Your right about that but man it kinda makes me confused why people still underestimate Pokemon like Let's Go.
How confident are you that Nintendo will reach their 20 million target for Switch this year?
- Thread starter Mysterio79
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Your right about that but man it kinda makes me confused why people still underestimate Pokemon like Let's Go.
Some users are disappointed in it, so they just assume everyone else is too, I guess.
I don't think it can hit 3DS sales for one major reason. The Switch isn't a true 3DS replacement with its form factor and battery life. If Nintendo fixes those two issues then I think its very possible Switch can meet or potentially even surpass 3DS sales.
I would be very impressed if Switch hit 3DS level sales in its current form.
The Switch has the exact same battery life as the OG 3DS.
Also there's a pretty large difference between 40M and 3DS LTD sales which are closer to 70M IIRC.
At the rate it's currently selling? You're delusional my man. You do understand it's currently like halfway already to 40 million?
It's going to sell exactly 0 when Smash and Pokemon hit within a few months of each other, poor Switch, doomed.
I wasn't so sure at first. But Mario Tennis, Pokémon and Smash is enough to move that many consoles. The Switch software lineup by November will be insane.
They hit 14+ million in January, so they definitely will as long as they have the stock to reach that number. If anything, we should be estimating 22-25 for EOY 2018.
The Switch will be at 40 million by the end of 2019 at the absolute latest.
Launch models of the Switch and 3DS have the same battery life too. Switch is going to outsell the 3DS so you're going to be impressed
Not sure a cardboard activity suite with a SKU that runs higher than average game MSRP is comparable to one of the most recognizable franchises in the world. Let's Go is going to sell well, especially with two versions.
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Guys, you have to know by now that laughably low predictions for Switch aren't made in good faith. 40m is such an absurdly low prediction designed for nothing but bait. Notice how he switched to "won't outsell the 3DS" (which is at 70m, not 40m) as soon as 10 people quoted him. He's just here to be very concerned about Switch sales.
End of 2019? If Nintendo hits its fiscal targets, then it will be at ~38 million units by March next year lol. This whole argument is inane.
Oh I know lol. I was just giving wiggle room in the .000000000000000000000001% that sales tank. We're likely looking at 40 million by the end of the fiscal year. I think they'll exceed the target
Absolutely, me as well. Smash, Pokémon, Fortnite? They're going to make a mockery of that guidance.
The idea that that will be Switch's lifetime sales is just so absurd lol.
3DS sales weren't impressive outside of Japan. It would be bad if Switch didnt outsell 3DS. 40m would be a joke. Come on.
Was (and still am cranky) that they have not opened up VC options or released any WiiU stuff.
Also had a hell of a backlog from PC and PS4.
Got a great deal the other night on a Switch with Zelda, Splatoon 2, and a pro controller though so am already back in
Gotta be honest, if Pokémon and Smash haven't convinced you they'll hit the number, I don't think there's anything they can announce that will.
New smash and Pokemon this year, will put them over 20m imo. People will legit buy the switch for just smash and Pokemon it's that serious.
Yup. Those are bigger than BOTW and Odyssey. 3rd party announcements are just icing on the cake.
I don't think the 3DS can hit future Switch sales for one major reason. The 3DS isn't a home console with its form factor. If Nintendo fixes this one issue it wouldn't make any sense because the 3DS isn't supposed to be a home console.
Fortunately the Switch is both, so it captures both home and handheld markets. Goodbye.
Fortnite, Smash, and Pokemon before the end of the year?
nah fam, the switch is doomed
Any new rumors on Diablo 3, Fallout 3? anniversary, and GTA 5 for the switch? All those games will help the switch astronomically.
This is Nintendo. I wouldn't be surprise if Switch Lite or Switch XL gets announced on the Nintendo Direct.
I want a Switch with a 2DS card slot and compatibility.
There are so many 3/DS games I have not gotten around to that I really need to.
Zero chances of a Switch lite. Zero space there...so the only way to make a lite would be making the battery smaller and GOOD LUCK selling a 1,5 hour battery life portable
Smash 4 sold 15 million!?!?!?!
On the Wii u?.
I didn't even think they sold 15 mill Wii Us
XL it is.
Zero chances of a Switch lite. Zero space there...so the only way to make a lite would be making the battery smaller and GOOD LUCK selling a 1,5 hour battery life portable
This
Zero chances of a Switch lite. Zero space there...so the only way to make a lite would be making the battery smaller and GOOD LUCK selling a 1,5 hour battery life portable
I really dont see how a revision for the Switch would even be possible lol. Its too big as is(about as large as a closed N3DSXL) WITHOUT the joycons attached so an XL is out of the question and making it smaller would mean a smaller battery life when it barely does 3-4 hours on 3D intensive games already. Since its technically a home console and nintendo home consoles never get revisions I just dont see one happening
Smash, Pokemon, and Fire Emblem are coming this year.
Yyyyeah I don't think Nintendo is going to have any trouble hitting 20M.
Yyyyeah I don't think Nintendo is going to have any trouble hitting 20M.
that does not even run the same Chipset. Shield portable was a Tegra 4, that like 1-2 Gen behinds X1, it was mostly for streaming, not native gaming.It's possible for the Switch to get smaller, it's just that you can't have the same form factor. But that might just make it more appealing. It even has a significantly larger battery at 7350 mAh
Doesn't Switch get less than 3 hrs playing Zelda? I thought launch 3DS was at least 3.5 hrs.
Zero chances of a Switch lite. Zero space there...so the only way to make a lite would be making the battery smaller and GOOD LUCK selling a 1,5 hour battery life portable
7nm part would reduce power consumption by a large margin so you could use a smaller battery and more compact cooling system.
Outside the Wii, Nintendo Home consoles have seen a cosistent decline in sales since the SNES. The hybrid factor alone is whats help pushing it over Wii U, GC and even N64 sales, but I still question if a hybrid system that isn't a true portable will be able to hit 3DS sales. Time will tell and to be fair this is a unique system, so anything can happen.
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Dude, Pokemon is coming this year. That alone would convince me and then there's Smash. Easy win for Nintendo this year and the Switch will have an equal or better library than WiiU in about 1/3 the time to boot.
As long as it is not very heavy, it's fine. Children starting around age 5 learn to carry things that don't fit in their pockets inside of a bag or backpack.
I thought you were being sarcastic because "muh casual trash" sounds like the stereotypical rant of a gatekeeping fanboy.
Everyone keeps saying this, but you do realize better efficiency + smaller battery = potentially a marginal move in which you reach the same hours of battery life with better efficiency.
In that case, what is even the point of having a smaller battery?
So you are saying you couldn't use a slightly smaller battery while still gaining overall battery life moving from 20nm to 7nm? I think its possible, there are huge gains in power efficiency.
Also, I would expect a smaller screen as well which would also help with battery life.
I do hope that Fortnight becomes a big hit on the Switch since it seems to do very well on the other consoles.
I think the last four months of the year is going to be insane for Nintendo with Switch. Has Nintendo managed to produce more consoles or are they still having problems with manufacturing?
Seeing how Apple is going to ramp up it's new Iphone models very soon
I think the last four months of the year is going to be insane for Nintendo with Switch. Has Nintendo managed to produce more consoles or are they still having problems with manufacturing?
Seeing how Apple is going to ramp up it's new Iphone models very soon
Nintendo's biggest problem is going to be making enough units, with Pokemon and Smash later this year, plus the games already released Nintendo will have no problem at all selling over 20 million. Heck if they could manufacture 40 million in the year they would likely sell that many.
Zero chances of a Switch lite. Zero space there...so the only way to make a lite would be making the battery smaller and GOOD LUCK selling a 1,5 hour battery life portable
That becomes a very different issue if Nvidia die shrinks to 14nm/16nm and/or uses the Tegra X2 at half the power consumption. Components like the fan could be shrunk or possibly even removed altogether.
If the point is to start squeezing out as much power as I could on a console that is meant to be both a handheld and a console, then I'm not going to gimp the battery and risk reaching the same performance thresholds as previous iterations (especially as developers start to push the system as they become more and more familiar with it). Otherwise, what was the point? Additionally, the move to 7nm is pretty lofty too considering production just started a few months ago, and is unlikely to be cost-effective for Nintendo vs. other existing options like 12-14nm. 10nm appears to have issues making it to market so that also doesn't look realistic until the foreseeable future.
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For one thing, they are already aiming at 20M for the year: stock cannot be the issue that stops the system hitting 20M. Even 25M shouldn't be an issue for them to manufacture, I think, and I think that that's about the range they will go on to sell this FY.
Why couldn't they just keep battles and add the capture mechanic then?
Both Smash and Pokémon have already been officially announced for 2018
I don't think they can have heavier hitters in terms of pure sales