The BBC will have very few allies after this election. If the Tories want to gut it they can go right ahead, fucking shameful display.feels like the msm are gaslighting us with some of their takes this GE
The BBC will have very few allies after this election. If the Tories want to gut it they can go right ahead, fucking shameful display.feels like the msm are gaslighting us with some of their takes this GE
Fascist going to fascist. Modi and his thugs are incredibly dangerous.
Dunno, Tories will get by with just boomers and the middle class for the next few decadesOr be the start of something, they are really losing a generation the way they are behaving.
Dunno, Tories will get by with just boomers and the middle class for the next few decades
That was my first thought on it all, because otherwise hell just deny it. Need a US journalist to do it though!Reporters should ask him about drug pricing and phrase it in a pro-american way. "Will you end the global free loading of American Pharmaceuticals and Drugs, by ensuring British people pay the same as Americans in any future trade deal?"
Feels like a last gasp for the Tory party and right wing billionaires, if they win a majority then it's party time for them but they won't get it again afterwards when they really turn the screw with Brexit etc. I think the hate and blame isn't sustainable when they screw people that much, see how they are even worried at the moment of not getting a majority, this election is permission to rob us blind and consolidate power on a level not seen in many decades or recent times. You either vote for it or you don't.
What a country we built this decade.
25-30% cuts to all govt departments.
25-30% cuts to all councils
Half of councils facing effective bankruptcy.
McDonalds in the UK - 1,270
Greggs in the UK - 1,953
Foodbanks in the UK - 2,000
Foodbank use up 2,400%.
Homelessness up 1,000%.
Rough sleeping up 1,200%
Student fees up 300%
Student debt up 150%
Worst NHS waiting times on record.
Key targets for cancer, hospital care & A&E missed.
NHS satisfaction level at lowest recorded rate.
33,000 nurses leaving the NHS each year
1,000 sure start centres closed.
780 libraries closed.
700 football pitches closed.
Sixth form funding cut by 25%.
Council home building down 90%.
100,000 increase on the council home waiting list since 2010.
200, 000 social homes lost since 2010.
Zero "starter homes" built - a Tory flagship programme.
Mass evictions at record levels.
Manufacturing in recession.
Construction in recession.
36,000 fewer teachers
25,000 fewer police.
20,000 fewer prison officers.
10,000 fewer border officials.
10,000 fewer firefighters.
10,000 fewer medical professionals.
25,000 fewer bed spaces for people suffering mental illness.
80% of the 5.3 million self employed live below poverty line.
35% of self employed only earn £100 a month.
25% cuts for the disabled community.
80% cuts to Mobility Allowance.
40% of working households have practically no savings.
70% of households have less than 10k savings.
60% of households can only survive 2 months without a wage.
Increase of 50% in hate crimes.
Increase of knife crime by 150% to 22,000 per year.
Increase in teenage suicide by 70%.
130k extra deaths attached to the political ideology of austerity.
Child poverty set to reach a record high in 2023-24 if the Conservative manifesto is enacted in full.
I've had so many conversations with folk my age that have completely lost hope, the fatalist misery is palpable.
Yeah I'm not too worried by one poll but they had a bigger CON lead than average and in an entire week its grown by 1 rather than shrunk. And the margin of error at this point should be more like whether its +2 or +3 for labour if we're heading for a hung parliament, not +0 or +1 for the Tories.all +1 are just margin of error changes really, the last kantar poll (have the least favourable labour weighting, though might be right to do so) saw a 5 point jump for labour up to 32%, so to consolidate that in the next poll instead of being an outlier is within the overall trend
obviously want to see labour increase by more though given the election is so near and lots of ppl are already postal voting
Yeah I'm not too worried by one poll but they had a bigger CON lead than average and in an entire week its grown by 1 rather than shrunk. And the margin of error at this point should be more like whether its +2 or +3 for labour if we're heading for a hung parliament, not +0 or +1 for the Tories.
With only a week to go we need to see more polls break 35 for labour, the polls aren't looking as good as last election at this point.
Yep.Was it Kantar that had like a 90%+ turnout for 65+, way more than the 2017 election, but then had 18-24 turnout at half of 2017?
Not looking too different:With only a week to go we need to see more polls break 35 for labour, the polls aren't looking as good as last election at this point.
No, that was someone misreading something.Was it Kantar that had like a 90%+ turnout for 65+, way more than the 2017 election, but then had 18-24 turnout at half of 2017?
Who are the 8% of ex-labour voters who decided to switch for Tories.
Did they turn 55 in the meantime?
Or were they so misogynistic they couldn't vote for May, but Boris has just the right level of testosterone to get them back?
I just can't understand. 8% seems a lot.
Had a look at their PDF and yes they're still doing similar weighting due to their survey results. Without weightings for likelihood to vote its 39-33-16 for the top 3 parites, so a CON lead of 6 instead of 11. The main reason for the change is that 51%(!!) of under 25s told Kantar they probably/definitely won't be voting, and 48% of 25-34 year olds. In comparison, only 25% of 65+ year olds gave those responses.Was it Kantar that had like a 90%+ turnout for 65+, way more than the 2017 election, but then had 18-24 turnout at half of 2017?
Had a look at their PDF and yes they're still doing similar weighting due to their survey results. Without weightings for likelihood to vote its 39-33-16 for the top 3 parites, so a CON lead of 6 instead of 11. The main reason for the change is that 51%(!!) of under 25s told Kantar they probably/definitely won't be voting, and 48% of 25-34 year olds. In comparison, only 25% of 65+ year olds gave those responses.
I'm seeing more and more of this, and it rather alarms me. So far the ones that I have talked to are lifelong labour voters who voted Leave and were otherwise tempted by ( or actually voted for) the Brexit Party but, being as the BP is not standing have switched to the Tories.
Shades of the Alf Garnett era - every one of them white working class.
Had a look at their PDF and yes they're still doing similar weighting due to their survey results. Without weightings for likelihood to vote its 39-33-16 for the top 3 parites, so a CON lead of 6 instead of 11. The main reason for the change is that 51%(!!) of under 25s told Kantar they probably/definitely won't be voting, and 48% of 25-34 year olds. In comparison, only 25% of 65+ year olds gave those responses.
True but that doesn't change the fact that in the last few days they have 51% of young people telling them they won't vote, and that should account for all the people who registered up to a week ago. On that basis their methodology is accurate, they would have to predict a 49% turnout of 18-24 year olds. Of course it is a very small sample in just one poll, but it seems like the big problem is that young people are actually not wanting to turn out on the level of 2017, and these pollsters may be right.I mentioned earlier but it's too late for pollsters to change the methodology based on the massive numbers we saw registering to vote last month. To do so would cause huge chaos and swings in the polls at a stage that would cause massive controversy. Better to stick to the current methods and sort out models after the election.
Not entirely sure if significant, but I've started seeing forecasts of heavy snow (particularly in the south and south east) predicted for the end of next week.
This far out, accuracy can only be, what, 30-40%? but if even slightly true it will put off people who don't have a postal vote.
Temperatures are likely to remain at or slightly below normal with occasional milder interludes, mainly in the south.
Wishful thinking on the part of the media I think. Met office forecast currently says:
Not entirely sure if significant, but I've started seeing forecasts of heavy snow (particularly in the south and south east) predicted for the end of next week.
This far out, accuracy can only be, what, 30-40%? but if even slightly true it will put off people who don't have a postal vote.
I can totally see young people not bothering to turn out this time.
hard to reconcile the reports of youth apathy with record registrations
There is a funnel of effort between the two that will see many signup online and not actually go and vote. The effort it takes to register is not in proportion to making your choice and your going to the polling booth.
I always find it more of a faff to make sure I'm registered than to actually vote. Polling station has always been more or less round the corner. Maybe I've been lucky though?
Jones is probably still raging the SNP have wiped out Labour in Scotland but if there is any one thing to unify people it's trying to unseat Jo Swinson 🤣