Gareth Newham at the Institute for Security Studies, one of South Africa's leading authorities on crime statistics, said there was no evidence to support the notion that white farmers were targeted more than anyone else in the country.
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Fact-checking organisation Africa Check, in a detailed
report on the subject of farm murders in general – not just of white farmers – suggested that another credible estimate of the farm murder rate could be as low as 0.4 murders per 100,000 people. But it too concluded that an accurate figure is "near impossible" to determine.
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Last month, South Africa's parliament passed a motion to begin the process of amending South Africa's constitution to allow for the expropriation of land without compensation. If followed through, this motion is likely to disproportionately affect white farmers, given that this group enjoys a disproportionately large share of land ownership. But no farms have yet been seized, nor is there any immediate plan by the government to do so.