I'll be at my PC for most of the day but have work to do, so don't expect very long posts from me. I also owe this thread a reread, since I'm ready to believe I've been off with my read of some people.
First of all, no reason not to believe Splinter's claim, so that should remove attention from Kalor and Oliver, though Kalor I already leaned towards believing yesterday. I also think that scum arsonist makes sense, even though I find it a bit unbalanced in such a small game. Could it be that an ignite kill is their main way of removing people from the game and D1's kill was a 1-shot guaranteed kill they decided to use early? I don't see why they would choose to douse rather than kill.
Here's where I stand atm.
People I don't want to lynch:
Splinter
Kalor
Oliver
Terra - I feel like he's making sense. His lone vote for CSpot on D1 is a bit bad because he hesitated to vote on either Kalor or Geno, but now that we know both were (likely, in the case of Kalor) town it's actually not that bad. His vote on Grizzly yesterday, and today's on FEP make me feel good about him.
Not enough info:
DCPat - Seriously, they barely register as a player in this game. I have to give their posts a read. He was widely townread on D1, no?
"Interesting pair":
Grizzly & Faddy - I want to say if one flips scum that'd clear the other one, since I have the impression that they've been at each other for most of the game, though more in the Faddy -> Grizzly direction than anything else. Grizzly is hard for me to read because I tend to trust him and he's good at making good town-sounding posts (that theory one above I really like), while Faddy got himself some concern points for wanting to hammer L_P after his second protective role claim, but at the same time, he's been very active and that makes me hesitate.
People I'd lynch now:
Zipped - CoolestSpot didn't place a vote on D1 (they did, on Geno, but then unvoted). Then they jumped on my Haiku-powered LP train the second I suggested it, with little justification, and after doing like 4 posts in a row about he was going to start thinking things through and helping out town too. It's almost too blatant to be scum, but it could work. It also sucks that I'm telling this to you and not CSpot.
FEP - Terra is right in that he's been getting ignored this game, and that could point towards a scum team that's afraid of calling him out because he'd be hard to defend if votes build up on him. It's worth pointing out that he has criticized several players for stuff, like Grizzly for "making excuses for Geno voters", Faddy for
flip-floppy reads among other stuff, and most notably CSpot, whom he voted for pretty early on in the day yesterday, where his vote stayed. Apparently he didn't like that he didn't add a transcript for his song, and called him the most useless player so far.
Assuming scum team is 3 people and we can trust Splinter's results, even lynching someone from my last 2 groups gives us a 75% chance of lynching scum so I guess it's not terrible, though that's removing Terra and Pat from the equation for non-solid reasons, Pat much more so.
Vote: Flatearthpandas
For now I'm gonna join Terra on his vote, and wait to see where the day goes once we get out of this mechanics discussion and start talking about who to lynch. A FEP lynch I also like because of the shade he's thrown even if it only materialized for CSpot. If he flipped town I'd go after Zipped next (if I don't eventually switch my vote to him today), or maybe Grizzly if he flips scum since he was the target of his weakest "jab" yesterday.