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shadow_shogun

Member
Oct 25, 2017
17,743


For a second straight day, a Senate rebuke to Trump on foreign policy. Yesterday, a resolution reaffirming support for NATO. Today, the Senate about to overwhelmingly pass a resolution to require Hill approval when president cites national security as reason for imposing tariffs

Manu Raju @mkraju

An overwhelming rebuke: 88-11 to approve the resolution, which is non-binding, but calls for congressional approval when Trump cites national security as a reason to impose tariffs. Trump was so angered about this that he called Corker up recently and told him to back off

1:07 PM - Jul 11, 2018
 

shadow_shogun

Member
Oct 25, 2017
17,743




Zoe Tillman @ZoeTillman


In new filing, Mueller's office says Paul Manafort's prison privileges include a larger, private living unit; his own bathroom; his own phone; his own workspace; and he's not required to wear a uniform — they say he even described his treatment as "VIP" https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4594533/7-11-18-US-Oppo-Manafort-Motion-to-Continue.pdf …

1:17 PM - Jul 11, 2018
 

pigeon

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,447
Unless I've done an incredibly poor job of forming my statement, I can't imagine where you're pulling this from.

It's pretty straightforward? It's one thing to post a percentage for a multi-trial experiment, because over the course of multiple trials, we'll get a success percentage which we can compare to the original prediction to check its accuracy.

But with an experiment that will only be run once, a percentage chance of success is basically meaningless. No matter what the result is, we have no way of verifying the prediction. When Trump won, the needle's 99% chance of a Clinton won came in for heavy mockery, while Nate's 70% chance was spared to a degree. But that's simply outcome bias. Technically we still have no idea which prediction was more accurate. We only know what happened this one time.

To me, if there is no way to tell whether a prediction is correct or incorrect, it has no predictive value. In practice, then, people do the thing you're complaining about -- they reduce the prescription to a binary one in an effort to find a falsifiable hypothesis. It is, yes, technically incorrect. But the technically correct thing to do is just to ignore the prediction entirely!
 

Abstrusity

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,656
I don't remember Lindsay's hair color being such a Trumpish hue. Is that new or did I just stumble onto a new conspiracy theory?
It wasn't. It used to be gray. He either dyed it blonde or t here's some lighting fuckery going on with the picture.

http://www.cc.com/video-clips/stuvk...trevor-noah-shooting-pool-with-lindsey-graham

Video Proof. You can see the yellowish light reflecting his gray hair and making it look more yellow in some places, but for t he most part the hair is gray.
 

Plinko

Member
Oct 28, 2017
18,581
Remember in here when people were sad about Manafort being in solitary confinement?

Those were some good times.
 

studyguy

Member
Oct 26, 2017
11,282
Definitely feel silly for having given Manafort the benefit of the doubt despite his supposed 'solitary' conditions.
Riding on the coat tails of people who are genuinely left to languish in solitary is absolutely disgusting and I hope Muller burns this man down.
 

Stinkles

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
20,459
It's fake because Jordon doesn't like it. The same reason why Trump calls news fake.


BTW - it is going to take hard work, election losses, a couple of jailings and a lot of nonstop effort to rid the discourse and the GOP of that term. That term is an affront to reason. It needs to go. It's fuel for gaslighting.
 
Oct 25, 2017
8,282


giphy.gif
 

Paches

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,605
You know, remember when it came out a couple days ago that him and his team weren't fighting the judge on his current conditions and people thought it was either really strange or he just wanted to be safe from other inmates? Guess it was because they had a whole system worked out to break the fucking law instead.
 

Deleted member 8257

Oct 26, 2017
24,586
I'm still sort of confused as to why Manafort would not flip. Pretty much every Russia perp has to this point even soon to be singing Michael Cohen. He's going to rot in prison.
 

Deleted member 2171

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,731
I'm still sort of confused as to why Manafort would not flip. Pretty much every Russia perp has to this point even soon to be singing Michael Cohen. He's going to rot in prison.

Well, apparently he's able to noclip any jail walls with that email thing, so he probably still thinks he's ultimately just gonna walk.

Or they're letting him do this shit to see how much shit he sends and what he sends to people because he's a fucking idiot.
 

BoboBrazil

Attempted to circumvent a ban with an alt
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
18,765
I'm still sort of confused as to why Manafort would not flip. Pretty much every Russia perp has to this point even soon to be singing Michael Cohen. He's going to rot in prison.
Fear for his family, but his continued efforts to try to break the law even in jail just tells me he's an idiot who thinks he can get away with it or Trump got word to him he will be pardoned.
 

Daria

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,881
The Twilight Zone
Well, apparently he's able to noclip any jail walls with that email thing, so he probably still thinks he's ultimately just gonna walk.

Or they're letting him do this shit to see how much shit he sends and what he sends to people because he's a fucking idiot.

probably a good mix of them both because what prisoner doesn't realize their calls are recorded lol

yeah they're just going to let you slide on that one. what a fucking dummy
 

BWoog

Member
Oct 27, 2017
38,317
Remember when the Judge tried to knock Mueller?

Boy I bet he's feeling stupid seeing all of Manafort's continued bullshit.
 
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