We will soon be living in Deus ExTrump is known for his self control and ability to not abuse his station to spread his stupid opinion so there is no way this will go wrong
We will soon be living in Deus ExTrump is known for his self control and ability to not abuse his station to spread his stupid opinion so there is no way this will go wrong
Just want to say, that that's a rather... curious... argument to make given the entire purpose of the Connecticut Compromise and the Senate's existence in the form it does in the first place (i.e., that large and small states deserve equal representation in government in some form or another regardless of differences in size in terms of either land area or population). Like, that's literally the entire purpose of the Senate in the fist place! To have exactly those discrepancies and not give a flying fuck about them (because "small States have different interests than large States and we don't want the small States interests to be disregarded by the large States" and all that)!
So this is more of an argument against the Senate itself (which I would agree with if that's the argument that were actually proposed, btw :D), not against them "getting full representation in Senate" which makes no sense as it's currently defined anyway and just reeks of sudden and unclear hypocrisy on those founding principals for no clear or beneficial reason. Is the Senate about giving would-be small States like the US Virgin Islands equal representation regardless of their size to prevent the "tyranny of the large states against the small ones," or isn't it? As long as the Senate remains in the form it currently does, if anything, those exact discrepancies are MORE reason to give them representation in the Senate, not less and I'm struggling to imagine a convincing argument otherwise here.
Somebody check on the black guy in Idaho and make sure he's okay.Is there some kind of nationwide hate rally thing going on today, or is Boise crazier than usual? My shop is on one of the busier streets in town and there's been a parade of big trucks with American flags, confederate flags, Don't Tread On Me flags, and some things I don't recognize that look like white power flags. I've literally seen at least 200 so far. It's some sort of organized thing and it is disturbing. I'm a straight white guy, and don't feel safe with these fucks doing whatever they are doing. I can't imagine what any marginalized person seeing this armada of fuckery is feeling.
I've asked around and haven't found anything. Don't really want to get on a watchlist for googling 'white power truck rally' or anything like that. I'm sure someone on the Boise subreddit knows, but I haven't gotten an answer yet. Haven't seen any more trucks in a while, so I don't know what's going on.Somebody check on the black guy in Idaho and make sure he's okay.
Kidding aside, did this turn out to be something?
I'd say you could divide these 10 into three groups:
"Resistance" candidates who are going to focus on progressive anger against Trump, which is Harris, Gillibrand, and Garcetti
"Socialist" candidates who are going to focus on the economic justice message: Warren, Sanders, and Brown
"Unity" candidates who will focus on an Obama-esque "rise above" narrative: Booker, Klobuchar, Biden, and Patrick
I think there will be a fourth category that could get a bit of play, true "moderates," who will focus on centrism, here you could get people like Steve Bullock or Terry McAuliffe.
Only one candidate from each of those four groups will last past South Carolina, is my guess. If I had to bet on who gets out of each category and all of them run:
-Gillibrand for the Resistance
-Warren for the Socialists
-Booker for the unity types (there's a reason Biden's never actually gotten far in a primary, I think).
-Bullock for the moderates.
Yessssssssssss implicate this fucker.I know some of you stay out of the OT for political threads (including those of you who didn't post in my movie thread...) but this is too funny not to post here:
File that away next time someone pops up to say how smart and rational Shapiro is as a conservative commentator.
So "NO COLLUSION" is going to blast out of our phones in a few days?
Alright, cool. :)Correct, if I had god like powers over the US government I would abolish the Senate entirely.
She just needs one standout speech/moment to just really take off. The hearing was a start but I don't think it'd be enough on its ownI don't think Harris fits any of these categories seamlessly. She's undeniably progressive and has that appeal, but she has a measured but no-nonsense way of speaking and presenting herself that I think would appeal to more moderate Dems. Of the names listed, I think she's done the most to present herself as a bridge candidate between the factions of the Left. People really responded to the way she grilled the shit out of Kavenaugh.
Her only potential stumbling block that I can see from here are the Southern primaries and the challenge Booker might pose. But even there I think she's beginning to edge Booker out.
-- why are some people posting completely random tweets, out of context, with no commentary, argument, or reason?
Alright, cool. :)
Obviously a Constitutional amendment or act of God to make that happen isn't coming anytime soon, hehheh. So that all being the case, as long as it does exist and we're stuck with the thing, might as well make the most use we can of it as well, eh? Especially since it's so easy to argue in favor of--"returning to the founding principles of the Senate which have been forgotten," "increasing representation for the American people who have long gone unheard," "showing our commitment to the American values of democracy," etc. As long as the institution DOES in fact exist, I can't really think of a good argument not to do that.
Especially since, ironically, if anything were to be able to shift the Overton window towards arguments of actually just abolishing the thing and make people actually even begin to consider a Constitutional Amendment in favor of that + delegating the Senate's responsibilities to the House or whatever, it would likely be "abuse" of the Senate by continuously adding more and more states and forcing the Senate to be an inherently political topic in of itself that does it.
...Though naturally even that wouldn't do it of course since even if everyone else in the country somehow started to hate the Senate, a Constitutional Amendment, by normal processes, would require the Senate itself to vote against its own continued existence and put themselves out of a job which obviously ain't going to happen no matter what, no matter how much everyone else hates them. So yeah, it's not going anywhere no matter what, even in some crazy hypothetical future. So that all being the case, it's existence safe and secure no matter what and the creation of new states so easily defendable and so hard to argue against ("my opponent clearly just hates democracy, my opponent is arguing for Americans NOT to have representation, can you believe that? I've never heard anything less American in my life," etc)... why not make the most of it exactly and just carry it to its logical endpoint already?
As an article I posted explains, the party being carried by the wave usually outperforms the polls by an average of 3% on election day:2 years ago: "Add a couple points to Clinton's polls because of her superior ground game."
I'll quote a more relevant passage for you:I went back since the 2006 election and looked at how much the polls from roughly within a month of this point in the cycle performed. (That is, polls completed from about 52 to 82 days before the election.)
The immediate thing that jumps out is the side that has won the national House popular vote has always done better on Election Day than the polls indicate right now. The average overperformance was a little over 3 points.
Democrats did better than their polls in 2006, 2008 and 2012. Republicans did better than their polls indicated in 2010, 2014 and 2016.
This is not 2016. It is not a presidential election. The dynamics are completely different and in our favor.The district poll overperformance seems especially large in wave years. Back in 2006, the average district poll had the Democrats trailing by 1.5 points. The result in those districts polled ended up being Democrats winning by 4 points. That's a bias of 5.5 points against the Democrats.
I don't think you can just say "add 4 points to Democrats", but it's also true that polls generally tend to understate the side that wins because the majority of undecideds to swing one way.2 years ago: "Add a couple points to Clinton's polls because of her superior ground game."
Mueller's teamOK I will bite, finally. Who does he think the 17 angry democrats are?
She had nothing to do with the poster.Is she going to blow this?
Arizona Senate: Kyrsten Sinema's anti-war group blasted 'U.S. terror,' depicted soldier as skeleton in 2003 flyers
https://www.cnn.com/2018/09/15/politics/kfile-sinema-flyers/index.html
I don't think people can vote for someone who was against the Iraq war.
I think it was a joke, guys.
Unless you knew that and were playing along. That'd be real awkward for me.
Wow fuck lol
The alleged witness in the Kavanaugh case wrote a memoir about his own schoolboy days as black-out drunk