US PoliERA 2018 |OT6| An Unmitigated Disaster

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Kaitos

Tens across the board!
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Oct 25, 2017
13,208
Hardiman would be bad but not as horrible as the other three.
 

Human

Member
Oct 25, 2017
754
Fox News Research said:
Longest streaks of positive monthly jobs growth:
[1] 93 (and counting)
→ Oct 2010 – June 2018

[2] 48
→ July 1986 - June 1990

[3] 46
→ Sep 2003 - June 2007

[4] 45
→ July 1975 - Mar 1979

[5] 33
→ Aug 1940 - Apr 1943
→ Sep 1983 - May 1986
→ Sep 1997 - May 2000
Gotta end sometime.
 

Sho_Nuff82

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Nov 14, 2017
11,758
Reading up more on this Benczkowski fellow, and it looks like his selection might be a reach on Trump's part.

It's true that he did work at Alfa on their defamation case regarding the Steele dossier, but he was a low level guy working on legal standing issues. He has no actual knowledge of what is verifiable in the document and what was allegedly false. He has left the option of recusal open for anything that comes across his desk on a case by case basis, he's seen the unredacted intelligence report stating that Russia interfered with the election and agrees with it, and he has no informed opinion on the legal basis of the Mueller investigation because he is not privy to their methods and collected intelligence.

Lest we forget, Trump also nominated Wray, Sessions, and Rosenstein under the presumption that they'd be covering his ass and attacking Hillary, and that hasn't exactly worked out well for him. I still think this fellow is grossly underqualified and Trump is only nominating him because of what he thinks he'll get in return, but it might be he's just a bank lawyer trying to do his job.
 

Autodidact

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Oct 25, 2017
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Lest we forget, Trump also nominated Wray, Sessions, and Rosenstein under the presumption that they'd be covering his ass and attacking Hillary, and that hasn't exactly worked out well for him. I still think this fellow is grossly underqualified and Trump is only nominating him because of what he thinks he'll get in return, but it might be he's just a bank lawyer trying to do his job.
Not for lack of trying on Sessions's part.
 

Abstrusity

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Oct 27, 2017
2,656
It’s almost as if they forget most of this happened under another president. Who they said was awful and destroyed the economy. :thinking emoji:
Even better, I'm 90% sure all of them ended in recessions except, of course, the latest and maaaybe Aug 1940-Apr 1943, but that last one is a special case because WW2 and ramping up production included putting women to work when they generally hadn't been nearly as much.
 

Sho_Nuff82

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Nov 14, 2017
11,758
Not for lack of trying on Sessions's part.
Sessions' has shown at the very least that "falling on his sword for the president" is fairly low on his list of priorities. He's keeping his office scandal free so he can execute his gameplan with precision. Trump prefers loyal crooks like Pruitt, who never break rank and flaunt their indecent behavior.
 
Oct 25, 2017
1,210
I chose to open Facebook and learned that the absurd turnover rate this administration has is a good thing! I mean, isn't replacing the employees that need to be replaced what good businesses do?
 

Kaitos

Tens across the board!
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Oct 25, 2017
13,208
Pretty much

I really think it’s going to be difficult to poll because we’re going to see sorts of turnouts we didn’t think were possible or votes that weren’t there in certain areas just like in 2016 but in reverse
Most midterm polling usually does an LV screen by asking if you voted in the last two midterms. That... might not work this time!
 

Lucky Forward

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Oct 27, 2017
952
It already ended last year.

U.S. economy loses 33,000 jobs after hurricanes, first decline in seven years.

The U.S. economy lost 33,000 jobs in the aftermath of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma last month, the first decline since September 2010. The unemployment rate declined slightly to 4.2 percent, the lowest since February 2001.

Analysts had been expecting job growth to slump in September after the one-two punch from the hurricanes. This was worse than predicted: The decline in job growth ended a historic 83-month stretch of expansion, the longest such streak since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began the survey in the 1930s.
I guess Fox News doesn't count that month's decline because of the hurricanes.
 

DinosaurusRex

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Oct 26, 2017
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VectorPrime

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Apr 4, 2018
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All of those idiots going “you can’t trust the polls” might end up being right for the wrong reason if the traditional methodology can’t account for the abnormal surge of first time voters we might be seeing.
 

Iolo

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Oct 27, 2017
5,637
Britain
It already ended last year.

U.S. economy loses 33,000 jobs after hurricanes, first decline in seven years.


I guess Fox News doesn't count that month's decline because of the hurricanes.
No. You are referencing the unrevised numbers. It was revised up the next month to be positive.

WSJ said:
Nov 3, 2017 at 9:39 am ET
September Revision Restores U.S. Job-Growth Record
The Labor Department revised September's job loss of -33,000 to a gain of 18,000, restoring the U.S. job market to its record streak of growth. With that revision and October's gain, the U.S. labor market has now grown for 85 consecutive months, the longest uninterrupted stretch of growth on record.
 

Ac30

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Oct 30, 2017
14,528
London
Why does it seem like there's an abundance of cute male Democrats in red states/districts?

I include myself in that category, obviously.
Beto is still GOAT tho, dreamboat.

Sometimes I wish I were American so I could participate in your crazy, beautiful elections

The highs are so high and the lows so low but hoo boy it’s a rollercoaster either way

Belgian elections are a snoozefest by comparison.
 

Human

Member
Oct 25, 2017
754
I hope there are some districts that are not on the radar now that Democrats manage to pick up in the fall, like during the 1994 Republican Revolution. It would counter the narrative of increasing inflexible polarization, which would be good.
 

Lucky Forward

Member
Oct 27, 2017
952

Autodidact

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Oct 25, 2017
18,729
I hope there are some districts that are not on the radar now that Democrats manage to pick up in the fall, like during the 1994 Republican Revolution. It would counter the narrative of increasing inflexible polarization, which would be good.
OK-05 and AR-02 (although the latter has been rated Lean R by Cook and maybe one other forecaster). Also, everyone seems pessimistic about GA-06 now, but I think Handel could still see a shock on election night.

I also find it funny that McMorris Rodgers is more vulnerable than Herrera-Beutler despite the latter's district being a few points less Republican. It shows how candidate quality makes a difference: Lisa Brown is a great one to challenge McMorris Rodgers, while Herrera-Beutler has yet to draw a credible opponent as far as I can see.

Also, I detest McMorris Rodgers for the same reason I detest Paul Ryan: they both play the smug "aw shucks, I'm just a mom/dad tryin' [always the elision; sounds folksy and relatable!] to do my best and make this country better. Goshers!" routine even though they have repugnant beliefs. He's chosen to retire, but I really want to see her lose.
 
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