And, for the first time since we started, Wales are now narrow favourites for the title on the betting markets.
The combinations for next weekend don't look too complicated - the tournament goes to:
- Wales if Wales beat Ireland, or failing that,
- England if England beat Scotland, or failing that,
- Ireland
Further bonus points and points difference don't seem to matter except for sorting out second and third places. Italy can't avoid the wooden spoon, and the best either Scotland or France can do is fourth.
(EDIT: Actually points difference will matter if Ireland take a bonus point win and England take a non-bonus point win - but since Ireland would need to put an unlikely 50-ish points over Wales the above analysis is almost certainly right.)
I think England will do it 4 out of 5 - Eddie will be wanting revenge for last year. Ireland Wales will be a big game.
Eddie might want it, doesn't mean he'll get it. I'll be donning my tartans for Saturday evening.