:thonk:
what kind of numbers are you expecting for Year 1 and lifetime?
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what kind of numbers are you expecting for Year 1 and lifetime?
there was always a chance, even the people who predict 4.5mil to 5.5mil shouldn't have counted it as impossible.
If I can describe 2021 in one single word basically it would be RISE
MH will get almost all of its sales from Year 1, unless we get DLC and not a G version but even that should still be roughly the same.
I'll go with 6mil. Like many have said, MH looks to have peaked with MHF3 but I do think the NSW secret sauce will help give it the edge and beat out the previous peak (secret sauce is Nintendo most active user base of any system)
7mil is too optimistic and I toned it down. Now if DQXII gets announced oh boy.... don't let meeven start.
Bonus: MHR first Week in japan will be 3mil (ship+digital) with near sell outs
Yes we shall continue this one in the next thread
which team are you?
#TeamMHR5M+
#TeamMHR5M-
Woah slow down, that would lead to 7.5mil+ sales bruh
Am I??? 😉
don't worry I'm only crazy when it comes to sales predictions
Are there people who don't think it'll reach 5M? Seems like a safe bet to me.
*raises hand*
I don't think it's at all safe to bet that Monster Hunter Rise will be the most successful third party game of all time(or an extremely close second)
It's their powers combined. Just one of them wouldn't be able to pull this off alone, they're collaborating to give team 2021 the unfair edge.
Tbone and Guaranà, name a more iconic duo.
Most people don't, 4mil-4.5mil is what most people are going withjudging by the last couple of weeks
It's serious, and it's gonna get worse from here on out!!
My brain says 4m LTD, my heart says 5m at the end of 2021.
Yeah, they can definitely release a couple of other entries on Switch. It is a game that also enjoys sales during holidays from an expanded userbase.
Also, those Pikmin 3 digital sales are NUTS... almost top 10 for the whole year having launched in basically November is insane
The big question is whether Rise will become an evergreen.
The Expansion will drop in Late 2022.
If it does become one, then the 5m ceiling can be crushed.
The Expansion will drop in Late 2022.
If it does become one, then the 5m ceiling can be crushed.
Had it released a year later, I'd agree but this launch timing is perfect for it. Everything lines up for another Animal Crossing/Momotaro storm.
Based on the GU positioning in that 2020 digital list I'm going to say yes.
Is that actually a question ? Kinda thought this was expected...its the only MH game for the strongest and healthy plattform.
Capcom will do whatever necessary for it to have long legs - we will get the Stories 2 tie in and probably a update to make it run/look better on a Pro later this year.
NSW only?? Cuz with pc it would beat MHW imo
If it would become an evergreen even if only 2021 that would be scary
If snap sells a million, it will have very little to do with the game itself, and much more with the strenght of the system it releases on, the popularity of the pokemon franchise on the system it releases on(since both the mainline game and snap will be on the same system).
Memes are Serious business.
5M in japan will be though, but i believe in the power of Khezu.
BOTH
Memes are Serious business.
true, hell of MHR sells half of what ACNH sells lifetime itwould look like this
Japan: 6mil+
Worldwide: 15mil+
Yeah but like if MH Rise did ~4.5m that would still be a really, really good result.
Just like nothing is touching Pokemon RGB numbers, until something received an unprecedented free advertising to the game that is essentially worth beyond several hundred million dollars going by the vast number of celebrities who keep tweeting about it during the stay-at-home period.
With numbers like these and the mass-conversion to Team2021 that's happening in here, I think it's time to come up with a T-Bonesque hot-take of my own. Namely: Sony's decision to go with a traditional stationary console experience for the PS5 will come to be seen in the same way we look back at Nintendo's decision to stick with cartridges with the N64. Not in only in Asia but worldwide as well.
Eh it's definitely possible. We don't know much about the upcoming revision, or the lineup for the year, and there still hasn't been a price drop.
Software is already looking incredible compelling. Rumors of a revision are pretty promising. That leaves a price drop as a wildcard.
IMO if we get a pro revision, as well as a price drop on the OG and Lite, and the software isn't anemic like last year then we will see 2021 come out ahead. If only two of those happen, it's a coin toss. If one happens then 2021 loses.
Im going to agree here, I've always been the optimist that hopes for growth gen on gen but I don't think there will be any growth from the ps5. but i don't think a hybrid console is necessary now, I just think it's the future of gaming so and that it will be in the future. especially not in Japan, i'm predicting it won't recover and that it will have flash in the pan 100ks once stock is their before going back to 10-4k baseline
seriously i try to play my PC now but i end up playing my switch cause I can play it anywhere, and since i don't have a lifestyle that can fit consoles into it i probably won't end up getting them, but this is all anecdotal so im not going to use it as what the general public is feeling.
my lifetime prediction for ps5 for will be 107 million.
honestly even if 2021 doesnt outsell 2020 . If it gets in any spitting distance of being near 2020 id say thats a great hold for Switch sales and id be satisfied with that
very true. Worse case scenario for japan is this now
2021: 4.5mil
2022: 2.5mil
2023: 1.5mil (new console launch)
2024: 0.5mil
26.5mil, that's only if apocalypse comes lmao
Basically memed into existence. But hey it's very much legit now with these very strong first weeks.