Hardly saw anyone out today. Buses were totally empty, the local Co-op has instituted a five person only limit and there weren't even any queues outside. Still plenty of cars coming and going but without them it'd feel like a ghost town.
I have an Ocado delivery booked for this Sunday. The website will only let me edit my order and I can't make a new order for a later date. It's unclear if this is the same for everyone or are they limiting it so that if you have an order already you can't make a new order. Does anyone know?
Definitely seeing a change in town. Hazard tape in and out of stores to mark safe distance for queues. Capacity limits in the local Boots. Watched some old people having a chat on the benches get told to go home by police. Town market will be open tomorrow though cause why not I guess
I'm talking about day on day percentage increase and the fact france increased rather substantially day on on day in that period. They're not matching exactly on deaths but taken as a whole they're in a similar ball park, for example between march 18 -19 there were 108 deaths.I don't understand your point and I'm talking about where these countries were in the same amount of days compared to the UK, which is what your message said, not this graph particularly.
UK : 10 -> 422 from 12/03 to 24/03
Italy : 10 -> 366 from 25/02 to 08/03
France : 9 -> 264 from 06/03 to 18/03
The trajectory could change obviously but I wouldn't say you're at the same amount of deaths as France, even roughly.
- Community Response volunteer: This role involves collecting shopping, medication or other essential supplies for someone who is self-isolating, and delivering these supplies to their home.
- Patient Transport volunteer: This role supports the NHS by providing transport to patients who are medically fit for discharge, and ensuring that they are settled safely back in to their home.
- NHS Transport volunteer: This role involves transporting equipment, supplies and/or medication between NHS services and sites, it may also involve assisting pharmacies with medication delivery.
- Check-in and Chat volunteer: This role provides short-term telephone support to individuals who are at risk of loneliness as a consequence of self-isolation.
Individual days are too noisy to consider. Like, you can know that a certain number of people will die over a certain period of days, but it's basically random which exact day people die. It's only worthwhile looking at the overall trend over several days - that shows the true picture.I'm talking about day on day percentage increase and the fact france increased rather substantially day on on day in that period. They're not matching exactly on deaths but taken as a whole they're in a similar ball park, for example between march 18 -19 there were 108 deaths.
https://www.goodsamapp.org/NHS
NHS requesting 250,000 volunteers to help out. Basically if you have a car and free time you'd be of use.
Well, I'm thinking a smallish rural town like this may be able to make this work seeing today. Right now its empty enough for the police to easily spot anything that may raise an eyebrow. That market though, I wouldnt be surprised to see the police break it up tomorrow. If they don't, I think were going to see the attitude towards the lockdown fall apart by the weekend.
They're not very noisy in the UK's case which is why I said the next few days are key. France is noisy yes but I'm not predicting france I'm predicting uK's trend based on the data we have on France italy and China.Individual days are too noisy to consider. Like, you can know that a certain number of people will die over a certain period of days, but it's basically random which exact day people die. It's only worthwhile looking at the overall trend over several days - that shows the true picture.
Same with Greenwich. Closing the roads and car park seemed to stop the crowds and family day outs.Lots of people in Richmond park, but everyone seemed to be respecting social distance, no big groups of people either.
Thought this might be a good video to send out to any of your friends or family who aren't taking this seriously:
First I've heard of it. What's the invalid part? People don't think she has/had the virus?
Sorry to hear about your friend. Is there any reason in particular that you think your friend is going to die?I had to stop work today because I'm freaking out about my friend. They are testing his husband and putting him in quarantine too. The sad thing is they are keeping them separated - so if he dies, his husband won't even be there with him. This is just heart wrenching.
It really pisses me off even further to think of the people strutting around not taking this seriously when now my friend is going to die.
The other scary thing is that his husband works in the same office as my wife-but I'm fairly certain that they don't work in close proximity.
This is amazing.https://www.goodsamapp.org/NHS
NHS requesting 250,000 volunteers to help out. Basically if you have a car and free time you'd be of use.
Sorry to hear about your friend. Is there any reason in particular that you think your friend is going to die?
I mean this in a positive and not condescending way though it may not seem that way but, you dont know that. There's always hope and at least they're more likely to have the capacity to look after him now than they would in say a week or two.I had to stop work today because I'm freaking out about my friend. They are testing his husband and putting him in quarantine too. The sad thing is they are keeping them separated - so if he dies, his husband won't even be there with him. This is just heart wrenching.
It really pisses me off even further to think of the people strutting around not taking this seriously when now my friend is going to die.
The other scary thing is that his husband works in the same office as my wife-but I'm fairly certain that they don't work in close proximity.
Very sorry to hear that. Wishing them the best.The doctor told his husband that his chances don't look good. He's been hospitalized since Friday and his breathing degraded to a point when're he was placed on a ventilator yesterday.
First I've heard of it. What's the invalid part? People don't think she has/had the virus?
I thought they closed it? Is it only for cars?Lots of people in Richmond park, but everyone seemed to be respecting social distance, no big groups of people either.
Shit, that's horrible. My heart goes to you and him. Hopefully he'll recover (that's what ventilators are for, in the end!)The doctor told his husband that his chances don't look good. He's been hospitalized since Friday and his breathing degraded to a point when're he was placed on a ventilator yesterday.
We're the same. I work maintenance in a Next warehouse and they've classified themselves as key work.our manager with a swipe of the pen has just made the whole department 'keyworker'
lots and lots on angst here
That image is great though - presumably the police dispersed everyone and kicked the BBQ over.
(I hope so)
In the end our officers felt they needed to end the gathering by tipping over the BBQ and insisting the group dispersed to their homes
Daily death figures are noisy by their nature. It's basically random what particular day somebody dies, so you can't use individual death figures for a particular day to discern a trend.They're not very noisy in the UK's case which is why I said the next few days are key. France is noisy yes but I'm not predicting france I'm predicting uK's trend based on the data we have on France italy and China.
Just registered as well - can we threadmark this?https://www.goodsamapp.org/NHS
NHS requesting 250,000 volunteers to help out. Basically if you have a car and free time you'd be of use.
They did...
Unbelievable: our officers break up 20-strong BBQ defying lockdown orders | News | West Midlands Police
Despite the government’s clear social distancing instruction last night our officers today found a group of 20 people ignoring the lockdown and tucking into a BBQ. Neighbourhood officers were on patrol in Foleshill Road, Coventry, just after 2pm when they smelt food cooking and smoke rising...www.west-midlands.police.uk
https://www.goodsamapp.org/NHS
NHS requesting 250,000 volunteers to help out. Basically if you have a car and free time you'd be of use.
This is amazing.
But surely they are doing CRB checks on the volunteers? I would hope? These are vulnerable people and volunteers will be transporting them and taking them to their homes etc.
They're really not all that noisy I mean look at those graphs, you rarely get trends that smooth without running through multiple filters and that's raw data. It's honestly pretty weird how smooth many of those graphs are considering how many variables are involved across each of the countries on a given day. The deviation from a reasonable trend-line post day 20 on many of those graphs is surprisingly minor.Daily death figures are noisy by their nature. It's basically random what particular day somebody dies, so you can't use individual death figures for a particular day to discern a trend.
The only way to say if we've turned a corner is if our trend line goes parallel to the 'increase every 3 days' trend line for a sustained period (like, a week or so).
Just for cars right now, and they closed all the cafes.I thought they closed it? Is it only for cars?
It's better than nothing, but also, not enough?
Shit, that's horrible. My heart goes to you and him. Hopefully he'll recover (that's what ventilators are for, in the end!)
The underlying event is noisy though - death is basically random. Just because a random event follows a clear path for a few entries doesn't stop the underlying event from being random. Over a span of a few measurements, you can have what appears to be a trend develop for it all of a sudden to just regress back to the mean.They're really not all that noisy I mean look at those graphs, you rarely get trends that smooth without running through multiple filters and that's raw data. It's honestly pretty weird how smooth many of those graphs are considering how many variables are involved across each of the countries on a given day. The deviation from a reasonable trend-line post day 20 on many of those graphs is surprisingly minor.
If I could get an antibody test (I suspect I already have it) then I'd do this in a heartbeat once I'm better.NHS requesting 250,000 volunteers to help out. Basically if you have a car and free time you'd be of use.
It still allows you to predict with reasonable accuracy for those entries. Considering what your dealing with here that's pretty good. It's actionable data, it's not enough to indicate on the bigger picture whether those actions are correct but it's a lot better than a total shot in the dark.The underlying event is noisy though - death is basically random. Just because a random event follows a clear path for a few entries doesn't stop the underlying event from being random. Over a span of a few measurements, you can have what appears to be a trend develop for it all of a sudden to just regress back to the mean.
Gladly!
Absolute scumbags. What more can you say.Coronavirus: Thieves steal Essex school's food meant for key workers' children
The school's four big freezers were taken, as well as most of the dry and chilled produce from the kitchen.news.sky.com
Apologies if reported already.
Well the self storage industry continues as normal today, thought we might actually have some good news about closing and limiting the access but outside of don't let people into the office we still have to come to work and carry on, I know other companies don't even have the don't enter the reception policy too. We've actually been busier than ever today as well, people being idiots and just carrying on like nothing has happened; trying to hand us parcels for courier pickups, tons of people going to their units picking up completely unimportant things, even had someone trying to get into the office who was coughing and spluttering away at the door.
It would be easy enough to change how we operate to just allow essential customers access remotely but they'll argue their way out of that every step of the way. Frustrating to say the least.
It's absolutely goes against government guidelines so they shouldn't be seeing each other. If they haven't seen each other in 6 months, they can handle another 3 weeksIs this stupid?
My brother's girlfriend works in the NHS away from him at the moment in a different city so they haven't seen each other in 6 months. She has her holidays, currently been off a week already and she is coming over to stay with him at my mum and dads house who are late sixties, early seventies. Now he says he had a cold, cough or whatever the last few weeks so assumes my mum and dad if they were going to get coronavirus would have already since he lives with them assuming that's what he has but they've shown no symptoms except my dad has a cough which we are keeping an eye on daily. Now both of them are basically, got to see each other mode, whatever and don't worry about it but I think it's too risky and selfish. I would be seriously pissed if she did have it and gave it to them but my mum seems to be accepting well, they want to see each other. Also the fact she may bring it back to the NHS patients, my other brothers wife thinks it's both stupid for them, parents and the NHS to visit each other too.
What do you think?