View: https://twitter.com/6d6f636869/status/1750865585272234092?t=i0_YkWcDQ-SOnSqSL4BIDQ&s=19
Follow up to the tweet from the other day to the article.
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February Direct believenot THIS fiscal year, but next right?
dont think they shipping 10 mil in 2 months lol
not THIS fiscal year, but next right?
dont think they shipping 10 mil in 2 months lol
Is that more than when they shipped the first Switch in its first year?
PS5 sold almost 8 million in the time period they're describing here, and that was virtually every unit that they could ship at the time.10 million doesn't seem like a lot? Didn't PS5 do more than that in its first year even with the chip shortage?
its gonna be hard getting consoles year one from switch 1 onward
Good work here, i was going to dig up Switch sales for comparison.Important to remember that this device won't have a full fiscal year until FY2025, beginning in March 2024.
The suggestion here is that the device ships in a September-October timeframe, which means it will have a maximum of two quarters in Nintendo's upcoming FY.
This would put it on par with the Switch during those equivalent quarters in FY2018 (meaning Oct-Dec 2017 and Jan-Mar 2018):
- Q3 FY2018 - 7.2 million Switch units sold
- Q4 FY2018 - 2.9 million Switch units sold
- Total: 10.1 million
the Wario64 tweet alerts stay ONits gonna be hard getting consoles year one from switch 1 onward
not THIS fiscal year, but next right?
dont think they shipping 10 mil in 2 months lol
Using this estimate of 10 million consoles produced for the fiscal year, we could work out the possible release date.
Indeed i just checked the data from Luminoth, on istallbase, on the shipped consoles per Q:
in the FY 2017/2018 nintendo shipped:
That would be 10.2 million consoles total.
- 7,3 Million consoles in the third quarter(Oct-Dec)
- 2.9 Million consoles in the fourth quarter(Jan-march)
That is actually the minimum quantity of consoles shipped by nintendo for the switch for Q3 and and Q4 in a fiscal year.
Of course, the shipment numbers won't really reflect the shipments in 2017/2018, they will probably be a bit more skewed towards Q4 due to the logistics involved in launching a new product.
So something like:
- 6 million for Q3
- 4 million for Q4
When Switch launched in March 2017, Nintendo shipped 2.7 million consoles in the first month of march alone (data from Luminoth).
That would leave 1.5 million consoles to ship in November and December respectively, to reach ca. 6 million consoles shipped, which is doable.
This would put the launch date in October.
That's 10 million units in six months at most, that's a lot.10 million seems light. Genuinely not looking forward to trying to get one, especially since I want this to be the first console I get on launch.
I've decided that I hope it's called the Switch 2. It gives off PS2 vibes and it absolutely works
Literally read your comment above as soon as I posted that lol. Yeah that's a lot for launch.
If it launches in November that is 10 million in 4 months. Seems better than the Switch launch.
I think/hope they'll launch before then so the launch rush/holiday rush don't completely overlap with one another.
I hope they can crank out a ton. It was easy to preorder a Switch. But, everything big just sells out instantly now thanks to flippers and bots.
If it launches in November that is 10 million in 4 months. Seems better than the Switch launch.
I'm honestly not too sure about November. Not only would that go against Eurogamer mentioning that Nintendo wants to launch the system sooner if possible, it would also step on the toes of Pokémon (which is likely still Switch 1-only this year).