September 2019 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, October 15th

MrTired

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,599
Are you expecting same results for an Xbox exclusive on USA and EMEAA?
I'm expecting it to generate the least amount of revenue out of all the games in the Gears series besides Gears Pop. I'm expecting it to chart below Borderlands 3, NBA 2K, Zelda Link's Awakening, Ghost Recon Breakpoint, Destiny Shadowkeep .
 
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MrTired

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,599
"Surprise" (as in not a lot mentionned) games that I could see chart : Spyro and FFVIII.
FFVIII would definitely chart if the chart was measured in units and not revenue. I could see it charting just outside the top 10. Spyro is a bit more tricky, I would the Switch/PC release to cause it to chart below FFVIII, I could be wrong.
 

MrTired

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,599
so not even top 5 for a flagship exclusive?
that's harsh.
Chart position isn't the important thing especially if all the games that charted ahead of it all did gangbusters. However I'm predicting a significant drop off in revenue from Gears 4. Which if recall correctly actually sold less than Gears Judgment in its launch month.
 
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OP

donny2112

Member
Oct 27, 2017
386
ResetERA Aggregate Predictions - Sep-2019

1. NSW - 501K (stddev: 38K)
2. PS4 - 223K (stddev: 16K)
3. XB1 - 130K (stddev: 22K)
 

slavesnyder

Member
Oct 26, 2017
878
SlaveSnyder Media Corp.
Chart position isn't the important thing especially if all the games that charted ahead of it all did gangbusters. However I'm predicting a significant drop off in revenue from Gears 4. Which if recall correctly actually sold less than Gears Judgment in its launch month.
sure, charts aren't everything, but for a title like gears, it's also a question of prestige.
especially being beaten by a refurbished zelda should hurt.
 

SilverX

Member
Jan 21, 2018
3,049
You guys are all winners in my heart since we'll never know the actual numbers :/

DAMN YOU NPD, WHY DID YOU DO THIS TO US!?!
 

Welfare

Member
Oct 26, 2017
1,845
  1. NBA 2K20
  2. Borderlands 3
  3. FIFA 20
  4. The Legend of Zelda: Link’s Awakening*
  5. Madden NFL 20
  6. Tom Clancy’s Ghost Recon: Breakpoint
  7. Gears 5^
  8. Code Vein
  9. NHL 20
  10. Mario Kart 8*
  11. Minecraft#
  12. Grand Theft Auto V
  13. Super Smash Bros. Ultimate*
  14. Spyro Reignited Trilogy
  15. Red Dead Redemption II
  16. Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six: Siege
  17. Plants vs Zombies: Battle For Neighborville
  18. Marvel’s Spider-Man
  19. Catherine
  20. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild*
 

cakely

Member
Oct 27, 2017
7,731
Chicago
#7 for Gears 5!

I expected it to be below NBA 2K20, Borderlands 3 and FIFA but not a single platform game like Zelda: LA, and certainly not behind Madden, which was released in August.

EDIT: Wow ... Zelda: LA was released in June. It's got some serious legs.
 

Slarvax

Member
Oct 30, 2017
1,008
Hamilton
Still no Official thread... Is everyone okay?
 

JJConrad

Member
Nov 3, 2017
480
Thank you. The OP was on my ignore list, so I never saw it.