correct, but scum also isn't going to stick their neck out for one of their own on D1. If they did they're stupidWe don't know that they are, we know about Grizz and that's it
correct, but scum also isn't going to stick their neck out for one of their own on D1. If they did they're stupidWe don't know that they are, we know about Grizz and that's it
I remember a post from Kalor on D1 kind of like "from those 4(Kaz, GF, Bear, Lux) I would lynch Bear or Lux"
He was one of the first on the Bear train, his final vote was on Lux
Now he voted for Aeleus
If at some point Lux flips town he will go up as a suspect to me
it's almost like we have too much chaos to sift through right now
I could be wrong. At this point my town reads are only like 60% town, and scum reads hover between 60-70%. I'll watch saenima a little more closely to see why I have this feeling.hm...i don't like this. I feel like saenima is playing as newbie scum
...I think you don't tbh
I think that there are 6 scum. 5 or 7, possibly, but I'm gonna go with 6 atm. If scum split their votes relatively evenly amongst the train and the not-train (i.e. 4 for grizz/lux and 2 for something else), then the not-train sits at 29% chance to hit scum vs the 24% chance to hit scum by looking at the other votes.
Actually scratch that, let me take Grizz, Aeleus, and Kopite out of the equationI think that there are 6 scum. 5 or 7, possibly, but I'm gonna go with 6 atm. If scum split their votes relatively evenly amongst the train and the not-train (i.e. 4 for grizz/lux and 2 for something else), then the not-train sits at 29% chance to hit scum vs the 24% chance to hit scum by looking at the other votes.
That's a good way to play mafia for sure, excluding the train because of probability that works under baseless assumptions you make about the scum team, like that they split completely evenly between the trains. (I'm disregarding that you still call the GF lynch a "non-train", even if that isnt the truth, but I already said that)I think that there are 6 scum. 5 or 7, possibly, but I'm gonna go with 6 atm. If scum split their votes relatively evenly amongst the train and the not-train (i.e. 4 for grizz/lux and 2 for something else), then the not-train sits at 29% chance to hit scum vs the 24% chance to hit scum by looking at the other votes.
Your assumption is based on the fact that I wouldn't come back to those voters later. I undoubtedly would. I'm talking about today.That's a good way to play mafia for sure, excluding the train because of probability that works under baseless assumptions you make about the scum team, like that they split completely evenly between the trains. (I'm disregarding that you still call the GF lynch a "non-train", even if that isnt the truth, but I already said that)
lolI made a lengthy joke about trying to solve a game scientifically once, but I couldn't foresee what bad influences that would have. I apologize.
they are free to do that. I'm just going with what I got and how my wormy brain works.I can only roll my eyes at this, but be my guest Hecht and do it that way. There are enough people who mentioned that they still want to look at people on the Grizz lynch today, so I guess it doesnt matter that much.
Same reason Kits is against information? It has a pro-town-bias.
You should look at GoT Mafia. That was enough work for me.
Also I was killed N1 for it
Got like four more pages to catch up on but it's time to get ready for work so it'll be a while. Just addressing this, no one passed me anything in the game. I had literally been gifted a bottle of sake irl and was cracking it open.Didn't someone get a drink delivered to them? Or was that another confusing post that wasn't actually a claim?
Oh, and I guess belated congratulations to BronsonLee for whatever his good news is. Are you having a little baby gritty?
Deal with it.there's a bug since the automated "Not Voting" list on the vote tool is still listing Grizzly despite him appearing in the Dead section.
Your work is greatly appreciated.
That I need to go bad and read and see if I agree with the votes.
Dark room turned out to be something beneficial for us(at least so far) and several who voted for it are now voting for purple so
MOVE:Purple Room
It's better to pick a room fast and focus on the lynch votes it until we have a better overall idea of the game I think
I kind of want to follow Hecht for the time being
Vote:weemadarthur
I was feeling iffy about wee and she is one of the final Bear voters(splinter, turmoil, aeleus, WSD, wee, Kaz, heck, kitsu, fep) and frankly rn the one who looks the worst to me taking into account the claim and my town reads(Kaz, fep). I think kitsu and WSD are confused town
I flip flop on bdubs and muffin from null to lean scum, rn I think I would see muffin gone first but that is just guts
I lean town on Lux, Kaz, and a little less town on GF. I lean scum on Stu
During D1 Hecht voted for Lux, Kaz and Bear(he didn't vote for GF)
So
VOTE:Hecht
I'm also interested in lynching Stu
I don't understand the push for turmoil now. Sure, later they may be an issue, but I feel like we have better targets for now. Kalor what are your thoughts on the people in the running?
Why claim? We didn't really need this info right now. Nobody doubted *splinter at the moment.i thought a hangover would be the only mess i'd wake up to today
i gave *Splinter their double vote today, and I have one more double vote i can give away in the game
im a 2-shot town pulpit
my ability doesn't mention anything about a vote being taken from another player, so i didn't have anything to do with Kopite getting screwed over
if there is a vote block of some kind, I imagine its scum more than neutral/town
I'm not sure if I buy that scum knows what all the rooms do, I'd imagine that would make it too easy for them to fuck over town, I think they just got extremely lucky today
why not? I'd rather have it clarified that the double vote and the vote being blocked were two separate powers.