I almost feel like nobody should correct Trump and his ilk about this. Let him think that SCOTUS will be his safety need, until he realises all too late it's not there.
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US PoliERA 2018 |OT6| An Unmitigated Disaster
- Thread starter Midnight Jon
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I almost feel like nobody should correct Trump and his ilk about this. Let him think that SCOTUS will be his safety need, until he realises all too late it's not there.
The Dems are right at a 9 point edge on the 538 tracker right now. I just can't imagine that continuing to widen out to 12-13 points by election day. If there is real economic damage due to high gas prices or the tariffs then maybe but that's a massive number by modern political standards.
I know, to get that kind of margin against you you'd have to be literal Nazis or something
Hell D+9 is already a massive, insane number, especially if it's higher in the midwest.
The switch to likely voter screens is going to boost Dem numbers by like 3 points.
Like most issues with this presidency, the legislative branch has ceded all authority because politicians don't want to have to vote on things lest somebody get mad at them.
Really hope these numbers turn to votes. I believe they will. But, you know. You know.
This guy is supposed to be a renowned legal scholar and he is conflating "high crimes" with "illegal". I hate that every article about him takes time to call him a Democrat
The chief justice does have a role though, and in the source article that is what he is talking about
If the actual vote comes in that high we should have it.
2006 was +7.something when all the votes were counted and a few points under the polling avg.
The Senate is all about individual matchups and can't be surmised by a Generic National Ballot.
That being said it's not impossible, it's not even that unlikely. And at D +9 it's outright probable.
D+8 even, actually.
D+11.4 in the Senate, which of course has way fewer elections than the House.
It was at +13 around Christmas.
Remember too that Mueller could drop his findings in October. If they're as explosive as we hope, it could be 1974 all over again.
Derschowitz has been clownshoes for a long time now - and usually I'd caveat that with "used to be a respected scholar blah blah blah " but he not only no longer deserves any credit - he deserves the reminder that much of his career was spent freeing people he knew to be criminals by lying and in one famous case, by fomenting racial animus and creating a despicable spectacle.
Defense lawyers are often tasked with defending those they know to be guilty and passionate advocacy is essential to the justice system we have - but I'm not giving Derschowitz that credit because he spent it on being an evil disingenuous
By design, just like Guiliani.
Remember: they act like they're not even fighting in the court of law, but the court of public opinion.
This was the guy that represented Alfa Bank right? Well, shit.
He already said the nuclear threat was over, not sure what happens after that.
I do think that the SCOTUS has jurisdiction to hear an issue over impeachment. I don't think it's obvious that they would overturn an impeachment, and besides Trump has clearly committed obstruction which fits the requirements of impeachment.
It just annoys me so much that there's just too much going on for anyone to actually cover how embarrassing this whole NK thing has been for them and how badly it's gone
There's too much noise to hold this admin accountable. Some people probably still think he's solved the problem and is getting a Nobel prize for it by now
We conceded and said war games were provocative for nothing
There's too much noise to hold this admin accountable. Some people probably still think he's solved the problem and is getting a Nobel prize for it by now
We conceded and said war games were provocative for nothing
AFAIK, this guy would be behind Hot Rod. So, Trump could just whack him and install this lackey.
Or maybe I am thinking of "Associate AG" and not Assistant. Not sure if those are the same or different.
I think short term things are going far to well for there to be any significant collapse before the elections. Gas prices and fed rates going up are the only things we got and those are more potential catalysts toward popping the bubble than signs the bubble itself has begun to pop.
At most we'll start getting better short term indicators that things are going to go down in 2019 or 2020.
Stock Market price compared to their actual earnings, and corporate debt as a share of the economy as a whole are both very clearly in bubble range, but bubbles can continue to bubble for as long as they want, and they usually need a little downward momentum before things start to compound and quickly collapse.
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Nah, that's still Noel Francisco, the Solicitor General
As head of the criminal division at DOJ, Benczkowski would be in a position to sign off on various prosecutions, etc and otherwise have a window into the probe.
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Every time I see this gif I just hear in my head:
"Remember me Eddie? When I killed your brother I TALKED. JUST. LIKE. THIS"
Probably nothing
He can't stop the appointment and he knows it. He's under pressure and most conservatives think he's a partisan democrat. May as well say something like this or any time possible to try not and seem like one whenever the opportunity comes up
This is the other, more functional problem with the Trump-Kim summit (the major problem being legitimizing a tyrant). Now the North Koreans will never budge for anything but personal outreach from the President because anything else is an insult.
This is the long game, basically. Like how it would be hard for the courts to overturn Obergefell at this point because gay marriage is already so deeply entrenched. You push the Overton window with legislation to the point where you can never go back. The court is institutionally wary of making unenforceable decisions since the Trail of Tears, which is also why they're so deferential to executive power, but FDR's threat to pack the courts did work somewhat too. The courts were initially aggressive about tearing down the New Deal until they realized what could happen.
When you ask yourself why Court Packing shouldn't be considered, you should ask yourself why Trump and McConnell haven't done it yet.
Isn't the Mueller probe basically going to go dark after September 1st until after the midterm elections? Basically to avoid a Comey Part Duex.
That's the expectation. Hoping for a birthday surprise on 8/31.
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