See, this positive news is what happens when a Mario Golf title is announced. Good job Nintendo
Bloomberg: Nintendo targets a record year in Switch games sales, boosted by a series of marquee title and an enhanced revision
- Thread starter Lelouch0612
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Who's "we"? These expectations come from industry supply chain and software sources, not any of us or even any analysts.
A couple of things.
I think Switch will break the 205 million software forecast for FY 2021 Ending March when the final results are released
FY2022 starting this April doesn't end until March 2022, so while Mochi is doubling down on his Pro talk sounding like a 2021 thing, it could still launch in early 2022. That said, this article all but confirms the current plan is to launch this revision in the next 12 months with an apparent intention to launch in 2021, at least strongly implied by the article.
I think Switch will break the 205 million software forecast for FY 2021 Ending March when the final results are released
FY2022 starting this April doesn't end until March 2022, so while Mochi is doubling down on his Pro talk sounding like a 2021 thing, it could still launch in early 2022. That said, this article all but confirms the current plan is to launch this revision in the next 12 months with an apparent intention to launch in 2021, at least strongly implied by the article.
Ever noticed a trend in Nintendo game producers?
They all have parted hair bangs... I think we should part our hair bangs. UPDATE: It's "parted bangs", not "split hairs".
www.resetera.com
Oh my.Ever noticed a trend in Nintendo game producers?
They all have parted hair bangs... I think we should part our hair bangs. UPDATE: It's "parted bangs", not "split hairs".
What are you expecting for the current FY? I know the forecast is 205M but that was with Q4 left unchanged, I'm betting it'll be closer to 225.
OP
OP
Analysts expectations have been regularly smashed. I don't know why they keep lowballing.
Software peaks are usually in the latter years of the platform and we are not there yet.
If Nintendo thinks I'm going to spend a ton of money on a minor Switch upgrade... they're absolutely right.
Am I missing something? Have seen this mentioned a few times now.
I'd love a MK9 if it's even better than MK8D.
The assumption is that fiscal 2021 is the one-two punch of stay-at-home + AC, and the following year would decline.
My investment thesis has been that we will see a combination of 1) the benefit of a larger install base, 2) hardware refresh, and 3) an improved release schedule.
OP
OP
I mean yeah, the effect was clearly there but
1. Like you said the userbase grew significantly
2. Even AC was sandwiched between 2 FY
3. COVID weakened last year's release slate whereas this one appears stronger (and we are very early in the year).
4. COVID effect is still going on and will have lasting effects (because of 1 and new entertainement patterns)
They have no reason to when they literally have record software sales
Do Analysts just have a hard-on for predicting Nintendo's failure? I know that we all point at Pachter, but seriously, other analysts just seem to believe Nintendo is a walking corpse rather than thriving.
Honestly, their handhelds often have odd sales curves. The GameBoy had a whole second life much later than 4 years in when Pokemon launched. The DS was a slow build and then exploded. The 3DS even had increased sales YoY later in its life when Nintendo had basically declared it dead. Then they pretended it wasn't for a few months until sales fell off a cliff.
I just think that the Nintendo is doomed thing attracts more views, clicks and engagement.
Announcing "4K Patches" for their evergreens should do the trick for even more sales!
Yes it is. Nintendo never announces everything in the first half. Heck you could even see some Q4 2021 (calendar year) announcements as late as September. It's Nintendo, they always do it like that.
I believe that the impact of Covid is overstated as well. Nintendo is back, and more powerful hardware will be the cherry on top.
The only 2nd half of year games we know about from Nintendo Zelda which is July and Pokémon. Of course they have more.
Of course. Or you want to believe they only have like, 2 games for the rest of the year.
Gen 4 remakes sell 13M+ units.
Legends probably another 10m.
Most of Monster Hunter Rises sales will be in the next FY.
Thats over 30m just from 3 games lol.
No indication of MK9 at all.
But Mk8DX will sell probably another 10m hehe.
Legends probably another 10m.
Most of Monster Hunter Rises sales will be in the next FY.
Thats over 30m just from 3 games lol.
You are missing wishfull thinkingTM.
No indication of MK9 at all.
But Mk8DX will sell probably another 10m hehe.
Maybe I should have phrased my question better, as I keep getting responses to the effect of "well it just makes sense for Nintendo."
Ok, fair, but is Bloomberg just assuming for the same reasons everyone else is, or do they ACTUALLY have any insider info here?
Ok, fair, but is Bloomberg just assuming for the same reasons everyone else is, or do they ACTUALLY have any insider info here?
Bloomberg isn't just making stuff up. It could be wrong, but they will have sources for what they're saying. This isn't Nintendo Fanboy Weekly or something: Bloomberg built their platform on providing well-sourced market information.
And note they're talking about fiscal years from April 1st to March 31st. This would then include Pokémon BDSP, Pokémon Arceus, and probably other unannounced titles.
Getting the Switch at launch was easy for me. I have a feeling this will be much tougher. I hope this releases after Covid restrictions end so I can wait in line at the electronics store to get one. It's the only way to beat scalper bots
I'm a little mixed on the idea of a Mario Kart 9. I feel like people get 8 because they love Mario Kart and want one on their Switch. I have no doubt that initial sales will be huge and basically replace the 8 sales over time, but it would ultimately replace sales as opposed to add onto 8's sales. A lot of people are still buying 8, so they likely won't rush to get 9. It's not like 8 becomes suddenly bad or not Mario Kart. Is it worth making a whole new Mario Kart for an initial sales surge that will eat into your still amazing sales on 8? It's not like a Zelda sequel, where the first one still has reason to sell once the second is out.
I think they'll hit 240 million and we'll got posts here saying that it's proof switch has run its time.