So, I'm more PoliERA Casual, but a few stray observations:
Not that this place is representative of the primary electorate, but judging from responses, I wouldn't be surprised to see a Kamala/Warren split in Iowa/NH. I don't know if its true of the Dem primary, but on the GOP side of things, the eventual nom goes to a perosn who won one of those two states going back a few decades, I think.
I'm not sure how much to read into Bernie's fundraising. He's by far the most well known in the field, and as 2016 evinced, he also has some of the most devoted followers.