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US PoliERA 2019 |OT5| She's got a plan for that, now sashay away
- Thread starter Aaron
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I do wonder how well Beto and his ground game will do in the primaries, especially after he gets some non-Instagram face time in the debates.
Seems like the kind of guy Iowa will just love.
Seems like the kind of guy Iowa will just love.
Trump knows the only thing protecting him is the fact that the GOP has made the presidency lawless.
In his imagination he probably has feverish, irrational notions of doing campaign rallies for the rest of his life and being forever elected president year-after-year.
It is literally and figuratively his safe space.
Lol no, he's a fucking grifter, don't expect anything principled from him
The thing really holding down Bernie is that he hasn't been able to really boost his numbers in the south. I am left wondering what his campaign has been doing in the region to try and get his numbers up. Warren has started chipping away from Biden in the region, which could help her gain a major advantage in the field.
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People way overestimate how much of his support in 2016 was a legitimate movement.
The fact so many of the contestants STILL poll over The Commander-In-Cyka is relieving, to be sure.
I also wonder if the clown car effect has really hurt any serious contenders chances. It seems to have congealed around the best and the rest.
I know but he's very fond of talking about everything except his wife and that behaviour is very consistent which makes me think both of them are playing the good/bad cop routine to keep their social connections in DC
Sure. But the way he acts on twitter it would seem that he finds this administration beyond the pale. Why can he tolerate that from his wife?
There is a degree of disingenuousness in his posting that would suggest that it is an act, rather than a heartfelt belief.
Well in that case (which is a bit naive) he should stop his couch psychoanalysis and look at himself
I'm not buying it anymore
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"Why did you vote to deregulate the banks?" "It was my first day!"
And then you had Jim Webb and his creepy overture towards killing that guy in Vietnam. I remember hearing a joke about how you'd hear someone's neck snap offscreen and suddenly Biden would be standing where Webb was.
O'Malley was at least respectable until he started having to beg the moderators for ten-second responses.
Honestly surprised by the responses to that tweet. I was expecting them to contain homophobia and people calling him an empty corporate shill
6 years? He plans to leave in the middle of his second term?
I'm assuming he means 2nd term plus what's left of this term.
Grand majority ain't got money to be throwing at million-dollar houses.
Yeah that is confusing me too lol
If 52% are already saying they're not comfortable voting for him in 2020 she's probably got a solid shot. Might not be a lack of name ID but 'Id wager few people outside the D field knows what she stands for, not a problem Bernie and Biden have.
Kind of telling both bernie and Biden have identical leads, they're miles apart on policy but they're not Trump.
6 years from now, and then the people will demand that he gets 2 more years due to the time lost on the witch hunt.
Trump internal polling
"Me don't like poll, now I fire you" - Angry Orange Man
He'll probably get McSally's pollsters instead
Oh man, this will definitely coincide with rising healthcare costs, and the looming student loan/millennial debt - all with a bit of climate change making itself known (particularly in these areas mentioned in the article lmao) tossed in for good measure.
Oh, and the eventual economic meltdown cycle happening either next year or the year after that.
The upcoming 20s are going to be fuuuuuuuuuun.
So fun.
Trump/Biden 38/53 in Maine
Lol Sue is fucking toast if this pans out
Well I can see why Trump's team might be a little worried.
2020 won't be 2016, not even close.
'Beth
I don't understand the 6 years part? Is that how much time he is saying he has left as president or dies he not know how long the terms are. It's sad I have to ask this with any hint of seriousness.
The least transformative candidate, can cause the election that more ambitious campaigns need...SMH
Might not be hyperbolic to say Biden could swing 400 electoral votes if he grabs Texas and Florida. Or it's an obvious statement.
Really shows just how far to the right Ohio has moved. If we win GA and NC and maybe even TX and don't win OH in 2020, time to cut it loose for national races.
That Estimated Delegate Count posted upthread makes me nervous. If that holds (and I totally expect it to change, but still), then we're looking at a really ugly future, where Warren and Sanders could either be winning if they had combined support, but the split support helps Biden clinch it. I think that could get real ugly among internet political discussion.
Naturally, the whole "consolidate support" thing doesn't really make sense, since a lot of Warren and Bernie votes probably have Biden as a second choice, and its too chaotic to predict who would get what support if a candidate dropped out. But the image is gonna end up being "Bernie + Liz ~= Biden" and therefore we're gonna see a lot of angry fans arguing over how X screwed over Y and helped Biden win.
Naturally, the whole "consolidate support" thing doesn't really make sense, since a lot of Warren and Bernie votes probably have Biden as a second choice, and its too chaotic to predict who would get what support if a candidate dropped out. But the image is gonna end up being "Bernie + Liz ~= Biden" and therefore we're gonna see a lot of angry fans arguing over how X screwed over Y and helped Biden win.
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Yeah, but if Warren wins more delegates than Bernie the narrative shifts from "Warren spoiled Bernie's chances" to the other way around. I mean, the hardcore Bernie whiners will say that no matter what, but who gives a fuck what they think?
Anyway Jesus at those poll numbers. Those Iowa numbers too are in stark contrast to the conventional wisdom that bundled it and Ohio together.
Ranked ballots really should've been implemented. A brokered convention is going to piss off A LOT of primary voters, especially if Biden eeks out a win with 30%.
Either that or a WTA system like the Republicans use.
Counter point. Hillary got more delegates than Bernie and the narrative among many Bernie fans was not that Bernie was at fault. I'm not saying it's gonna be some disaster or have any effect on the election, of course some people are gonna whine no matter what. I'm just saying that it'll be annoying to deal with online. Two groups of hardcore fans fighting over why the other didn't drop out, and resentful of Biden for pulling it out. Just frustrating, but also yeah probably inevitable no matter who wins and how.
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