is pretty standard, and limited by survey means and resources (and these samples are expensive AF to continually poll as is) that you'd only really get a more generalizable result if someone literally has been waiting for Kanye to go off the rails and had this specific study question in mind for years.
It's definitely a bold headline to have a limitation like that, for sure.
And then there are tons of people ready to jump on this note to make inferences and racial slurs towards black men at the drop of the hat in this very thread.
If you don't know why he's racist towards the black community then I don't know what information you're looking at....
You basically don't understand how elections generally work.