Nintendo Switch Total hardware sales is around 141 Million Units
- Thread starter Nolbertos
- Start date
It's inevitable that the switch surpasses the ps2 c'mon. The switch won't disappear immediately after switch 2 is out, which may not be out until fall 2025 anyway.
Unless Z-A ends up being holiday 2025 I don't think SV is going to catch up, but who knows, it is rather close.Here's my traditional Pokémon sales chart
Some 3DS games had some updated numbers too!
Also comparison of Pokémon's 6th quarter sales for new generations
SV: 560k
SWSH: 750k
SM: 50k
XY: 150k
SV has slipped a bit behind but SWSH was in the big Switch COVID boom
I do have to wonder if it would have passed SwSh by now, even if only by a small amount, if not for the technical problems.
It's a typo, Pikmin should be +150K. There's still going to be another Pikmin, it's the best selling game in the franchise.
PS2 seems to be toast even if they fall short on their sales numbers. 12 million 2024 - 5 million 2025 - 2 million 2026 is enough. If they release a new cheap model or pricecut the lite aggressively and do make their forecasted 13.5 number in 2024, they'll likely end in 2026 at around 164-165 million with similar dropoff numbers.
They sold something like ~14 million 3DS units after the switch was released.
They sold something like ~14 million 3DS units after the switch was released.
oh they're forecasting 13.5m?
okay. switch 2 is march 2025. if they hit 154m at the end of the fiscal year, they're gonna cross 160m over lifetime.
They are and forecasting 13.5 seems like a lot. As they also forecast less profit in software, these sales won't come from big first party releases. So it's either through a serious pricedrop on the lite, or a new cheap model while they phase out the lite as it's the lowest selling form factor. Either way, no switch 2 before march is kind of confirmed now, with a realistic possibility of Q2-Q4 2025.
I'm not actually convinced Mario Kart 8 will completely stop selling even after the next one comes out.
Also, the potential elevation of Kirby to 10 million+ status next generation actually being possible is a sight to behold
Finally, they have to have a ton of room to price drop the Switch at this point - the manufacturing cost has to be somewhere beneath hell at this point. You could still see the system selling well for years as a budget system with a huge library of acclaimed titles - if Nintendo keeps manufacturing the system, I see it passing the PS2 as an inevitability, honestly.
Also, the potential elevation of Kirby to 10 million+ status next generation actually being possible is a sight to behold
Finally, they have to have a ton of room to price drop the Switch at this point - the manufacturing cost has to be somewhere beneath hell at this point. You could still see the system selling well for years as a budget system with a huge library of acclaimed titles - if Nintendo keeps manufacturing the system, I see it passing the PS2 as an inevitability, honestly.
Thanks! Looks like they expect to beat the NDS then this fiscal year. I suppose the PS2 will be beaten during 2025 and 2026 if they are still selling it during those year, but I find it difficult to beat PS2 for now. Who knows, I didn't expect the Switch to sell all these numbers, so I guess there is still room for surprises, haha
The 3DS sold an additional 13M units after Switch launched just as a point of comparison.
Look at it this way
At this point, SWSH was at 21.1m.
When BDSP came out, SWSH was at 22m. When Legends came out it was at 23.9m
It went on to sell 5 million more from the equivalent point that SV is at. I think it will catch up easily. It only has 1.4 million to go
I'm just saying since the legs are starting to fall behind and who knows if Switch 2 and Z-A hurt its legs even more or not. I acknowledged that it's close, but I guess I'm a bit pessimistic about its legs from this point on is all.
I see no reason to be that pessimistic. It still has great legs, better than any Pokémon game other than SWSH which had the big COVID boost
I wonder if it gets a rerelease for Switch2 to give it a second wind.
Man, kinda crazy how substantial the turnaround was. Going from one of the most infamous duds in the industry - one for which I was a happy customer even - to active contention for top of the stack
Leave luck to heaven, indeed
Leave luck to heaven, indeed
Not really an apples to apples comparison since the Switch successor will be backwards compatible, so there's less of an incentive to buy the previous system.
3DS still got platform exclusive titles for years after the Switch release.
Reaching 155 million by the end of this FY seems a pretty ambitious result with where hardware has been heading as of late and with the confirmation now that new hardware is en route soon. They'll have to gear up at least one more heavy hitter and start cutting some prices as well.
That's not nearly as ridiculous as the folks who believed Switch would be DOA.
I still get a kick out of that lol
Yea a HW price cut, HW bundle(s) and a Nintendo Selects type of software cut will certainly go a long way.
What they have accomplished without any of that (except during the holidays with bundles) is pretty damn incredible.
Let's figure worse case and they miss this years estimates and sell 12 million instead of 13.5 million this quarter that would put them at 153 million, so they would need to sell another 7 million after switch 2 releases
If they cut the price of switch 1 in half at some point this year it might be possible
They always said it was a 10 year console they will probably stop production in 2027
I wonder if the switch outsells the PS2, if it will hold the record as long as the PS2 did. With Microsoft tiptoeing out of the console race, it will give Sony and Nintendo a boost
It's like saying it needed a cheaper dvd drive for the ps2 to have those kind of sales.
We can make any excuse...
Yup. With no price drop or the benefit of being a DVD player. Nintendo you dropped this 👑
Fully expect a lot of Nintendo's games going forward to be cross-gen and possibly a Switch at $99.
There's no reason for them to abandon this install base- especially for titles like Mario Sports, Fire Emblem, Animal Crossing, etc. Most of Nintend's titles play great and look fine at 900p/30fps.
They don't need 4K/60 with frame gen and RT.
There's no reason for them to abandon this install base- especially for titles like Mario Sports, Fire Emblem, Animal Crossing, etc. Most of Nintend's titles play great and look fine at 900p/30fps.
They don't need 4K/60 with frame gen and RT.
