I lean toward believing Trump won't win re-election but after 2016 I have a hard time using polling numbers to justify that sense.
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US PoliERA 2019 |OT4| Folded like a DOG
- Thread starter Midnight Jon
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Polls were dead on in 2018.
Comey Letter and not adjusting for education were the two things that screwed with 2016 and we aren't getting either this year.
It's really just a question of "will the people polled actually decide to go vote." They did in 2018, and they didn't in 2016. I would assume in 2020, people are a lot more likely to vote than last time.
Mulvane is unabashedly one of the worst people in this administration.
Apparently the 4 Trump kids have booked out the entire floor at some 5-star hotel in London, for their visit with the Queen etc. The most expensive room in the hotel is $27,000 a night. First of all, why are they there at all? Second, are US taxpayers paying for all of this? I expect so, since those grifters never pay for anything themselves.
https://www./news/article-7094767/T...loor-22-000-night-five-star-London-hotel.html
I don't necessarily believe they actually factor in the undercover Trump supporters. Maybe I'll have my faith restored but I'm going to look at any poll with Trump with a healthy dose of skepticism.
...I don't think there are shy Trumpers. They're loud and proud. The problem in 2016 was a huge number of undecideds the week before the election, but we have a discrete event, the Comey letter, that made them break a certain way. In other words, we've accounted for the result.
I was curious what you were responding to, so I hit "show ignored content". Oh, it's just chainlinkspiral being an asshole again.
I guess I have to do it this way:
Official Staff Communication
This a political-discussion thread and not a take-cheap-shots-at-each-other-based-on-assumptions thread. Stop the cheap shots and keep to the political discussion. Thank you.
Biden feeding off that big boomer energy, he's just napping right now. He'll campaign after he gets some tea
Biden's big idea amounts to "kiss Republican ass." He was going to get booed.
Hopefully he's just playing low-key as the presumptive nominee (he probably has a better chance losing support by showing up everywhere and being himself than laying low and letting the rest of the field eat each other early on).
The fear is that he's so old he truly doesn't have the stamina for it, which could spell disaster for us in the general. I hope that's not it, but it's kind of hard not to think that it is.
Undercover Trump supporters don't exist. The entire appeal, for Trumpers, is triggering the libs as frequently and aggressively as possible. That's why they wear the fucking hat, that's why they cover their vehicles in bumper stickers, and that's why they've had Trump flags and/or signs in their yards since 2015.
They love knowing that they make people uncomfortable. They're proud of who they are.
Democrats learn fucking nothing. And I put some of the blame on some extent to the nobodies who have made the primary into an embarrassment.
This seems pretty good? He's underwater in both measures. Being unethusiastic to vote doesn't mean you're not going to. Also it's 2019.
It also covers for their own insecurities because you know they're the first to flip shit when someone wishes them happy holidays.
You're reading that wrong to fit an expectation you've cooked up in your head. Being underwater in both polls is bad for an incumbent. It means a broad lack of support.
And this is before we're even at election year.
Oh wow, that's actually much worse than I would have expected.
Actually single-issue pro-lifers are more undercover in that they hate Trump as a person but will proudly vote for him anyway. They won't get his propaganda paraphernalia but they will admit they will vote for him because of the "babies."
He defends the creator of the hoax video by referring to them as "an African American day laborer."
Which I guess for Greenwald justifies spreading misinformation somehow?
He wasn't powerless (the whole episode proves he has power) and the damage his video inflicted wasn't trivial. That's the whole point, Glenn. Stop being such a shithead. Sorry he accident'd into becoming notable, but maybe he shouldn't have been such a flaming trashbag of a person to begin with. How shitty do you have to be to do what he did? This isn't Vic Berger.
It's perfectly in line with Greenwald and others like him viewing race only as a prop to be used to advance their other interests.
Not exactly how I would have framed it but it's weird to focus on that rather than the Facebook doxxing part, which is incredibly shitty of them. Especially since they won't even take the video down!
It seems if you are going to use a service and lie and blame someone else, and that service says you are lying, that's doxxing. Thanks for the insight.
I think them handing out personal information for a user they do not believe has even broken the terms of use of the site is incredibly concerning and I'd be worried about them doing it with other users.
You can't even post on facebook under an alias.
It's against their TOS.
You believe Greenwald's paper thin smear. Facebook didn't give out the information, the user did himself, on Facebook.
"To the outside observer, the two pages are unconnected, but after a tell-tale link on one of the pages led The Daily Beast to Brooks, he admitted that the ad revenue for both outlets goes directly into his personal PayPal account."
That doesn't mean they can stop people from pretending to be someone else or use a fake name.
I'm not taking this from Greenwald at all - I first saw it being reported by this person:
Facebook will freeze your account and force you to prove your identity if they suspect it's a fake account.
So, how is it doxing if you should expect no privacy when publicly sharing on the platform?
IF they suspect it is fake. There will always be people who figure out how to game the system.
That's not reporting. And she admits she may have a bad or incomplete read on it.
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