If they make it appealing to adults and kids, like Jumanji was, then I think it might do quite well. 800 to 900, if reviews and WoM are good.
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Wkd Box Office - 1•11-13•19 - Kevin Hart takes the domestic throne from Aquaman. Wan becomes second director to get two unrelated films over $1B.
- Thread starter kswiston
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So with a bit more legs left and Japan to open, 450 is probably where it will fall?
I don't see much legs
Especially that End Game is releasing two weeks later
Yup! Looking to finish around the same gross as Terminator Genisys. Thinking there's $20M left from China, $10M Dom, $10M Japan and $10M OS give or take - solid hit for Paramount.
You may well be right. I guess it depends if audiences see them both as similar (superhero movies) or significantly different (one serious/heavy and one very light-hearted).
I'm rooting hard for Shazam because Zachary Levi is amazing. His career deserves to go to the next level and I really hope it does.
Shazam is going to be successful ($500-$699m)
But not $700m and Above successful
is Hotel Transylvania 3 not a Sony Pictures Animation's movie?
It's not there yet, but it will be. It's projected to be around $160 after a $7-8M weekend, so another $8M should happen within the next week or so.
And if Glass' 2nd weekend is BvS-level like I expect, Universal will toss him and he'll be ending his career making films on Netflix...
The movie only cost $20M to make. Even when you consider P&A, Universal is gonna make a profit here. If he can keep his movies at this level budgetwise, Blumhouse and Universal are gonna let him make as many movies as he wants (especially if he keeps financing them up front).
I think Shazam has Ant-man 1 numbers in it. Maybe Ant-man & The Wasp, but not much more.
The hype behind Shazam doesn't feel like it's really there for it to be a $700m+ movie. Plus it's sandwiched between a lot of competition.
Basically. I would have called around $500-600 for both Aquaman and Wonder Woman and been wrong as hell because I didn't think the hype was really there.
The marketing for Shazam hasn't really ramped up yet since they put it on the back burner for Aquaman. The second trailer is rumored to be hitting Tuesday, so we'll see how people are feeling about it soon.
The total Youtube views for the 1st trailer (split between WB and Film Select) are pretty close to Captain Marvel's 1st trailer, but it's release date is pretty busy and I think won't get the legs.
If the 2nd trailer drops and does 40 million+ views then it's probably doing Deadpool/Wonder Woman/Marvel Phase 3 numbers.
Aquaman wasn't going against the Avengers. DC has improved, but there is a good reason people doubt them.
Y'all know there are like 20 days between Shazam and Avengers, right?
It's as silly as claiming Spider-Man is gonna get murdered by Lion King, ignoring the two week gap.
It's as silly as claiming Spider-Man is gonna get murdered by Lion King, ignoring the two week gap.
2 weeks is not that long for a movie to be in theatres, DC better pray it gets their money back by then or it's going to be Hellboy vs Dark Knight all over again.
Hellboy 2 was a week from Dark Knight and didn't have a big OW on its own. Shazam to Avengers is closer to a Wall E and Dark Knight.
...I think we're gonna need to break out pictures of calendars before people start suggesting Star Wars 9 will eat into Frozen 2.
Aquaman's new global total is $1.063B. With a stronger than expected number in Japan it could pass Civil War globally.
Not to mention a full month between Shazam and Capt Marvel. I doubt the latter is going to have any effect on the former.
Is it confirmed that it's going to be more about Prime? That article sounds like it's just speculating/being wishful(as are we all).
Heads up everyone, I finally created the 2019 prediction contest, if anyone wants to enter: https://www.resetera.com/threads/predict-the-top-5-domestic-movies-of-2019-and-win-a-prize.94642/
If I'm not mistaken the animated movie will focus on Cybertron. Now pertaining to the live-action, dunno what Paramount will want to do but Prime will either have an offshoot or be featured heavily in the Bumblebee sequel (that's what the ending of the movie implied as well). There's a dated untitled Hasbro film for 2021 so could know sooner rather than later 👀
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