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LinktothePastGOAT

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
4,879
Please give me just something to hold on even 1% of hope that this country isn't going to be a nightmare for the next 50 years because of Kennedy.
 

VectorPrime

Banned
Apr 4, 2018
11,781
Can't wait until tomorrow when the dust from the shock settles a bit and people can begin discussing the situation without immediately throwing their hands up and admitting defeat.
 

Bronlonius

Member
Oct 29, 2017
438
Well then I hope to see particularly ugly procedural, quorum, whatever fights on the floor of the Senate in that case. I expect it. I demand it. I'm calling my senators' offices to say so.

But Trump's pick will likely pass, and with it, the Social Schism will likely deepen. If LGBTQ rights, abortion rights, voting rights, and the treatment of prisoners are affected more strongly in a new Roberts Court, then the differences between blue and red states will be even more stark. Some states already have legalized abortion before Roe v. Wade, for example; others might need to do it themselves in the worst-case scenario. States could conceivably divide on whether or not a queer couple can get married far more explicitly in the future. (It's hard to flat out reverse a ruling - look how long it took the Supreme Court to disown Komatsu - but far easier to revise and chip it down.)

We will live in far more different countries in the future than we do today without a swing justice. The legal and social landscapes will look alien from one state to another, and the common frame of reference will wilt again. That, to me, is the likelier legacy of the Trump era, whether it lasts four years or eight - we will be wary, and warily apart.


So, basically move to blue states ASAP if you want any part of what we call America today. The future is fucking bleak and very "christian".
 

ned_ballad

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
48,270
Rochester, New York
No way in hell they do that. Then you give the blue wave even more ammunition.
Yea, I think people are misinterpreting what would happen here.

In 2016, the GOP wasn't in power (at least as president), and everyone thought Hillary would win, so the GOP had incentive to come out and vote to "protect" "their" court.

In 2018, the Democrats are the ones on the offensive. They have everything to lose, and no reason not to fight. While the GOP has everything, so abortion and stuff has no threat of expanding no matter what the court looks like.
 

JayC3

bork bork
Administrator
Oct 25, 2017
3,857
Regarding hesitancy to packing the court, I think we need to accept that the old norms are dead. If the right is willing to do anything to gain control including colluding with foreign governments, hiring white supremacists, and dicking around with supreme court nominees, then the left has to use everything in their toolbox to combat that.

If the future is to be dictated by rotating periods of left and right control, so be it. It's better than giving up a branch of government to the right and their underhanded tactics.
I agree with this. And the Supreme Court is fully politicized at this point, so time to start protesting the Justices directly.
 

ned_ballad

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
48,270
Rochester, New York

Blader

Member
Oct 27, 2017
26,641
While delaying confirmation for Kennedy's successor until after the midterms would definitely juice GOP turnout, I don't know McConnell wants to bank on that. The environment is still plainly D-friendly, and the whole reason he killed the August recess in the first place was to give Republicans time to confirm more judicial appointments in case they lose the Senate.

Though now that I think of it, he could just delay confirmation until after the midterms and, if they end up losing the Senate, confirm the appointment during the lame duck. Which seems like exactly the kind of evil thing McConnell would do.
 

jtb

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,065
Lamb ran promising not to vote for Pelosi.

This is the norm, not the exception.

As token "symbolic" votes, I don't really agree that the optics of voting for Pelosi as chief Democratic boogeywooman and confirming a Supreme Court justice who will be a far-right Gorsuch clone are identical. Also I'd argue that the Lamb election was completely a nationalized election (thanks to Pelosi, Trump, et al) and presages a +15 Democratic wave but now I can't even remember what our original disagreement was about to begin with.

I also don't agree with the usual consultant class conclusion that voters are stupid and look to pointless symbolic votes to decide which way they vote, but, again, that's another completely different tangent.
 
Oct 27, 2017
17,973
As a principle, that's nice. As messaging to the nation, that's really dumb because we all know working class Americans don't include any POC.

Sanders' marginalizing language has bothered me for quite a while now.



midterms are gonna be awful


If they try this, there's a good chance afterwards that Trump sinks his own candidate multiple times via tweets, because, you know, that's what he does. And he'll be under soooo much more stress then than he is now, as tariffs kick in and the Mueller investigation "wraps up".
 

Autodidact

Member
Oct 25, 2017
18,729
Hi I'm new here.

So is the confirmation gonna happen before or after the mid terms?
Yes.
The risk in that is it makes the court 100% partisan rather than the <100% partisan level it is at now or will be.
These justices are nominated by a partisan leader and confirmed by a partisan legislative body. Part of our problem is that we've been acting cute and pretending that judges aren't political actors for 35+ years, and especially since the Religious Right mobilized itself.
 

Doof

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,434
Kentucky
People commenting and saying they wish sanders would come back. Or join the Dem party.

There's really no consensus on Bernie around here. Some folks love him, some really don't. I'm grateful for him pulling the Dem platform to the left a bit, but I think he's extremely out of touch on social issues and guns. You're not wrong that he should stay in the Senate, tbh.
 

LinktothePastGOAT

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
4,879
How will states be beacons? If a court finds abortion unconstitutional no state will offer it except in alleyways like before. Same with other issues.
 

The Adder

Member
Oct 25, 2017
18,178
I'm surprised they haven't already

Seriously, that we've gone this long without a violent, bloody riot is surprising me. I predicted one within the first year after Trump won.
To quote myself:

Because there's a glimmer of hope left for fighting it at the ballot box come November. People are processing 2016 as having fucked up and holding tightly to the chance to start fighting back without hopping the railings of polite society come November.

Should that fail? That's when you see all hell break loose. On both ends of the spectrum. For good and for evil.
 

Royalan

I can say DEI; you can't.
Moderator
Oct 24, 2017
11,995
Yglesias, as usual, summing up why the Twitter responses of Dem congressman thus far have been borderline useless.

 

Emerson

Member
Oct 25, 2017
521
USA
I'm usually one of the first people to look at shit positively and urge calm but it's hard to feel that way about Kennedy retiring.

Mitch McConnell honestly has to rank as one of the all time worst villains in American history. Just a horrible fucking human being. He's almost singlehandedly responsible for a large majority of what has gone wrong in the past decade in American politics. Trump is basically just a bumbling idiot pawn by comparison.
 

Kirblar

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
30,744
As token "symbolic" votes, I don't really agree that the optics of voting for Pelosi as chief Democratic boogeywooman and confirming a Supreme Court justice who will be a far-right Gorsuch clone are identical. Also I'd argue that the Lamb election was completely a nationalized election (thanks to Pelosi, Trump, et al) and presages a +15 Democratic wave but now I can't even remember what our original disagreement was about to begin with.

I also don't agree with the usual consultant class conclusion that voters are stupid and look to pointless symbolic votes to decide which way they vote, but, again, that's another completely different tangent.
Your viewpoint is flies in the face of everything we know about local elections. Yes, they're more nationalized than they used to be, but that doesn't mean that individual candidates and electorates don't matter. People whined and whined about Northam running a milquetoast campaign.... and he overperformed local House races by 2-3%! Tailoring your message to persuadables matters, tailoring your message to your local voters matters.

And we better hope it matters, because if races nationalize permanently, WE :LOSE ALL THOSE RED SEATS FOREVER.
 

jtb

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,065
At least Dems will have the House in six months

When the Dems win their next trifecta, their top priority should be dissolving the Senate.

Your viewpoint is flies in the face of everything we know about local elections. Yes, they're more nationalized than they used to be, but that doesn't mean that individual candidates and electorates don't matter. People whined and whined about Northam running a milquetoast campaign.... and he overperformed local House races by 2-3%! Tailoring your message to persuadables matters, tailoring your message to your local voters matters.

And we better hope it matters, because if races nationalize permanently, WE :LOSE ALL THOSE RED SEATS FOREVER.

I know. I'm very pessimistic about the Senate.

The Senate was a mistake.
 
Oct 30, 2017
2,365
Well, if it makes you feel any better, the markets all took another dive today. So, hey, Trump may be getting a new SC Justice, but the economy seems to be on track to collapse. I wonder if we'll be in full on recession mode come November. That might actually hurt GOP turnout.
 
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