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eseqko

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,390
The show Nintendo put on at E3 is the kind of show you maybe put in AFTER you sell 20 million units, not before.

Awful mistake wasting people's time with Smash. They could and should have easily saved it for Treehouse


I think what Nintendo was trying to do was show people that this was a new Smash and not just an uprezzed port.

I don't think it was successful. They showed 25 minutes worth of "look how different this is, characters and stages that we're bringing back, change in some mechanics, GOING DOWN THE LIST OF 66 CHARACTERS AND EVERY SINGLE, MINUSCULE IMPROVEMENT (CAPS because at the time I felt it was unnecessary, But I guess it was)".

...and yet still people are still "It's Smash 4.5"
 

Xx 720

Member
Nov 3, 2017
3,920
I don't think they should have a problem hitting 20m with Pokemon and smash lined up also wouldn't be shocked to see switch get some sort of holiday bundle to sweeten the deal.
 

Papacheeks

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
5,620
Watertown, NY
You uh, didn't check the dates for those did you?
Spiderman-September
DQ XI- september
Tomb raider-september
Yakuza kiwami 2-december

Im not counting Jurassic park because i think thats a you thing (there's a new game coming out? Ive never seen it), and as for indies, lol, like the switch doesnt have those too.

So all of the big games are 3 months out or longer. I guess sonys doomed.

Yakuza kiwami 2 is August there bud.
 

Deleted member 5167

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,114
I have breath of the wild on Wii u. So as of right now, and for the rest of this year, I once again have no reason compelling enough to buy a Wii u.

I will just have a cool peice of kit with tons of potential, with nothing to play, because as it stands, I will burn through all the games on the system I want in my first month of owning it, and I see nothing for me in the pipeline of the next year.

So I wait.

what the hell wiiu games were you expecting to be shown?
 

TI92

Alt account
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
5,598
And I got a 24 hour ban for suggesting the labo was doing poorly.

:|

But I'm not salty
 

Instro

Member
Oct 25, 2017
15,048
This is why you need to INVEST like others companies....but Nintendo and their hurr durr way of think will affect them in the future, even harder than WiiU at some point, they don't have a second pillar to save them.

And the evolution from 3DS to Switch is like a big wall for small developers, which will jump to make mobile games instead.

Absolutely, when you consider that their only new studio outside of internal EPD in the last so many years has been the purchase of Monolith, which is something they were a little hamstrung into iirc, you really have to scratch your head the decision making. The dismantling of NoA and western partners by Iwata after Arakawa left has never been addressed from an output standpoint. This is coupled with slow workforce expansion, and the apparent inability to secure enough 3rd party support/exclusives to pad their lineup.
 

grand

Member
Oct 25, 2017
25,005
It was a bad E3 showing so I'm not surprised. They showed nothing "new" for analysts to care about so the market is responding in kind.
 

Serebii

Serebii.net Webmaster
Verified
Oct 24, 2017
13,128
Mainline entries on a much cheaper platform with an already huge install base.

It's not really comparable to the second rate spinoffs on an expensive console with a small (albeit impressive considering how long it's been out) install base. Why would you spend $400 bucks when you can likely wait till next year for a proper mainline entry and likely a cheaper entry point for the console itself?
Let's Go is mainline. Don't quibble with that. Game Freak say it. Nintendo say it. The Pokémon Company say it. Just because you don't like it or its mechanics doesn't mean it's not mainline.

Ok, let's go back to X & Y. 3DS was at 42 million as of December 31st 2013, which is a bit higher than the projected 37 million by end of FY. In the two and a half months from launch to that point, X & Y had sold 11.1 million units.
 

MisterHero

Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,934
I wish I could buy some stock. It's stupid really but it would be sweet if I could buy it like it was in the early 2000s. Moar bad news plz

/poor
 

Servbot24

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
43,166
I think what Nintendo was trying to do was show people that this was a new Smash and not just an uprezzed port.

I don't think it was successful. They showed 25 minutes worth of "look how different this is, characters and stages that we're bringing back, change in some mechanics, GOING DOWN THE LIST OF 66 CHARACTERS AND EVERY SINGLE, MINUSCULE IMPROVEMENT (CAPS because at the time I felt it was unnecessary, But I guess it was)".

...and yet still people are still "It's Smash 4.5"
I think doing that is what made people think of it as 4.5. When you go over things as minor as a slightly different gunshot sound effect it makes it seem like they're grasping at straws.

If Tropical Freeze 2 had all the same levels as TF1, but they added an extra icon to the UI and gave DK a different grunt, people wouldn't be jumping for joy about that either.

That said the 4.5 comments are still dumb.
 

Deleted member 11626

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
4,199
The hyperbole in this thread is ridiculous. Pumping out genre defining titles like Zelda and Mario isn't going to happen every year. They had everything lined up for year one and did not anticipate the wild success of year one. Nobody did.

Yet here they are in year two with a sequel to the best selling Pokémon generation, Smash with every single character that's ever been in the franchise (many that have been changed), a brand new Kirby that sold above expectations, a couple of Mario spinoffs poised to do the same, ports of old titles from Wii U that did better than their original releases, a bevy of indies headlined by the excellent Hollow Knight, and third party support that's still better than what they've had in the past. Not to mention getting one of the biggest games in the world. We're also going to have at least one more direct with some potential for the early year of 2019 before their fiscal year ends. Stop with the drive by "lolz ports" and the doom and gloom forecasts. When was the last time a console has ever done worse in its second year than its first? If nearly 18 million is what was sold in the first year then it's safe to predict at least another 18 million.

What you all are forgetting is that last year's hits are still relevant. Just to use an anecdote, most of my friends don't have Switches. One just received one as a present and he's raving about Zelda and Mario Kart. Another is in the market just for Mario Kart. For all of you that bought a Switch last year and played these last year, great! Nintendo isn't targeting you to sell you another console. But there are still a lot of people that didn't buy a Switch last year and there is a reason Nintendo has kept last year's games relevant with continuous updates and DLC.

Nintendo has had a much better initial two years than the Xbox One or PS4. I'm not sure how some of you can be so down on the Switch. And that's before we consider how stacked 2019 is guaranteed to be with Fire Emblem, Yoshi, Daemons X Machina, Pokémon mainline, and likely Bayonetta 3 and Metroid Prime 4.
 
Oct 25, 2017
624
This means nothing in the grand scheme of things, but my wife plays exactly one game, one: Animal Crossing. After finding out they didn't even tease a new Animal Crossing for Switch she deleted the phone Animal Crossing from her phone. When I asked her why she said because she doesn't want them thinking that the hours she has put into that game (she is some ridiculously high level) means she is happy not having a mainline AC game in over 5 years. Her quote at dinner was "they don't want me anymore I guess".

As a gamers who plays most everything it doesn't phase me quite as much when my favorite series go long between games, there is plenty more to play, but it is interesting seeing a 'single game' person eventually give up by the time between games.

Just thought I'd share what Nintendo's announcements (or lack thereof) meant yesterday within our family.

Note Nintendo is fine: my wife deleting that game means nothing to their bottom line, my daughters and I watched the Smash direct twice yesterday and I'll be buying two copies for both our Switches-- Nintendo still getting plenty of our money.

I wanna hug your wife. ;( Fucking hell, I just want an Animal Crossing tease Nintendo!
 

LJKO

Member
Nov 16, 2017
2,620
This is basically the same thing me and my friend argued yesterday about as well him pissing me off and sending me garbage Nintendo is Doom graph that I can't read. No matter what I tell him about this drop mean nothing and will rise again because both Pokemon+Smash will sell gang buster he keep saying and using the assumption of no 3rd party support, no Re2, no DMCV BS to prove a point. We got some new and mostly old 3rd Party ports but those ports are still 3rd party support right?
 

Visanideth

Banned
Oct 31, 2017
4,771
I think the main problem for investors is that the conference didn't inspire confidence in Nintendo's capability to keep up with the competition.

They did the "we're focusing on one game" approach before but it was BotW. When the most discussed aspect of the game you've focused on is whether it counts as a new game or not, you're in trouble. They announced almost nothing to fill the coming months and again, in the perspective of investors, the impression that the Switch is yet another Nintendo console with barebones 3rd party support and that Nintendo seems to be struggling to supply with first and second party software.

Everybody is talking about Cyberpunk and Battlefield and Assassin's Creed Origins and Call of Duty and Resident Evil 2 and you (the investor) are sitting there thinking "when this barrage of games will start hitting at the end of summer, what do we have?". Sony's getting headlines with TLOU2, Spiderman is getting huge attention and again, is Fire Emblem or even Smash getting the same traction? The Switch is going to be a success story no matter what, but the even Wii was a rollercoaster for investors and their concern is understandable.
 

TI92

Alt account
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
5,598
Also I don't think Nintendo's e3 was that bad but it did have a serious lack of variety. I get smash is fun I am excited and have had it pre-ordered for a while but... Don't do 30 minutes of just it next time nintendo :p
 

TRUE ORDER

Member
Oct 30, 2017
3,368
To be fair, the Direct focused too much on Smash imho, they should have shown more titles or a few surprise announcements...
 
Oct 27, 2017
9,431
I wonder why the "Nintendo is doooomed" meme is prevalent. Have anyone actually claimed that Nintendo is in serious trouble as a company because of this?



How is the Switch situation in Japan these days in regards to stock? I havnt seen any reports of sellouts like last year, but has the supply VS demand being met? In other words, can you basically just walk into any gaming store in Japan and pick up a Switch in these days?

I think those oeole are overreacting. Why would it be doomed? They are forecasting near 20mil units in thier second year. I could be wrong but that's more than any year for the ps4 I think. Regardless that crazy for no price drops yet too. Will they hit it who knows bit I think at the very least they will be close.
 
Oct 26, 2017
6,315
Nashville
Something tells me if Fire Emblem was 2018, the concern for the year would be significantly lower.
So for this year we have

Sushi Striker
Kirby Star Allies
Mario Tennis Aces
Octopath Travellor
Super Mario Party
Pokémon Let's Go
Super Smash Bros Ultimate
XC2 prequel going Lost Legacy route

Ports we have

Bayonetta 2
Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze
Hyrule Warriors Deluxe
Captain Toad

I mean resume wise it isn't as good but it's not terrible by any means.
 

woman

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,532
Atlanta
Both sentences here are just plain wrong.

It's a remake of Yellow using Go's catching system. It's not a spinoff of Go.

its both, so - like the switch itself - certain people are picking and choosing a specific aspect to 'prove' their point

Nintendo wouldn't have made a distinction between Pokemon Let's Go and the "core pokemon series" if Pokemon Let's Go was a mainline installment

 

Deleted member 41651

User-requested account closure
Banned
Apr 3, 2018
1,981
I wanted but didn't get my hopes up about new AC game (the mobile game is fun but not the same) or maybe a slight Switch price drop. I'm sure there's a good chunk of Nintendo fans like myself who don't care much about Smash... or Pokemon. Not digging at those games tho, just saying.
 

Easy_D

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,275
Fucking Nintendo not announcing projects 2 years in advance typical Nintendo arrogance. Should at least have had a man play the banjo for 10 minutes.

(Banjo guy was really talented though)
 

Mr_F_Snowman

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,883
You people act like turning out "big, ambitious triple AAA releases, titles month after month" is easy and Nintendo is, by choice, not doing that again this year. Game development takes time and we ARE getting a Pokemon and Smash this year. Last year was an anomaly because Nintendo was able to port over BOTW, which had been in development fora ages on the Switch and to get Odyssey out there quickly. The fact that some of you act like there was some Nintendo planning meeting and they were like "Well we could drop a huge title every month, but damn it we are just doing so well, fuck it lets not bother at all in 2018" is hilarious.

I'm not saying its easy - I'm saying that if you are a console manufacturer, with nearly zero third party AAA support then you need to be in a position to fill that void with your own games. If you can't do that then you need to expand your resources / devs teams to get to a point where you can.

Nintendo have woefully under expanded in the last 10 years - they are putting out less ambitious, AAA content the vast majority of third parties (who, incidentally, are giving them zero support).
 

Visanideth

Banned
Oct 31, 2017
4,771
And the major problem with all of that is that Sony and MS are ready to transition in the next gen. They're revving the engines: next E3 may already seem them announce the new consoles.

So you have a console that is already a full generation behind in power that is just hitting its stride and that Nintendo isn't exactly flooding with software, and when you'll finally reach the point where its game library can rightfully stand up to the competition, they will have moved on.


I think what's worrying the investors is that the videogame market is growing and changing at an accellerating pace, and Nintendo seems to be really struggling to keep up.
 

eseqko

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,390
Something tells me if Fire Emblem was 2018, the concern for the year would be significantly lower.
So for this year we have

Sushi Striker
Kirby Star Allies
Mario Tennis Aces
Octopath Travellor
Super Mario Party
Pokémon Let's Go
Super Smash Bros Ultimate
XC2 prequel going Lost Legacy route

Ports we have

Bayonetta 2
Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze
Hyrule Warriors Deluxe
Captain Toad

I mean resume wise it isn't as good but it's not terrible by any means.

With the exception of Pokemon, feels like a best of Wii U year.

EDIT: Well, maybe Octopath is the other exception.
 

TI92

Alt account
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
5,598
Fucking Nintendo not announcing projects 2 years in advance typical Nintendo arrogance. Should at least have had a man play the banjo for 10 minutes.

(Banjo guy was really talented though)
Tbf banjo man wasn't part of the main conference that was a pre event. And what about Metroid prime 4 announced last year :p
 

Tiber

Member
Nov 1, 2017
1,114
Year 2 and it still has a far worse UI than the PSP.

But atleast we got a huge talk about Smash zzz
 
Oct 25, 2017
15,172
It'll rebound sooner than later, the real problem is this just prevents Nintendo stock from being any higher than it's been the past few months until they show some new info.
 

Visanideth

Banned
Oct 31, 2017
4,771
I'm not saying its easy - I'm saying that if you are a console manufacturer, with nearly zero third party AAA support then you need to be in a position to fill that void with your own games. If you can't do that then you need to expand your resources / devs teams to get to a point where you can.

Nintendo have woefully under expanded in the last 10 years - they are putting out less ambitious, AAA content the vast majority of third parties (who, incidentally, are giving them zero support).


I think a part of the audience is in denial. Sure, Smash will do big numbers. 10 millions in a year? Maybe! But that's not something extraordinary anymore. God of War is going to do that. And God of War is just one of the many, many multimillion games that the PS4 will see in one years.

Nintendo isn't in danger, because their business model is perfectly self-sustainable. It's just becoming less and less attractive for investors.
 
Oct 26, 2017
6,315
Nashville
With the exception of Pokemon, feels like a best of Wii U year.

EDIT: Well, maybe Octopath is the other exception.
Still not bad at all.
Mario Tennis Aces, Super Smash Bros Ultimate, and Octopath all look incredible so there is that.
The Wii U games ported are great games.
Sushi Striker and Kirby are not great games but good enough.
Mario Party is Iffy
 

Easy_D

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,275
Also how come Wii U ports are seen as a bad thing? I bought my Switch for a Wii U port (Zelda lol). Plenty of people who never bothered with that thing and it would be unfair to let those games rot away on a trash system, porting takes less effort than making brand new games but to a lot of people they might as well be brand new.
 

Casual

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
1,547
Let's Go is mainline. Don't quibble with that. Game Freak say it. Nintendo say it. The Pokémon Company say it. Just because you don't like it or its mechanics doesn't mean it's not mainline.

Ok, let's go back to X & Y. 3DS was at 42 million as of December 31st 2013, which is a bit higher than the projected 37 million by end of FY. In the two and a half months from launch to that point, X & Y had sold 11.1 million units.

Okay fine, they define it as mainline. So it's a mainline game that falls drastically behind the standards that the series has set, removes a lot of the core features, and adds in a mechanic from a mobile game.

Second point seems kind of apples to oranges. 3DS already HAD 42 million. Switch is projected to have 37 million, a lot of that projection would be based on their expectations for Pokemon.
 
Oct 25, 2017
4,717
It's actually the opposite of the Wii U, they pretty much went into panic mode and had stellar 2013 and 2014 E3s where tons of stuff for the future was shown
I was more referring to their last two years of the Wii U but yeah you're right lmao. If you look at it that way they really went the total opposite of the golden years of the wii u.
 
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