So if Brandson is right, BTC should climb another 15% or so and then plummet by 33+%?
yep best investment ive made, however prl ouch just keeps droppingThe XRB / Nano I bought back when it was dirt cheap is floating the shit out of my portfolio.
9k to 9.2k ended up being 9k to 9.1k
8.5k to 9k ended up being 8.4k to 9.2k
Now GDAX below 8.1k. Pretty close to my guess so far I think.
How I see this going from here: BTC breaks below 8k on some volume, selling picks up below 8k, briefly falls below the 200d SMA on 1D timeframe ($7.8k), and bounces hard from somewhere in the $7.4k to 7.8k zone. Bounce could be to $9k or $10k. If you're in fiat, I suggest you watch that region closely today.
You're probably already aware but its worth saying so everyone else knows, but Brandson has just put an immense amount of his time into learning and broadening his TA skills on BTC & ETH. Whilst there is no concrete method to predicting the market with 100% accuracy, trends and signs are shown and he is really, really good at it. Nothing but respect.
Thanks. This is exactly right. The charts have a lot to say, if you know what you're looking for. And do not underestimate the importance of studying BTC and ETH fractals. That means, study how they tend to move in an uptrend, in a downtrend, and compare the current trend to previous big moves to look for common signals. There is a lot of luck involved with this too, since news could drop at any moment and interrupt the trend. Happy this worked out so far.
Thanks. This is exactly right. The charts have a lot to say, if you know what you're looking for. And do not underestimate the importance of studying BTC and ETH fractals. That means, study how they tend to move in an uptrend, in a downtrend, and compare the current trend to previous big moves to look for common signals. There is a lot of luck involved with this too, since news could drop at any moment and interrupt the trend. Happy this worked out so far.
Anyone buy the dip? I did, for approximately +50% ETH stack size increase. I started DCA buying ETH from 780 down to 730 in small chunks, before buying in with the rest when it bounced.
The market moving as I predicted, which is both exciting and a bit unnerving for me. BTC bounced from $7.5k GDAX and bounced to 8.9k BTC so far. BTC may rise to the $9.5k to $10k range from here, but I am not super confident about that yet. Need to study the charts some more now.
The bounce target is the hardest one to get right. These markets always like to retest the bottoms. To signal the end of a correction, they especially like to see a double bottom with RSI divergence on 1D timeframes, but the volume on this bounce is what I was looking for, so it could go either way. If it does do a bottom retest, it may take a few days, or maybe a week, for the market to attempt that kind of a move. It could even do it today, but I don't think so.
For now, I'm pretty satisfied with how this is going, and am holding and watching. If ETH bounces off $1100, I may look to sell some, or if it looks like it's going to fall below my DCA buy-in average.
Thanks for the insights Brandson. I bought in the 750 range and sold some in the 940 range to lock in some profits. I do expect it to retest the bottom again. Hoping to capitalize there. Been learning on how to read charts and it's helped me make better decisions though I still make lots of mistakes lol.Anyone buy the dip? I did, for approximately +50% ETH stack size increase. I started DCA buying ETH from 780 down to 730 in small chunks, before buying in with the rest when it bounced.
The market moving as I predicted, which is both exciting and a bit unnerving for me. BTC bounced from $7.5k GDAX and bounced to 8.9k BTC so far. BTC may rise to the $9.5k to $10k range from here, but I am not super confident about that yet. Need to study the charts some more now.
The bounce target is the hardest one to get right. These markets always like to retest the bottoms. To signal the end of a correction, they especially like to see a double bottom with RSI divergence on 1D timeframes, but the volume on this bounce is what I was looking for, so it could go either way. If it does do a bottom retest, it may take a few days, or maybe a week, for the market to attempt that kind of a move. It could even do it today, but I don't think so.
For now, I'm pretty satisfied with how this is going, and am holding and watching. If ETH bounces off $1100, I may look to sell some, or if it looks like it's going to fall below my DCA buy-in average.
Managed to get back in just after that crazy BTC spike. Made some proftits back.
Thanks again for your insights here.
Tether is currently valued at under $1, there's no reason to pump right now other than to expose themselves as being a fraud.
Things are starting to rise a little bit. Hearts still about to be broken?
Makes sense, doesn't mean it will get to the absolute bottom though. But yeah it's good to know there's still a long way to go before mining stops being profitable.I was just thinking that yesterday. Wouldn't the absolute bottom have to be somewhere around the cost it takes to mine it? Mainly because if the Miners aren't making money they are just going to stop outright and then the entire thing falls apart.
I was just thinking that yesterday. Wouldn't the absolute bottom have to be somewhere around the cost it takes to mine it? Mainly because if the Miners aren't making money they are just going to stop outright and then the entire thing falls apart.
Tether is currently valued at under $1, there's no reason to pump right now other than to expose themselves as being a fraud.
Right now a legitimate Tether would be buying back and burning tokens, which I think they've done a little of
And just like that cryptotwitter turns bullish, a 180 turn from few hours ago.
Except this guy (who has no followers but I like his insights):
I think there is something fishy with tether but I also think a lot of it is overblown and FUD because everything was crashing.
My position is Tether printed so much to keep up with demand and keep it at par with USD. Market crashed and everyone wanted to move from crypto to tether to avoid the volatility. I don't believe tether has 2 + billion in reserves, but I also don't think everyone is going to cash out of tether tomorrow.
Is it fishy that the owner of bitfinex owns tether, for sure. Is it fishy that they can just print tethers out of thin air sure. I just don't feel that those 2 things are going to be enough to wipe out crypto and BTC.
BTC is still going to drop IMO. I think we can see 6K over the weekend.
I was just thinking that yesterday. Wouldn't the absolute bottom have to be somewhere around the cost it takes to mine it? Mainly because if the Miners aren't making money they are just going to stop outright and then the entire thing falls apart.
If it comes out that Bitfinex/Tether were in fact printing fake money to inflate the market, then that would be bad, and I could see another 50% correction from here. If they actually had the money, then that's way better, but I still think regulators will do some sort of enforcement action because the U.S. government typically does not appreciate anyone printing a USD equivalent. How the market responds to that enforcement action is hard to predict. It could be that the certainty of knowing what is happening will cause the market to pump, like at the end of the China exchange ban news, provided that the enforcement does not end up crippling the market. So I think you keep all this in mind, and always maintain your exit strategy, as I have said here before.
The concept of a crypto asset having a value fixed to the USD is good, but execution is very difficult. And whatever organization is ultimately setup to provide that function needs to be 100% independent of other market participants, including exchanges, and totally transparent at all times, not just when it suits them.
Barely winning right now though. It's a small sample but I don't see a lot of confidence in the market right now.
Would just like to say Brandson even though I am new here I appreciate all your posts and information you share with everyone.
Just to pick your brain but do you see BTC being overtaken by any other coin? I think we could be heading into a new future where crypto's market cap can go back to 1 trillion or more, but it might not be being lead by BTC. Let BTC drop. outside of being a gateway into crypto which is being replaced now by things like ETH and LTC I don't see its value. Other coins are faster and better and cheaper. A huge drop might push it out of the mainstream mindspace and allow something else to emerge to lift the markets. BTC's volatility is probably not doing any other crypto's any favors and having something so unstable being a smaller % of total market cap would benefit the entire space IMO.
Barely winning right now though. It's a small sample but I don't see a lot of confidence in the market right now.
Does that mean you're buying now?The market wants to see BTC make a higher low. Once that happens, it's off to the races.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...itfinex-tether-said-to-get-subpoenaed-by-cftc
If they'd listened and pulled out they'd still have their money.No you weren't. This crash right now has absolutely nothing to do with tether.
Thanks for trying to gloat though when most of this board is losing a ton of money.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...itfinex-tether-said-to-get-subpoenaed-by-cftc
https://www.investopedia.com/news/tether-and-south-korea-move-bitcoin-prices/
If they'd listened and pulled out they'd still have their money.