The most accurate pollster in politics, Emerson, is releasing their South Carolina poll at the top of the hour.
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US PoliEra 2020 |OT 3| "I think he's learned his lesson" says The Concerned Immoderate Darling Collins.
- Thread starter TheHunter
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Jared Holt on Twitter
“This Trump statue made entirety of nails, took 3 months to make, is 385lbs, and the artist says it's available for purchase for $69,000”
twitter.com
why.jpg
Isn't DataForProgress top dog so far?
"The Presidents chief advisor lied that it was contained, Trump has cut funding for the groups we need to combat this, and his administration will not guarantee that vaccines or treatment will be free for everyone. He doesn't know what he's doing."
That's not political, just the truth. If you want to look at politicizing, look at Trump's own twitter feed in 2014 and the way he attacked Obama repeatedly during the ebola scare.
Dems need to make the message that with people being under-insured and with America's pro-employer culture, many people may choose to not seek medical attention and not self-isolate due to fear of personal cost, and that won't happen under M4A.
Yeah, I'm certainly tempted dump off some stocks I've held onto for the past 3- 4 years. Got some ridiculous return on Apple and Amazon.
As for my Mutual Funds, godspeed. I plan to add to them once the market craters enough.
As for my Mutual Funds, godspeed. I plan to add to them once the market craters enough.
Jared Holt on Twitter
“This Trump statue made entirety of nails, took 3 months to make, is 385lbs, and the artist says it's available for purchase for $69,000”
why.jpg
Isn't DataForProgress top dog so far?
I was trolling but Emerson & Data4P have both been the best so far
Jared Holt on Twitter
“This Trump statue made entirety of nails, took 3 months to make, is 385lbs, and the artist says it's available for purchase for $69,000”
why.jpg
$69,000 too much
also, hands too big
For all the shit Emerson gets here, it's actually pretty accurate most of the time.
What do you mean by central heating? Like they needed space heaters in each room?
Growing up the thermostats usually stayed at 60º – 64º was lavish for weekends and some evenings. In a larger house we had a lamp was mounted to the wall next to thermostat and turned on at night so the heating wouldn't kick in.
Trump was one of the leading people hammering Obama and it led to losing 9 senate seats in midterms. Repubs get away with everything these days.
Officials at the Department of Health and Human Services sent more than a dozen workers to receive the first Americans evacuated from Wuhan, China, the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak, without proper training for infection control or appropriate protective gear, according to a whistleblower complaint.
The workers did not show symptoms of infection and were not tested for the virus, according to lawyers for the whistleblower, who is a senior HHS official based in Washington who oversees workers at the Administration for Children and Families, a unit within HHS.
The whistleblower is seeking federal protection because she alleges she was unfairly and improperly reassigned after raising concerns about the safety of these workers to HHS officials, including those within the office of Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar. She was told Feb. 19 that if she does not accept the new position in 15 days, which is March 5, she would be terminated.
The whistleblower has decades of experience in the field, received two HHS department awards from Azar last year, and has received the highest performance evaluations, her lawyers said.
Their presentation & design being amateurish vs. other pollsters probably adds to it lol.
The GOP had no qualms about politicizing ebola.
CHICAGO (Reuters) - Ebola has moved to the front of campaign issues before U.S. November elections, as fear and criticism of the government's response to cases of the virus in the United States opened a new line of Republican attacks against President Barack Obama and his fellow Democrats.
www.reuters.com
thehill.com
CHICAGO (Reuters) - Ebola has moved to the front of campaign issues before U.S. November elections, as fear and criticism of the government's response to cases of the virus in the United States opened a new line of Republican attacks against President Barack Obama and his fellow Democrats.
U.S. Republicans look to gain election ground on Ebola
Ebola has moved to the front of campaign issues before U.S. November elections, as fear and criticism of the government's response to cases of the virus in the United States opened a new line of Republican attacks against President Barack Obama and his fellow Democrats.
www.reuters.com
GOP renews attack on Obama’s Ebola response
Rep. Tim Murphy slammed Obama’s Ebola czar as “missing in action.”
thehill.com
Political Polls on Twitter
“NEW HAMPSHIRE Buttigieg 48% (+6) Trump 42% . Sanders 46% Trump 46% . Trump 46% (+2) Biden 44% . Trump 47% (+14) Bloomberg 33% @UNHSurveyCenter 2/19-25 https://t.co/HHkKXqCNGm”
twitter.com
Political Polls on Twitter
“NEW HAMPSHIRE Buttigieg 48% (+6) Trump 42% . Sanders 46% Trump 46% . Trump 46% (+2) Biden 44% . Trump 47% (+14) Bloomberg 33% @UNHSurveyCenter 2/19-25 https://t.co/HHkKXqCNGm”
Buttigieg would have the white college vote on lockdown.
Well according to that chart it's in the bottom half of pollsters--just outside the bottom one third even. 10 Pollsters were more accurate and only 7 were less accurate.
Stick market cratered so hard it brought down Era?
Oh god, the term whistleblower should be enough to trigger Trump
Oh god, the term whistleblower should be enough to trigger Trump
You're reading the chart wrong. Lower numbers are better. D4P, Elucd, and Emerson did best.
Monmouth hasn't had a great primary season but I imagine Nate cares more about the GE for ratings.
If Democrats were half as effective as Republicans, they'd plaster this EVERYWHERE:
twitter.com
CNBC Now on Twitter
“BREAKING: Dow Jones Industrial Average records worst point drop ever on record, plummeting nearly 1,200 points https://t.co/T8yrpR8LHE”
twitter.com
I'm... not sure you're reading that chart the right way. Mean error is how off the pollster was across the races we've had so far - the lower the better.
Lemon it's February
not saying the data is useless but like, you know
You can tell how shook Trump is just from his twitter. As recently as last month he was doing up to 142 tweets a day, most days dozens and dozens of them. Today, just one single tweet and that was an ad for his rally tomorrow. I bet he's bunkered down watching the stock ticker and crying.
Biden's general polling has completely tanked
primary is a disaster and needs to end. We're annoying everyone to the point where people are even forgetting how annoying Trump is
primary is a disaster and needs to end. We're annoying everyone to the point where people are even forgetting how annoying Trump is
This type of thing could potentially have more of an impact with swing voters than the entirety of the impeachment case.
They couldn't afford those either. They would turn the oven on to heat as much of the house as possible. That was it. My husband's dad died when he was 14, almost 15. My husband quit school and worked full time from then on to support his mom and sister. (He eventually went back to school and graduated college as well.) They went from barely getting by when his dad was alive to bread sandwiches 4 nights a week.
Like I said, I grew up solidly middle class. My dad was a retired news paper editor/director, and my mom was a teacher. We weren't rich by any stretch of the imagination, but there was never a time I worried about having money for all the things we needed and most of the things I wanted. So my husband and I appreciate having more means than either of us ever could have dreamed of growing up. Like when we were looking for a house to buy, my husband was adamant we buy one on the street we did. I had no idea why. But to him, growing up, only rich people could live on this side of town...so him having the means to buy that kind of house for his family was everything. (And for me, it was where I grew up and where my grandparents lived, so it never really stood out to me as anything unique.)
Three days ago:
The stock market is all he had. If we're in a recession for the election, he'll get fucking destroyed.
I interpreted that as being lower as an absolute value. Otherwise, why would you even include the negative symbol? Just chop it off an use the overall value--which is what I did. Basically, the distance from 0 (indicating no error, perfectly predicted final results) is how they should be ranked. I assume the positive and negative indicate how far in either direction they were off--either overestimating or falling short on individual candidates.
EDIT: Just saw the Mean error chart. By that metric, yes, they are 3rd best, my bad. I guess the chart I was looking at was movement from month to month which explains the negative values--Emerson's Mean MoE went down due to more accurate predictions in IA/NH/NV.
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Every time I watch the market dip, and I see people worry about their investments and retirements, I remember how utterly fucked I am for staying at the family business and trying to keep this thing afloat. I'll be 40 in another year. I've got no investments, no savings, no health insurance, and the Boise housing market has blown up to a point where people who bought in our neighborhood four years ago could double their money today by selling their house. I'm just so completely fucked. I pay myself less than minimum wage, but because I'm an owner, I go deeper in debt to the IRS by about $2,500 every year. I don't know why I'm typing this. Aside from the tax code needing to be nicer to small business owners, it's all my fault for sticking around.
I feel bad, because I'm kinda rooting for a major recession. It'll help us win the election, and if I'm lucky, it'll drive down home prices without putting me out of business.
I feel bad, because I'm kinda rooting for a major recession. It'll help us win the election, and if I'm lucky, it'll drive down home prices without putting me out of business.
Political Polls on Twitter
“NEW HAMPSHIRE Buttigieg 48% (+6) Trump 42% . Sanders 46% Trump 46% . Trump 46% (+2) Biden 44% . Trump 47% (+14) Bloomberg 33% @UNHSurveyCenter 2/19-25 https://t.co/HHkKXqCNGm”
Huh, for some reason I assumed that we'd have no problem with NH. Having Buttigieg on the ticket might help with Iowa and NH then 🤔
New Hampshire has long been a state I thought Trump could flip in 2020, he's been doing a lot better in New England lately.
Oh. Oh shit. Another angle to worry about this shit over. Thanks for that.
Don't blame yourself too much. Half of Americans 55 and older have no retirement savings. Over half of Americans have less than $1000 in savings. You're far from alone in this.
NH has had little polling, and what polling it has had shows a very clear advantage for basically every single Democrat.
This poll is a very obvious statistical outlier from the trend, add it to the list.
This poll is a very obvious statistical outlier from the trend, add it to the list.
oh there will be a recession. They're already pretty much settled on that. They are saying no companies will post profit increases in 2020.
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