Would Hillary be in a position to endorse anyone at this point, or is she holding out for a potential second ballot at the convention?
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US PoliEra 2019 |OT9| I'm really glad I'm not on Twitter nearly enough to understand all the references
- Thread starter TheHunter
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I'd be surprised if Hillary endorses before the convention, seems to be a point of etiquette between presidents and presidential nominees to not blatantly play kingmaker.
I'm sure if it goes to a brokered convention, that rule will be broken.
If you're gonna define hard support in whichever way you want to fit a narrative, you may as well just ignore that poll.
I'm just asking why you think they can't lose the hard support, is there any methodology behind such a claim?
Bernie's hard support could go down if he has another health scare for example, or Bidens if he loses the first three states - this is a nation wide poll after all.
Because the least likely of those groups to leave would be the hard support and each candidate would be screwed if they were down to it. If Bernie has another health scare, do you honestly think it's possible for him to go under 10% because of it?
Biden's not gonna go under 13% nationally. That's not a controversial take.
I think Hillary should just sit this out, honestly. I say that as somebody that voted for her. Just please dont.
Honestly the way that people react to Hillary I'd she got behind somebody now it could cause them the primary
There's no serious probability that Hillary will join the race. It's just amusing when she's included in the polling.
Well, as long as we're clear on what your expectations are.
I really need to see this field shaved down to 4-5 of these candidates. This is getting frustrating
I more meant in general. Endorsements even. And if she somehow things jumping into the race is in any way a good idea..... oh my
The better measures for hard and soft support are enthusiasm. Sanders has the highest proportion who are enthusiastic and Warren the lowest. She still has the strength of seemingly being the consensus candidate between various factions but now has a questionable path forward that doesn't run through her sucking up support from dropouts.
Not sure if this new one was posted.
IBD/TIPP Poll (10/24-31):
Biden 29%
Warren 23%
Sanders 13%
Buttigieg 7%
Klobuchar 3%
Yang 3%
https://www.investors.com/news/joe-...arren-both-beat-trump-2020-election-ibd-tipp/
IBD/TIPP Poll (10/24-31):
Biden 29%
Warren 23%
Sanders 13%
Buttigieg 7%
Klobuchar 3%
Yang 3%
https://www.investors.com/news/joe-...arren-both-beat-trump-2020-election-ibd-tipp/
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I think it's safe to say most, if not all, of us here voted for Hillary.
The consist story of all the polls today.
Biden is somewhat comfortably in the lead, and Harris is low low low
It's too bad. I was digging Kamal at the start (her and warren were my top picks) . She kept knee capping her own appeal I feel like :(
Biden is sitting in the same damn spot he has been for months. He's been between 25-29% for the vast majority of the primary despite everyone trying to pretend he's been tanking. What was happening was Warren gaining on him. Hopefully we lose the also-rans and Warren can gain enough percentage on him to eek out a win.
Imagine if Biden was running a campaign as robust as Pete/Warren. He'd be consolidating at 40%.
What did he say in February?
Those two way race comments were made a couple of days ago
D E L U S I O N A L
How is it between him and Forma when he's a solid 4th and she's 1/2?
Isn't she pretty consistently 2/3? Or more consitently second while Bernie has been on a bit of a downturn after his heart attack.
She's been #1 for a bit in the average for Iowa and other early states so that's why I said 1/2.
Compared to Tulsi saying it's between her and Hillary, Pete's comments don't seem that off.
Again, how can Pete hope to compete with absolutely zero Black support?
Warren and Bernie has no black support until a little bit recently. I think once Biden gets thumped it changes. Note:I think Warren wins going away.
There's no way Pete overcomes Biden and Bernie on Super Tuesday. Like it's just not happening.
Yeah I hope his shitty fundraising plus losing will degrade his support and possibly put him into a spiral.
Biden reminds me of Trump in the sense that, with better political instincts, he would be an incredibly difficult opponent
She started out too far to the left.
There's no oxygen out there with Bernie and Warren, and by the time she decided to course correct, she was boxed in by Biden and Pete.
She'll be better equipped next time.
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