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WSJ: Nintendo plans to drastically increase production for next FY
- Thread starter antonz
- Start date
That is a lot of Switches. Looks like they'll easily clear 17-18 million by March 2018 with the launch sales included, probably even get close to 20m if they are lowballing that FY 14m shipment figure.
25 million next FY is doable with normal ramp up in adoption. 30 might be a reach
For reference this is the reaction in January when it was hinted Japan Display was set to produce 10 million screens this year.
25 million next FY is doable with normal ramp up in adoption. 30 might be a reach
For reference this is the reaction in January when it was hinted Japan Display was set to produce 10 million screens this year.
If Pokemon releases FY18, they can get pretty damn close to that number.
One of the funniest things to me recently is all the people in ResetEra making fun of publishers for suddenly scrambling to commit resources to the Switch, as if it was always going to be a fucking surefire home run from the word go and the companies were just too stupid to see it.
If anything the production shortages of the Switch means you can lump Nintendo in with all those other "idiot" publishers as well.
Hindsight is a hell of a thing.
If anything the production shortages of the Switch means you can lump Nintendo in with all those other "idiot" publishers as well.
Hindsight is a hell of a thing.
Unless that game is coming out in Q4, nothing about the way they announced that screamed '2018' to me, I'll be honest.
Sounds like economics of scale will soon allow a price below €/$300 which would give sales some additional momentum.
Best wishes Nintendo. Really fantastic to see such amazing switch performance.
Keep winning Japan.
Keep winning Japan.
If this will be their only console in the market, it definitely makes sense, also they must be pretty confident in the software they are producing for this next FY
I hadn't thought of that before. You make a good point. Well done.
I mean if Pokemon hits next year, that could drive sales a lot. Also keep in mind they are launching the Switch in South Korea, Taiwan, and Hong Kong this December, they're gonna have more markets they will need to supply.
The production was taking a hit from shortage hitting the entire electronic industry, nothing to do with their being short-sighted
For reference, the 3DS sold right over 31 million units total with two years on the market.
So Switch selling around the forecasted 14 million this fiscal year and selling somewhere between the 25 and 30 million next fiscal year would put it in the 40 million ballpark in the same time frame.
So Switch selling around the forecasted 14 million this fiscal year and selling somewhere between the 25 and 30 million next fiscal year would put it in the 40 million ballpark in the same time frame.
I don't believe they've announced anything in terms of a concrete date, just Chinese language support for individual games, and it'll be available officially in Korea and Taiwan on 1 December.
Do you have a source? Because there's been several interviews with Nintendo brass and most of them mention how demand outstripped their projections for the switch. None of them mentioned any "shortage hitting the entire electronic industry" whatever that is.
Nintendo's fiscal year seems to end at the end of March, so if they can get it out early 2019 it's doable but that would take a miracle. Chances are they would delay it for the holiday sales.
Emphasis on the if should be noted.
But production shortages for Switch were because of mobile device manufacturers hogging all the parts. That's kinda out of Nintendo's hands.
More info from the article:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/nintendos-game-plan-to-level-up-switch-production-1510291065
https://www.wsj.com/articles/nintendos-game-plan-to-level-up-switch-production-1510291065
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Shortages in memory absolutely hindered Nintendo's ability to produce more units.
http://www.foxbusiness.com/features/2017/05/31/nintendo-fights-parts-shortage-for-switch-wsj.html
Anyway, there's being conservative and then porting Ultra Street Fighter II as your big game.
Other than all the old articles I posted on the old forum mentioning shortages, here's a recent one:
https://www.resetera.com/threads/asia-nikkei-switch-powers-up-nintendos-full-year-outlook.2642/
Edit: corrected later in thread.
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Nintendo is planning something big for 2018, and maybe isn't (just) Pokémon...
Pokemon + Smash Bros + Fire Emblem are 3 huge games. Plus maybe AC as well?
I dunno how realistic this is. Even accounting for increased adoption in 2nd year, 30 million is really difficult
Unless Nintendo knows something about its software slate that we don't.
I would hope this means they have the software to back it up. I think that would include 3rd party software.
Might be a bit too optimistic there.
Hopefully people are still into it next year as they seem.
Marketing and software output needs to be excellent like this year.
Pokémon needs to be primed and ready.
Maybe a price drop after the summer
Hopefully people are still into it next year as they seem.
Marketing and software output needs to be excellent like this year.
Pokémon needs to be primed and ready.
Maybe a price drop after the summer
Unless Nintendo is going to try make the switch big in Mainland China somehow or the switch has a drastic pricedrop, I don't see how they could sell 30 million in a year
AC is more probable than Smash imo.
I think 2D mario is coming.
Then we'll see how Retro's game is.
Hmm. Wonder what they got planned for 2018 software wise.
Looking forward to a January(or whenever it is) direct.
Looking forward to a January(or whenever it is) direct.