Along these lines...
In the hypothetical that Sanders didn't run again... I could see Warren being the nominee? I'm less convinced vice versa.
-
Ever wanted an RSS feed of all your favorite gaming news sites? Go check out our new Gaming Headlines feed! Read more about it here.
-
We have made minor adjustments to how the search bar works on ResetEra. You can read about the changes here.
US PoliEra 2020 |OT 1| THE ANTI BENGHAZI (Read Staff Post)
- Thread starter TheHunter
- Start date
- Status
In the hypothetical that Sanders didn't run again... I could see Warren being the nominee? I'm less convinced vice versa.
Idk why you think he would have an easier time. He wasn't running against the Vice President of a very popular president in 2016. Couldn't you flip that question around? Like when 85%+ of your party identifies as Obama Democrats, why isn't his VP of 8 years running away with the nomination in every state?
Marijuana does gonna be legal by the end of 2021. It's just time. It's up on many states again this election isn't it? It'll be over half the states with at least one form of legal weed.
I said compromised for healthcare, college, and minimum wage.
it can happen.
maybe a $10 minimum wage, 2 years free community college, and maybe a public option?
Healthcare is just fucking hard
Have you ever done an ROI analysis on these degrees and expected outcomes? Of all the degrees you got you ended up in a Masters program that arguably is the least useful advancement of your existing bachelors, even despite it being free (Top 30 JD > Masters in Psychology > Masters in Sociology > Masters in English/Literary). And now you want to go for a PhD in Cultural Anthropology? No offense but the recession isn't the issue here, it could be your choosing academic paths with very limited opportunities and oversaturation of potential candidates.
So it may not have worked, you're absolutely right. I still think it was the best bet. I mentioned this yesterday (i think) but Biden is....people have their mind made up about him. They sorta just map their ideas onto him because the fucker is likable as all hell. And a man. Men get that privilege, women do not.
I think the issue with the iraq thing is that it has been sorta been played out at this point. I just don't know how many folks are really concerned about a vote that happened nearly 20 years ago, you know? It's been vetted with voters. It was part of why Hillary lost in 2008. It had no effect against Hillary in 2016. I'm not sure bringing it out again was ever going to change anything, especially since Biden has that ever important penis.
The social security thing is 100% fair and should be leveled against him. I want all the candidates to be attacked because I want to see how they respond and how they deal. I just think if you're going to swing at someone you better be damn sure you're accurate so you don't give them an easy out. Sirota being a moron (again) made it more difficult for Bernie to be able to level those attacks. But it's over now so there's nothing we can do about it at this point, unfortunately.
Ok that clarification makes it's a lot more unimpressive
Biden has never won a primary though. He's never been THE guy. (At least not successfully, see his other attempts at running.) Like, I definitely am not arguing that Biden is this super strong candidate in the primary. He's not. He's better suited for the general than the primary. Bernie is better suited for the primary than the general. But my overall point is, I don't agree with the idea that Bernie just has to prove he can win a primary/caucus. 2016 happened. He's already proven that against a far better candidate than Joe Biden. Biden has literally just kinda....meandered his way to these primaries. He's done half the work of Hillary and he very well may end up having a larger margin.
I think probably it wouldn't have made a difference but I also wished they hadn't done it.
I think after seeing the recent thread on Mississippi, it's clear that Sanders has not changed his strategy for winning the primaries in the south. It is bizarre and unfortunate that they're just giving Biden a free w. Hopefully they change soon, but yeah those comments about reaching out to white voters in a democratic primary. Like idk. Just seems like he's not trying.
I mean it's actually really pretty simple as to why Bernie Sanders will not win the primary?
Bernie Sanders lost the primary once already.
In order to change that he needs to either bank on 1) winning enough new primary voters that couldn't vote in 2016 and/or 2) winning over those who didn't vote for him in 2016, while 3) maintaining all of his support from 2016.
He is doing none of these.
Bernie Sanders lost the primary once already.
In order to change that he needs to either bank on 1) winning enough new primary voters that couldn't vote in 2016 and/or 2) winning over those who didn't vote for him in 2016, while 3) maintaining all of his support from 2016.
He is doing none of these.
You know looking back at this whole thing and I really am annoyed that Amy and Steyer are still in it and Kamala dropped out weeks ago.
Candidate wise she was definitely top 5. I know she had a shitty campaign but what a waste.
Candidate wise she was definitely top 5. I know she had a shitty campaign but what a waste.
If it was just him versus Biden, then I think Bern would've won.
but it's them, Pete, Warren, Klob, etc. The large field has only helped Biden
Bernie's strategy is very zero sum, like in the South. In '16 he didn't bother while in '20 he seems to be putting his chips in Mississippi, rather than being pragmatic and having a nuanced plan.
Biden is being handicapped by Klobuchar and Buttigieg though
She's actually the candidate "in the middle" of the Warren wing and the Klob wing that the NYT couldn't pick between.
she def dropped out cause Biden promised her VP is my guess.
How did Amy manage to stay in if the reason Kamala dropped out was money?
Every campaign uses surrogates to fight the petty wars. Obama did it, Clinton did it.
People pretending this is Bernie's particular trait are not being transparent.
People pretending this is Bernie's particular trait are not being transparent.
Kamala ramped up her operation way too fast and was bleeding a lot of money I think, especially once she fell to single digits in polling (plus a lot of her voters were fickle and fled to other campaigns). Amy's campaign has never run at the same scale, and is still very Iowa-focused.
Nah. If anything it handicaps Biden.
Biden is picking up some former soft Sanders vote that was just ABC.
Warren picks up both ex-Clinton and Sanders support. It's why I hold the view she had greater potential at winning against Biden, she could do what he doesn't seem able to. Win over Clinton voters.
Because reminder to everyone. Clinton's voters won the primary.
Lol. She had terrible advisors. Like her big moment in her last debate was taking a strong stance on.... twitter banning Donald Trump. Like what a joke
and Steyer, and Bloomberg... who won't run out of money to throw at advertisements. They are mostly irrelevant as actual voting draws near, but there is much more vote splitting for Biden then there is with Bernie. Now, 3 of those 4 add up to maybe Warren... but still, the "moderates" have no faith in Biden, but can't seem to really put a huge dent in his numbers.
Biden is a loser, so that is what ultimately scares me about him being the nominee.
She did great that first debate, but seemed SUPER rehearsed for all the others. More so than other candidates
Although keep in mind people got similarly upset when Bernie called John McCain a friend after he died. I don't hate to see it, but idk if I love it either.
I do not get the Mississippi strategy thing at all. Like, of all the states to focus on....Mississippi? The state that he lost by the biggest margin in 2016? I would think the far bigger prize would be winning SC for narrative purposes. If they think SC is too far gone, though, I'm pretty sure the rest of the south is really, really far gone.
And, to be clear, I don't think Bernie is a bad campaigner in the south because he's a massive racist or whatever stupid talking point some folks like to push on Twitter. I don't think that at all. He just seems....incapable of making connections with southern voters. I do think part of is they are more conservative, and he's never been...nimble at tailoring his stump. Plus, in some red states, the only check any folks have on GOP bullshit is the Presidency, so voters tend to be way more pragmatic. I think he's also boned because he's not going to get the Anyone But Clinton white southerners from 2016.
Like, it would not shock me whatsoever if Biden is the only viable candidate in SC.
Oh, I've been there. I think about this stuff daily.
Basically, my initial undergrads did jack shit in prepping me for anything beyond college. I hold it against them; and sadly it's not a new thing for social science majors to get screwed by their programs in finding employment. These programs are roundly terrible at it.
As for limited opportunities...duh? It's social sciences and humanities.
I have a very defined path on the PhD regarding an eventual dissertation. I know the community I'm working with, I live within their residential community, and it combines the disparate elements of my undergrads. And again, family rears their head, in that a single death in the family grants me enough money to support myself through the PhD and a few years beyond. As much as I worry, my future is pretty well set, it's just getting to that point.
She tried to fight Warren over getting her to agree Trump should be banned on Twitter. That was when the campaign died.
It amazes me how poorly run Bernie's campaign is.
Tulsi saved Biden, lol.
The Kamala campaign is just so bizarre to me. Like she's clearly a very good Senator but made all these rookie errors in her Presidential campaign and surrounded herself with some of the worst of Hillary's staff.
I hope people don't take this advice. It might be one of those worked for Adam exclusives
this bothers me so much.
he clearly says, 'am i so out of touch?'
Hey now, my original Master's of choice was an MFA in Creative Writing.
That said, I do kind of enjoy a topic in which those of us who pursued non-STEM fields yet are admonished for not supporting the socialist of the year are told we made bad career choices.
Yeah, I remember when that happened.
It is kinda funny tho how Bernie has spent this entire campaign so far saying how friendly he is with Biden and now this video of him saying Biden isn't corrupt while his most loyal supporters see Biden as The Great Satan lol. I get that he's probably doing it to not alienate Biden supporters, but still funny.
Warrens campaign this, Bernies campaign that, Amy's stapler there, Petes campign what, and means while I gotta ask: does Biden even have a campaign manager? Like, I don't hear anything about his staff ever. Does he just like show up to these debates and events out of thin air?
Is he secretly running the tightest, fittest ship?
Is he secretly running the tightest, fittest ship?
Kamala was burning money like a front runner and never had the funds to back it up.
Is whoever Kamala endorses going to inherit or massive Cali campaign operation? I hope Warren gets that.
He makes all the mistakes himself. what I mean is Biden's staff is more competent than he is. The only time they make the news is when they have to distance themselves from Biden.
The 'go big' approach could've worked if she had sustained momentum to poll in the double digits, but her campaign not having a coherent game plan... ouch.
OP
OP
Let the nerds nerd.
Would-be Bsc in Sociology, present!
It's not the education that's the problem, it's that you haven't found a way to monetize it yet. Look, ROI is a dumb notion anyway, since it's just Effort / Return, which will always give some number, and that number.... doesn't mean anything. If you wrote a novel that suddenly becomes the next GoT, your returns would be insane whereas the Effort stays exactly the same in any scenario.
They are not good measures of evaluating the meaning of human lives.
More importantly, most people do not actually wind up in the field that they study for, so that whole myth of 'study with purpose' isn't helpful.
Would-be Bsc in Sociology, present!
It's not the education that's the problem, it's that you haven't found a way to monetize it yet. Look, ROI is a dumb notion anyway, since it's just Effort / Return, which will always give some number, and that number.... doesn't mean anything. If you wrote a novel that suddenly becomes the next GoT, your returns would be insane whereas the Effort stays exactly the same in any scenario.
They are not good measures of evaluating the meaning of human lives.
More importantly, most people do not actually wind up in the field that they study for, so that whole myth of 'study with purpose' isn't helpful.
- Status