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Washington/OregonERA: Snowmageddon Coming!
- Thread starter BringBackSonics
- Start date
Please people, shovel your sidewalks. I was the only person on my block in Seattle (Green Lake) that did on Monday. I'm surprised people didn't slip and hurt themselves on all the ice.
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Rock salt is pretty much sold out every where, best guess is just keep on calling tomorrow and Friday for reshipments
No one wants canned chicken even in dire straits. I was at Costco and they were pretty much out of bottled water, empty pallets piled up.
Look like the GFS is predicting 9+ inches for Seattle Friday-Saturday.
While the Euro is predicting a more reasonable 3.9 inches
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I remember 08, we had about 10 inches of snow. This is supposed to have about 15-20 inches after the two events
Poor girl today or yesterday slipped on ice at UW campus and unfortunately she injured her head and passed away. I can't stop thinking about the call to her parents. Like. Random chaotic horrible universe.
I heard measles is CAUSED by vaccines. On GOOP. Or Maher's show. ANyway, one of the real science sites.
I heard measles is CAUSED by vaccines. On GOOP. Or Maher's show. ANyway, one of the real science sites.
I'm in Clark county and end up at the doctor a lot, the measles outbreak has been a ball
Jesus that is fucking awful. I got chills reading that.
Jesus that is fucking awful. I got chills reading that.
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/uw-student-dies-after-slipping-on-campus-sidewalk/
Can't believe the university hadn't salted the shit out of everything to the point where ice was gone. If I were a bigwig at a school that would be one of my biggest fears during a snowstorm.
Unrelated but still what the fuck.
someone died today on campus of uw, they slipped on some ice. Many of the paths had tons of ice. . Sad.
https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/uw-student-dies-after-slipping-and-falling-on-campus/915789730
https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/uw-student-dies-after-slipping-and-falling-on-campus/915789730
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Probably less, that graphic is their "worst case scenario" graphic.
The regular prediction for Olympia and south is 3-5".
I've been trying to say for a couple of days in this thread... the real SNOWMAGEDON storm is the "tentative" one for next week, not the one for Friday/Saturday. The Euro model IIRC is still only 4-6" for Seattle until Monday when the bigger storm MIGHT hit.
I'll keep my switch charged. A light wind will knock out power here in Olympia from my experience lol
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Anything 4-5+ inches around here is snowmageddon territory for most folks
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I have a few friends that are heading to Michelle Obama Friday Night at Tacoma Dome. That might be during the start of much of the snow
I'm referring to the "worst storm since 1996" prediction. That is an uncertain weather event for next week, not the basically "same as last wekeend" they are predicting for tomrorrow.
Calling a typical snow in Seattle SNOWMAGEDON really doens't leave room for discussing actually concerning snow storms.
Bright white part in the middle of the Gorge is where I used to live, 14 miles from civilization. Note civilization is the closest place to purchase anything.
We would've got snowed in and died of starvation, looks like.
*Hugs Austin TX's 70 degree weather*
We would've got snowed in and died of starvation, looks like.
*Hugs Austin TX's 70 degree weather*
Don't forget to stock up on fridge beer. Got some Bodhi and Sky Kraken, but it definitely won't last. Time to hit Chucks along with the grocery store.
lol
Supposed to go to a big share on Saturday; it's gonna be dicey but I figure with 4-6" being the most likely that there will still be Ubers. But later that night could be tough getting home.
That sounds like a bad idea, cause you know someone is going to drive themselves home.
From what I can tell everyone is planning to either use rideshare / public transport or not go.
There's people flying in for it so it's gonna happen either way.
That graphic is Friday-Saturday
The bigger snow is supposed to come Monday
I got 2 five packs of lighters - I'm not going to be snowed in with a bunch of weed and no lighter, lol
Errr.. I'm well aware and have been posting that repatedly in this thread lol
Not sure what that had to do with the post you just quoted which is about Friday-Saturday and how the NWS image posted is an exageration of the actual forecast.
Yes, but we have something of an excuse:
- It doesn't snow here all that much (maybe one significant event every 3-4 years)
- When it snows, our high temperatures usually creep above freezing during the day, so things melt and refreeze overnight, putting sheets of ice on top of snow
- Our city doesn't salt roads due to environmental concerns (though they will be this time)
I solve the problem by not driving in snow at all. I don't have the experience, and I don't trust anyone else here to have it either. If I can stay home from work then I will, but I can always bus/MAX in if I have to. On the other hand, if there's actually 8-12" of snow, my work will probably close the campus anyway.
I work from home so really, my only concern is "do I have enough food." Hah.
There are multiple models, all of which are 'actual forecasts'.
The one you quoted only goes through the afternoon on Saturday, maybe the other one goes longer into the night? Either way they aren't really that far-off from each other. Land isn't flat here and we have water, it's not like predicting snow in Iowa.
Again.. well aware... that image is not what the NWS is forecasting as their best bet forecast (what I meant by actual forecast).. that image is their extreme worst case scenario forecast, hence the "12 inches" which I'm not seeing any model even give a slight chance, so not even sure where they got it. It's click bait, look at their twitter they have their more realistic forecast up.
The answer to this question is in the very post you quoted; perhaps read the entire post.
Yeah always part of the fun; but anyone who has lived here through snow knows that at least 75% of the time the hyped storm never quite comes. Only natural for the news to take say a 10% chance and make that amount the headline but look at the data and it isn't QUITE as scary lol.
Never know of course, but for instance this is based on averaging dozens of models:
The European model is MUCH more conservative about the snow this weekend so it's driving these predictions down compared to stuff like what the UW model comes up with (Cliff Mass always mentions the European model but his headlines tend to be based on the UW model.)
Yeah always part of the fun; but anyone who has lived here through snow knows that at least 75% of the time the hyped storm never quite comes. Only natural for the news to take say a 10% chance and make that amount the headline but look at the data and it isn't QUITE as scary lol.
Never know of course, but for instance this is based on averaging dozens of models:
The European model is MUCH more conservative about the snow this weekend so it's driving these predictions down compared to stuff like what the UW model comes up with (Cliff Mass always mentions the European model but his headlines tend to be based on the UW model.)
For sure, we always overhype and then deal with the fallout when nothing happens. Still, 1-3 inches can cripple the area.
Yeah it can be way WORSE for driving actually. I'd rather drive on a foot of snow than 3 inches of snow, if both have a layer of ice beneath.
KGW still seems to be pretty bullish on significant snow, but the other networks are much less so right now. If there's any one constant about Portland and snow, it's that forecasts rarely get it right.
People out here don't know how to drive on snow or ice either, and that makes it a lot worse
Back home, traffic would still move and I'd be e-brake sliding into my parking spot like a boss. Everything just stops here, you see people locking up their brakes and just praying the car stops. No putting it in neutral, brake pumping, trying to steer, nothing.
Back home, traffic would still move and I'd be e-brake sliding into my parking spot like a boss. Everything just stops here, you see people locking up their brakes and just praying the car stops. No putting it in neutral, brake pumping, trying to steer, nothing.